Analyzing Canada's Tight Election Scene

Liberals Leading In The Canadian Federal Elections

Estimated read time: 1:20

Summary

In a heated episode of The Cārvāka Podcast, the hosts dive into the latest developments from the Canadian federal elections. With the Liberal Party holding a narrow lead over the Conservatives, the outcome remains uncertain as key regions like Ontario, Quebec, and the GTA play crucial roles in shaping the final results. Guest speakers discuss the critical importance of voter turnout and strategic maneuvering across Canada's political landscape, highlighting the potential influence of smaller parties and the complex dynamics at play.

Highlights

The Liberal Party edges out the Conservatives with a marginal lead as election results come in. 🔄
Strategic conversations unfold as Ontario and Quebec's influence looms large. 🗺️
GTA voting behavior plays a critical role in determining the election outcome. 📊
The NDP faces a significant downfall, failing to capture substantial votes. 📉
Predictions swirl as the Bloc's potential influence in government formation becomes clearer. 🔮

Key Takeaways

The Liberal Party holds a slight lead, making it a nail-biting election night! 🗳️
Ontario and Quebec emerge as critical battlegrounds in the Canadian elections! 🏛️
The conservative party's strategy in the GTA could have turned the tide! 🌊
Smaller parties like the NDP have seen a major collapse, while the Bloc still holds influence. 🚧
High emotions and strategic discourse mark the vibrant election discussions. 🇨🇦

Overview

The Cārvāka Podcast unpacks the unfolding drama of the Canadian federal elections, where the Liberals, Conservatives, and other parties vie for control in a closely contested race. The podcast illuminates the pivotal votes within Ontario and Quebec, crucial for any party hoping to secure a government majority. Amid buzzing debates and analysis, guest speakers explore the strategic missteps and potential realignments shaping Canada's political landscape.

In an exciting tête-à-tête, hosts and guests dissect the impact of region-specific strategies and community engagement—or the lack thereof—in areas like the Greater Toronto Area. The discussion pivots on how these dynamics may influence the ultimate election results, underscoring the critical role that strategic fieldwork and voter turnout play in the broader national context.

Listeners are treated to a front-row seat to these engaging political discussions, witnessing firsthand the ebbs and flows of voter dynamics and party politics. From dissecting the collapse of the NDP to pondering the possible scenarios of a hung parliament, the episode captures the essence of a convoluted electoral battle ridden with strategic challenges and potential outcomes.

Chapters

00:00 - 00:30: Intro Music The chapter titled 'Intro Music' consists of music transitions with the word 'heat' being repeated multiple times in between musical segments.
00:30 - 60:00: Podcast Discussion on Canadian Federal Elections The podcast episode titled 'Podcast Discussion on Canadian Federal Elections' begins with a warm welcome to the listeners and provides a brief introduction to the current topic, which is the election results in Canada. The introduction notes the time shifts, which are 9:31 p.m. Eastern in Canada and 7:00 a.m. in India, indicating a broad audience. The discussion focuses on the partial polling results available from a few regions, specifically mentioning four provinces and an area in Quebec. Election results show the Liberal party at 22 and the Conservatives, although further details are not provided in the twist of the introduction.

Liberals Leading In The Canadian Federal Elections Transcription

00:00 - 00:30 [Music] heat heat [Music]
00:30 - 01:00 namaste very warm welcome to everyone uh welcome to the chatbook podcast uh it's 9:31 p.m eastern uh in Canada it's 7:00 a.m in India so as of now today's podcast is about the election results as of now uh the the polling has only been there in a few states i think it's been there in 1 two three four four provinces and just one particular area in Quebec so the liberals are at 22 conservatives
01:00 - 01:30 are at 10 and the blockwa is at two to talk about these reserves live we'll have Taher Gora and Daran Maharaja with me ty is going to be us with us for the first 45 minutes then he has to go somewhere but Daran will be there so welcome gentlemen how are you guys doing absolutely fine just watching uh results coming from different provinces and just now at 9:30 polling has been uh uh
01:30 - 02:00 closed in Ontario Quebec and uh I think we'll see uh some trends in next 30 40 minutes yeah so as of now we dan by now all polling would have been shut right not no not not in BC also i think BC is open until 7:30 their time which is 10:30 here 10:30 10:30 yeah so in an hour but Ontario would be shutting down
02:00 - 02:30 right now right ontario has shut down at 9:30 yeah so uh I think in the next hour or so we would pretty much know where the elections are heading but as of now uh it looks like if not a liberal majority it looks like a liberal minority government for sure yeah I think conservatives have done a slightly better in the Atlantic provinces the you know Nova Scotia New Brunswick Prince Edward Island and New
02:30 - 03:00 Finland and Labrador they have done slightly better so yeah it's not going to be so easy for liberals to get a majority yeah newfoundland Labrador last time the Liberals had six and the Conservatives had one this time it's 4-3 so yeah definitely they've done well there which is a significant uh improvement so good good for the Conservatives there the rest actually is literally like it was last time prince Edward Island it was four in 2021 four
03:00 - 03:30 in 2025 no Scotia was 8 and three it's 8 and three in the favor of the Liberals and uh New Brunswick was sixth and four in the favor of the liberals in 2021 2025 it's the same so the rest of the states are holding the trend so now so okay let me ask these questions to both of you and Ty you can start first because I know you have to leave and then Dan can come in so what parts of Canada decide the fate of Canada as far
03:30 - 04:00 as Canadian elections are concerned i'll give you the context from an Indian perspective like in India who wins UP pretty much controls the Lok Sabha right up Bengal Maharashtra three four states are the biggest chunk of Lok Sabha in India so what about the parliamentary uh system in Canada so we can start there yeah I would say actually Ontario and Quebec those are most populated uh provinces and uh uh those are uh very
04:00 - 04:30 important provinces for any party to make the government and precisely uh when we talk about Ontario precisely greater Toronto area which has almost close to 60 plus seats and those 60 plus seats are already 90% uh incumbency by uh liberals and it looks like uh with little plus minus
04:30 - 05:00 they're going to hold on and if it happens uh then the liberal incumbency which is already 152 seats uh they'll be able to uh hold on those seats and of course if they get seats and they look like getting seats from uh NDP uh as well as some seats from block um because they only need in fact 20 seats to make a
05:00 - 05:30 majority government if they win all uh incumbent seats so I mean still I think uh I mean uh I shouldn't say I'm afraid but uh yeah let me say I'm afraid they can even make majority government wow see out of 343 seats 122 are in Ontario and I think about 77 or 78 are in Quebec
05:30 - 06:00 now in Quebec block Quebec is going to take a chunk of seats maybe around 2530 we'll know as time passes but this means and you know out of the uh if you go west of Ontario there's about 111 seats out of that you know the split tends to be around 80/20 80 would be conservative and 20 would be uh somebody else liberal or NDP
06:00 - 06:30 this time NDP has collapsed and self emulated so you expect them to go to Liberals which may help the Liberals but uh you know without winning at least 70 seats in Ontario Conservatives cannot hope to form government either minority or majority they need at least 70 seats in Ontario and within that as Ty said you know 905 and 416 those are the area codes they
06:30 - 07:00 are about 60 seats so you need to make big gains in that now I I took a I I paid a visit to the polling station here in Bmpton South riding in the evening at 5:00 There was no I saw one lady go in but otherwise there was no one there and that is not good because you need a high turnout to unseat an incumbent i don't know if that was representative of the
07:00 - 07:30 entire day because you know voting would have gone on for 12 hours 9:30 a.m to 9:30 p.m so I don't know but at that point in time it did not look promising then when I posted it on Twitter I was hearing from other 905 areas also other writings in 905 that they have a similar you know dull dead kind of a situation at their polling booths so uh if that holds then I think Liberal may end up holding all the seats that
07:30 - 08:00 they currently hold all right so so yes Ontario has started counting the provincewide not the Toronto area and just one seat and the Conservatives are leading that one right now but it's too early i mean I have two three separate pages open right now just looking at the numbers so I I apologize like it's it's what I find very interesting is the way elections in Canada happen as like as we are looking right now block is three conservatives
08:00 - 08:30 are 13 and liberals are 25 as of now so u so now what did you so I had this question what did you make of Trump's truth social post so I mean Trump factor is uh very important in in this election for sure but uh in my opinion there are internal political factors as well in Canada when
08:30 - 09:00 I say internal political factors I mean um I mean how these parties uh performed i mean for instance conservatives actually let their candidates uh to to to perform on their own especially in greater Toronto area whatever I'll speak I'll speak mostly about greater Toronto area because uh I don't know much dynamics and BC what's going on over there i can only hear um
09:00 - 09:30 you know there's some reports from there but I don't have uh kind of my own personal input what I see in in greater Toronto area conservatives uh really let their candidates to to perform on their own i don't see party behind uh their candidates especially in greater Toronto area uh I don't know um Dashan by maybe has observed different things but this is my personal
09:30 - 10:00 observation like for instance in India you're right right now sitting in India and you are an expert on Indian politics party uh in India all parties in India they really help their candidates but tell you the truth I don't see that kind of a help here in greater Toronto area uh Dash can take my comment to next level or forward
10:00 - 10:30 whatever he thinks no da in my writing I saw that the conservative candidate was very active yeah I mean sorry to interrupt you candidate was active candidates are active but party is not helping them a lot no I'm coming to that see their their volunteer network and their not just in terms of door knocking but also you know indoors in their own office so
10:30 - 11:00 when advanced polling was on I was getting a phone call every day from them and saying that you know we can uh arrange transport for you if if needed these are the timings this is the location do you need any help so that suggests to me that there were resources allocated by the party at least for this writing for their candidate the one complicating factor that I saw was that at the last minute an independent candidate popped up uh who
11:00 - 11:30 also had similar color to that of the conservatives it was a different different shade of blue same ethnic community so maybe the Liberal party felt that there is some kind of a risk here of losing so they may have tried to split that vote by confusing voters i mean at least hoping to confuse voters so but otherwise I I saw that the candidate was well backed up by the party honestly
11:30 - 12:00 so you know what I find fascinating is this is a standard tactic used everywhere so in the last vid with Ananabah that is the province election in Maharashtra where I had just I was here so I had gone and voted too for the provincial election and in many writings there's like you know there was a Gujarati area so so both sides do it they they will just you know similar name person and they will put like five six candidates of the
12:00 - 12:30 similar name there's no such rule that you know for example Daran Maharaj Aa there can only be one person in one writing so there were like eight dashan Maharajas fighting the election and I was like damn these people confused the heck which is why in India Tai you're right so what happens in India is the party machinery does work a lot in fact the entire campaign is managed by the party machinery for the candidate not the other way around
12:30 - 13:00 the candidate doesn't manage the campaign the party machinery manages the campaign uh so for for those who don't know the the Indian model is like this so we have the booth premuk which is the so there is one booth has 1700 votes so there is the booth pramok and the booth promok has like the booth leader has four people with them then above the booth a conglomerate of booths will be a ward uh or a mundal and a mundal combined into a ward and they have different positions for different places
13:00 - 13:30 the BJP does i don't think the Congress does the Congress has always worked in a very different way the Congress strategy is we'll get the entire Muslim block vote and we get bits of uh the SCST vote and their math works differently in the Congress but the BJP is which is a very carterdriven party right they have they have dedicated leadership all around which is the reason long-term BJP has started doing well is because they have such inroads in the political system but
13:30 - 14:00 it's to be very honest even I found it very fascinating that let's say I am a MP the conservative party is not giving me any any volunteers that there is no volunteer for the conservative party put your riding initiative like in BJP right we know where the BJP guy is where the BJP office is for example in Mumbai Mumbai's politics is dominated by Shivasena Shivasena model dominated
14:00 - 14:30 Every area you have a shiva what we in Hindi Marati call it a shaka as in a branch office we call it a shaka and the shaka is always there shaka is always there so no matter what and this shaka remains whether there is an election whether there is no election like the the shaka pramuk the in charge of the shaka the branch is interacting with that local area all the time he's the guy I don't see this No at all in
14:30 - 15:00 Canadian politics there is no one no one like it is all candidate driven even the Liberals are candidate driven even the conservatives are candidate driven which is which is fascinating to me i I find it kind of stupid to be very honest you know the writing associations are basically dormant between elections go ahead go ahead yeah the dynamics over here uh in politics are
15:00 - 15:30 absolutely interesting and different uh even in the United States parties have pushed their Congress uh men women candidates as well as senators I mean Republicans Democrats over here yes I agree partially with Daranji that yes uh there are workers from EDA and they help to some extent but still I will say that party does not party the top leader I
15:30 - 16:00 mean not the leadership bureaucracy and the head office uh they don't support you know regional candidates uh I mean from their candidacy seeking process uh to uh their elections uh they set them free and they they say okay you're on your own and show us your strength and uh win your seat so I mean like for instance um I'll
16:00 - 16:30 take this conversation to another um level for instance we were observing uh different uh um numbers like u in the polls 42% for instance u generally were for liberals 39 for uh conservatives but the these like a numbers do not work here in Canada the way they work in the United States states because over there
16:30 - 17:00 is a presidential election but over here all MP MPs have to get elected and then they can you know support uh their you know leader to become the prime minister so so the way numbers percentage work in in United States doesn't work that way for instance this is a number generally we we saw 40 to 39
17:00 - 17:30 but if that percentage is in let's see in Mrs sada center 60 to 35% [Music] you know so like the general number for the parties just a 3% difference but here the difference is 25% for instance h so I mean these are the mechanics here no I agree we have we have
17:30 - 18:00 343 elections whereas in the US they have one for the president each writing that's why you know national level numbers are uh uh of very limited use I'm trying to be polite here but they are of very limited use because you see when national numbers are reported and block Quebec is at 7% that is only in one province so nationally that figure is
18:00 - 18:30 meaningless at 7% you can hope to get maybe one or two seats but they get like 30 seats because all that 7% is concentrated in one province so within the province they may be at 30% right so the we have 343 elections and the US has won no another thing that changes the dynamics of the Canadian election I think in terms of uh volunteer
18:30 - 19:00 mobilization is that in Canada unlike in India the federal party and the provincial party are not the same units they're actually two separate entities one has got nothing to do with the other for example uh Doug Ford's conservatives are not Pier Polyv's conservatives uh Danielle Smith's conservatives are not Pier Polyv's conservatives so Danielle Smith has their own Carter pier Polyv has their own carter you're eating into each other's carter while the BJP at the municipal level at the state level and
19:00 - 19:30 at the central level is the same the same carter is used in every election let's say in Maharashtra it's the same people all the time so you can actually build a a network of people who are consistently working all the time and engaging with the people right here what happens is like who am I loyal to am I loyal to Doug Ford's conservatives am I loyal to or maybe I'm a Doug Ford conservative in the province uh but I am a liberal in the in the federal election
19:30 - 20:00 so So from a from a political management um point of view you see what I'm saying from a political management point of view I think it's very hard in a Canadian setup to actually create a volunteer base uh or am I wrong no you're right actually uh I mean this is a complex issue here in Canada for instance in today's American media outlet Duck For's
20:00 - 20:30 interview got published and he complained about his relationship with the Pier he said "This guy does not pay attention to my advis you know." So the Ontario the biggest province of Canada's premier Doug Ford complained about uh Conservative Party of Canada's leader he said that uh during his leadership we had barely few
20:30 - 21:00 interactions you know so look at this situation this happened the article got published today in a in American media outlet and when the people were casting their vote and they heard this news all across the radios and televisions so what message conservative voter is getting through this bad relation he also said he said that the pier uh had no good relation
21:00 - 21:30 with the with the mayors in greater Toronto area layers are very important of course you know so so my take uh as u I happened to speak with Darren Gi many times during the past four weeks I would say since the election has been called and and I said that because peer and conservative leadership and their bureaucracy they had no good
21:30 - 22:00 relationship with the with greater Toronto area uh mayors as well as uh you know grassroot level so what you are saying Kushel G is already proven through Doug Ford's article I mean not article interview this morning and as we are speaking I can see on the screen I have two three TV they
22:00 - 22:30 are saying that the liberals are leading in 73 conservatives leading in 52 yeah a lot of Ontario results have come out uh and uh in the provincewide situation Liberals are 17 conservatives are 15 and in the Toronto area which is a good start for the Conservatives it is seven for the Liberals and five for the Conservatives as of now so that's not bad for the Conservatives if the Conservatives manage to pull this one
22:30 - 23:00 out no no but but the thing is we have to see what areas are conservatives have already couple seats in certain areas for instance King Vaughn or we can say Ashwag Toronto area uh or even Toronto one seed I mean that's a very key seed because they won uh because when they had a good uh you know polls for them about a couple months back what was that seed sample I think
23:00 - 23:30 down to Toronto St paul yes yes yes you know and that was a very uh you know unprecedented thing happened so let's see if they are able to retain that seat you know true that would be a litmous test for them in fact exactly exactly but nationally you know I'm seeing right now liberals are leading in 78 conservatives are leading in 56 right so you know that is not bad for the
23:30 - 24:00 conservatives yeah it's not bad at all actually because you have to remember that once you move west of Ontario conservatives are at a very strong advantage right so they if they are holding the deficit to something in their 20s then they have a chance to catch up as we move west yeah so here another question for instance I mean like who makes the government two three probabilities liberals either majority government or minority government
24:00 - 24:30 conservative I don't think so they're going to make majority government but they may form minority government so in these probabilities we need to look at the scenario how these parties I mean these two parties would the ruling parties for sure either forming the government staying in opposition because uh NDP looks like wiping out in in this election and uh
24:30 - 25:00 blocks are also losing seats i mean they may be between I would say 25 27 seats so in this scenario we have humongous challenges ahead immigration issues economic issues in terms of dealing Trump in terms of dealing India China i mean Trudeau has damaged relationship not
25:00 - 25:30 just with India China i mean not with China that much but even he damaged relationship with China as well but with Middle East all those rich countries Saudi Arab Emirati and all those things so how Marney going to fix or if Pier makes a minority government in other situation how they going to sort of make this situation so this is quite
25:30 - 26:00 challenging i agree actually you know at the last uh press conference that Pierre had for ethnic media uh this was on 24th of March so it was the first day of the campaign right and I asked him that question I said you are talking about uh you know pipelines and oil and gas projects etc to supply to Asia and Europe and wherever and one major customer is going to be India but unfortunately our relationship with
26:00 - 26:30 India is not on and even kill so how would you restore that to normaly and he basically sidestepped my question he kept talking about bill C69 and repealing it and you know engaging communities and laying pipelines he did not actually address the question as to how he was going to mend relationship with India which tells me that he had or his team had not given it
26:30 - 27:00 a thought which is a very disturbing realization to have because it's going to be if he wins it's going to be one of the major things that he will have to do and for the entire team not to have given it a thought so as to have a clear and concise answer regarding how you are going to mend the fences with India is very disturbed so as Ty said you know these are all the challenges whoever wins and there each of them is a steep
27:00 - 27:30 hill to climb and you have to climb them all at once so I mean I don't envy the guy who wins so it's very interesting i'm just looking at some of the writings bmpton Chinkowsi Park uh the Liberals are leading quite comfortably darai quite comfortably holy moly the lead is so comfortable it's like a walk in the park lead the conservative candidate is
27:30 - 28:00 Timbal right yeah timbal so so what they did honestly this writing split into two writings a new writing emerged which is now um this Bmpton Changuzi before it was only Bmpton center so Shvka Alali was elected uh uh MP in last election from Bmpton center so now the the writing split into two writings and Shvkatali moved to Bmpton Chiguzi and
28:00 - 28:30 conservative thought okay we'll have some Pakistani guy against a Pakistani guy this writing was winnable for conservative in my opinion if they had some Punjabi sardar uh gera boy there or some like because Bmpton center is also very Italian populated community too or they could had some some Italian guy but but conservative bureaucracy and the you
28:30 - 29:00 know guys inside they thought okay it's good to have a Pakistani person against Pakistani person oh my god like Miss Saga East like like everywhere I'm looking Miss Saga East and others like this is Conservatives are 2% less guess who's getting the 2% vote 1.9% as of now ppc
29:00 - 29:30 by the way PPC has now there would be a very you know controversial debates in within PPC party that what is the future of this party you know I voted for PPC because why because in my uh constituency a good friend of mine Michael better was a candidate if he gets 500 votes I'm happy but the thing
29:30 - 30:00 is I'm very you know kind of a loyal person to towards France so so but I know that it's this election is about future of PPC party as well future of Maxim Bernier as well as the leader because they don't look like gaining a single seat and let's see what happens in next three hours yeah not just a single seat they have to
30:00 - 30:30 come close to at least number three position in one ring out of 343 you are right absolutely i don't see them [Laughter] [Laughter]
30:30 - 31:00 max [Music] party they are already they are saying enough is enough let's see what happens you know you have to show something
31:00 - 31:30 green particular set of envirservative mind they will start reassessing right
31:30 - 32:00 yeah which is it it's just fascinating how the voting clearly GTA liberals are sweeping GTA yeah yeah project i'll be happy to see my my projections provap 23 yeah liberals 98 conservatives 77 block 14 NDP oh NDP [Laughter]
32:00 - 32:30 but 343 may say almost 190 190 190 yes yes 153
32:30 - 33:00 yes bchuh right or or of course uh they'll get conservatives get good seats from Alberta but how many 35 maybe
33:00 - 33:30 Saskatchewan Max Ontario outside of [Music]
33:30 - 34:00 GTA Right almost maximum 35
34:00 - 34:30 15 yeah yeah yeah parliament right yeah yeah in that case it's going to be hung parliament yeah liberal 108 conservative 78 yeah so Liberals 107 Conservative 79
34:30 - 35:00 block 16 NDP three right right yeah so well I have CTV opened uh congratulations elections Canada website has only crashed yeah yeah so so it's good to know that one more thing in common between uh India and Canada is uh uh that sometimes our election commission's website crashes
35:00 - 35:30 but election election election commission oh my god uh Toronto area now Liberals have come up to 18 and Conservatives are stuck at six they've done one better than the last time but yeah now it's it's it's suddenly the Liberals are taking over the Toronto area and
35:30 - 36:00 that's where the numbers will start changing yeah i I'm shocked like I can't believe again Toronto voted for the Liberals it's it's unbelievable conservatives ground reality conservatives are not willing to understand ground realities in greater Toronto area as you saw in Mr saga writings i mean they say I mean I heard Brian Lily oh there is only
36:00 - 36:30 a 3% difference but now after election I'll ask him brother 3% difference is you know all Canada white but in Mrs saga writings there's a 15 to 50% difference it's it's it's fascinating uh the
36:30 - 37:00 numbers now we have 217 seats being reported liberals 115 yeah they're taking it away now conservatives 83 block has come down to 15 and NDP at four so NDP is pulling through now a little bit so so if so I'm just waiting for all 343 seats to be fully reported and then you know so okay so I'll give you the Indian answer so counting day
37:00 - 37:30 India counting we don't have the same day counting right we wait for two three days and then count the entire uh 10ire so but we know the trend for sure in India in any election counting by two 2:00 they start counting with the postal ballots or army votes India they they start with that that is done and after 9:30 ballots start opening right by 2 a.m 2:00 p.m in
37:30 - 38:00 the afternoon 2:30 most elections like 99% of the elections we know what's going to happen in these many hours like four hours so what is the equivalent in Canada for this i think around 11:30 12 we know yeah midnight yeah midnight okay yeah usually we get clear picture by by midnight and the winner leader uh gives a speech anytime after 1 or 2 a.m
38:00 - 38:30 oh they're running away with it now the liberals number of seats are not too many british Columbia obviously for obvious reasons Alberta again conservatives as expected are sweeping Alberta Saskatchewan
38:30 - 39:00 Manitoba that was expected right these three provinces they will do now basically Ontario BC are going to be the fate deciders of the next Canadian election yes yes yeah yeah and also I can see uh Canada upon Ontario ontario Maharashtra Quebec
39:00 - 39:30 Quebec nationalist pakistan yes
39:30 - 40:00 islam yeah
40:00 - 40:30 hindustanitution statement
40:30 - 41:00 body yeah yes far better than Yeah yeah so so you know what is fra fascinating is [Music] the in the Canadian context of uh the elections okay so now Missaga pretty much other than Maltton and Erin Mills everything has opened so interesting bit
41:00 - 41:30 Missaga streets will the conservatives are leading i can imagine background the rest of the writings may missaga center is a neck andneck contest east cooksville is a no contest uh liberals are way ahead and missaga
41:30 - 42:00 lakeshore the liberals are way way ahead like oh my goodness like it's it's it's terrible and in Bmpton also Bmpton BMP East Conservatives are leading as of now okay bmpton Center Liberals are comfortably ahead and Chinkozi Park Bmpton Liberals are comfortably ahead bmpton North Bmpton South Bmpton West uh has not been open till now so uh not bad conservatives not bad at
42:00 - 42:30 least bmpton yeah so what are the dynamics of these two seats if you guys would let me know the one especially Bmpton East what are the dynamics here conservative and Jeff Lal is from PPC and uh I think Manund Bmpton is liberal incumbent relatively weak but
42:30 - 43:00 frankly uh I didn't had much hope from Bob do by the Okay you know PPC vote bmpton center 3.2% votes PPC hold brown people will vote for PPC hold 3.2% votes and East 1.7% so I'm just giving you just the PPC numbers brown people Missaga East Cooksville 2.9% PPC
43:00 - 43:30 so let's see final numbers are going to be fascinating what PB gets in these areas east protest
43:30 - 44:00 protest what happens in Abbertford South Langley that's all I'm interested in what let's talk about Abbertzford South Langley what the hell was that like what was the Conservative Party of Canada thinking they weren't can you believe it the guy uh did you realize that Sukman Gil has removed all his social media for the last three four
44:00 - 44:30 weeks he's not on social media he's a candidate fighting an election and he's not on social media yes what the hell it's insane british Columbia yes a guy who knows ins and outs of how
44:30 - 45:00 things work right explanation if what he says is true [Music] uh I don't have much uh grip
45:00 - 45:30 on Jagmir Singh's writing uh but I I only heard through a few people who lived there uh I it looks like a He going to lose the seat he'll be not even sec second he'll be third that would be big victory because I I mean I call him a politician who's
45:30 - 46:00 doing his politics based on hatred towards fellow Canadians yes he's on record as saying we hate conservatives right right right
46:00 - 46:30 majority government strong performs 95 absolutely ruthless
46:30 - 47:00 lessly impartial that is very very poor understanding of politics national level political party having poor understanding of politics is a cardinal sin right problem same thing in this
47:00 - 47:30 language right right right these are self-inflicted wounds yeah yeah so before I leave it looks
47:30 - 48:00 like uh conservatives so far are not doing that bad but liberal already uh 137 uh I mean but these are the early results m uh I mean there could be changes but normally uh these trends usually um shape the election results everywhere in the world so let's see how much change we see in next two to three
48:00 - 48:30 hours so I mean yeah uh that's the scene but conservatives are picking up but but still liberals are ahead yeah by about 30 seats yeah yeah i mean as of now CTV is reporting 267 seats liberals 139 Conservatives 104 block 21 NDP3 so what was anticipated till now the trend seems that the NDP is completely destroyed yes
48:30 - 49:00 and if the NDP is destroyed all the vote has gone to the Liberals basically that has propped up the Liberals the conservatives have done well in this election but it's just that the story of this election is Canada is a leftwing country yes yes true yeah thank you thank you Kushal G it was pleasure joining thanks for joining Ty take care and I will will chat for a while and then we'll wrap up later on thank you Tyb all right namaste
49:00 - 49:30 namaste namaste namaste namaste take care bye bye so dashan let's let's discuss the I had two three questions uh so as of now dash so if the block is at 20 to 25 and the liberals are going to be stuck at 150 that's what it looks like and the conservatives are going to be what 130 to 140 range that's going to happen total 343 block 21 maximum 25p
49:30 - 50:00 [Music] green right so you're looking at splitting 310 [Music] seats 155 that guy is the winner the
50:00 - 50:30 likelihood of 155 for conservatives right now do you think you have to go west again keep this in mind the moment you leave Ontario it's all conservative turf four provinces pretty but BC is NDP stronghold right proincially NDP government conservatives came pretty close to winning yeah they did very well last election right
50:30 - 51:00 so lower mainland Vancouver city or Vancouver Island suburbs liberal or NDP the moment you move out and then go north it's all conservative landm Mhm right so you're looking at anything between 60 to 70 seats
51:00 - 51:30 there right so play I think that's where the play is now because honestly my hunch is going to come through i was talking to a friend and I was saying that I feel both parties are going to be stuck between a range of 140 to 155 and then the block will decide who do I go with basically that looks likely now is going to be the luas king
51:30 - 52:00 oh yes Canada yeah block is going to be the kingmaker so basically this country is so screwed because the block will not let any development project happen no nothing that goes through its uh its
52:00 - 52:30 territory no yeah so this country is screwed so basically Canada is screwed this election the Canadians have ensured they're screwed article article now by now written 300 articles ndp has gone up to seven now liberals to 145 we have 278 seats reporting conservatives are pretty much stuck at
52:30 - 53:00 104 now yeah yeah and Liberals are at 147 yeah it's very interesting i think yeah we're we're we're heading for a hung parliament that that that that seems to be the the story of the election and so yeah singab there's still seven minutes to go
53:00 - 53:30 yeah so Bmpton other than Bmpton South I think everything else has opened up so center the liberals are leading uh uh east liberals are slightly ahead can you believe it bmpton east 2.7 do is ahead i was surprised frankly
53:30 - 54:00 yeah no all now center east north kaledan all liberals are leading and west also liberals are reading chinowi Park liberals are closing in by the way can you believe Bmpton North Kaledan PPC Bmpton area people are voting for
54:00 - 54:30 them Bmpton North he has been active for years and years every
54:30 - 55:00 election right he's not like that people know him he does a lot of social work there so he will get some votes i know him that is how politics should be right should be unfortunate no but see that that's the question like why would the Conservative party not understand something as basic as if a candidate uh does not have a connection with with
55:00 - 55:30 with its local population how do you expect the candidate to win like what were the conservatives thinking whether it's Bmpton whether it's Missaga or the entire region party right
55:30 - 56:00 party leader outcome
56:00 - 56:30 ination meeting like you win a nomination based on like,500 votes and the writing has 80,000 voters right ask the people of Abertford South Langley people became members out of
56:30 - 57:00 nowhere like they they popped out of nowhere nobody knew these people existed in Absford suddenly everybody was uh was it's just disgusting what these people have done but yeah primaries have been hacked yeah hacking we and imagine I I remember doing a podcast about the hacking of the Canadian primary system where this was not even a thing with Balaz like three
57:00 - 57:30 years ago I did my podcast with Balas Dell i was much skinnier then uh uh and three years on every single political outfits primary has been rigged in Canada every single political outfit if Canadians really cared about the authenticity of their elections they would demand Election Canada to monitor every single party primary too now they they have to it it's ridiculous
57:30 - 58:00 actually and then some years later when I had my website I translated it into English and then posted it there drama behind the stage
58:00 - 58:30 party yeah right committed on it eight years yeah it's it's disgusting how how a primary like Okay I understand in BJP there is no primary in Congress there is no primary in India so okay the parties give the seat and and they back the candidate because you know this but but
58:30 - 59:00 this system is so fraudulent then you know they should stop the pretense of primaries then they should stop the pretense of my whole point is you pretend to have a primary and then then then you hack it and you fix it and then you you know you taunt others like in the BJP Congress in the Indian system you don't have this right there are no primaries we have people who hustle for their seats i know you know five six people going behind the scenes fighting
59:00 - 59:30 trying to get a ticket and and you know yes there is corruption involved and everything but boss these people are doing the same thing and then pretending to have a primary so at least get rid of the pretense either be honestly corrupt i know it sounds crazy honest corruption honesty boss at least be honest thief if you're doing this theft you're taking
59:30 - 60:00 money right but behind the curtain it's the same corruption so it's the hypocrisy which is the deciding factor right yeah it's it's crazy so as of now we
60:00 - 60:30 have 301 seats that are reporting liberals are at 152 Conservatives 120 block 23 NDP 6 gosh NDP has been flatlined completely like completely flatlined that is at least one part of the opinion post that everybody believed and it was true ndp has collapsed an unbelievable collapse like damn
60:30 - 61:00 prime [Music] Minister your first concern should be that your party gets more seats yeah you know he he clearly uh does not like uh the idea of being a candidate that wins he doesn't like winning he
61:00 - 61:30 likes other people losing so I mean he is a true believer in short and fraud that's what I would say yeah that's his thing but how come BC has not started uh counting yet so I guess in the next 10 minutes we'll have reporting from all all pretty much every seat in Canada minimum it takes at least half an hour
61:30 - 62:00 for them to start reporting numbers method procedure right so now only 42 seats reporting are left in the balance 42 how many do you think the conservatives uh are going to gain not even 42 now only 39 are left so So in the 39 conservatives are at 122 right now so the best case scenario for conservatives is not above 140 150
62:00 - 62:30 minute liberals are 14 53 conservatives are 122 that's 275 and then 23 for block 298 and six for NDP that's uh 304 H so basically Yeah they can't make they they won't even reach 150 conservatives i don't think so yeah could be yeah
62:30 - 63:00 so I think neither the Liberals nor the Conservatives are going to reach the magic 170 mark 172 mark liberals still stand a chance of course so many are still being counted so they are just leading right now in 151 i I understand but by the end if both these sides are stuck at like say 140 150 range both of them both of them which is very much a possibility
63:00 - 63:30 this election then even with a block let's say this situation comes right the seats of block are what what what do we have the block at right now 22 let's say the block goes to 25 NDP goes to eight so we have 33 and the balance
63:30 - 64:00 Yeah so basically the one with 155 plus decides and as of now the probabilities of the liberals being 155 plus as of now it is what 10:35 p.m eastern right so as of now the Liberals look more likely to get it right they are already at 151 yeah so it's very interesting my goodness if the Liberals win a fourth term of majority what does it Okay the
64:00 - 64:30 serious question what does it say about Canada it says about Canada what it said about Ontario in uh 2014 by then liberals in the province had completed three terms one was a minority right and then they were expected to
64:30 - 65:00 lose but miraculously they got a majority on YouTube [Music] but okay let us assume all things remain
65:00 - 65:30 equal the liberals do what the liberals do ruin things but this country just doesn't vote for the right they don't they don't [Music] focus it's the economy yeah right
65:30 - 66:00 focus components they are the ones who are still setting the narrative
66:00 - 66:30 media debates although there is a lot of talent right people are able to remain objective bring facts give good analysis they have their audience but they are unable to set the narrative or at least disrupt the
66:30 - 67:00 existing narrative right Canadian Right they are silent speeches ideas deeply
67:00 - 67:30 rooted they are not valid ideas they are either factually wrong or logically invalid since this is not a dynamic society it pains me to say this
67:30 - 68:00 until the end so so again because I'm interested in Bmpton and Mrs aaga so Bmpton's center now um Amandep Sodhi of the Liberals has a comfortable lead over Taran Chahel of
68:00 - 68:30 the Conservatives m uh and uh even if we count the PPC no there is no no comp comparison um in Chinkali Park in Bmpton uh Timikbal is giving a good fight but again the gap between uh Shak Shafkut Ali and and Timikbal is increasing there jes Braum has has become a slayer with his 86 votes the gap has become very
68:30 - 69:00 very very close so you know he has been working for the people for a long time yeah so he he has become a pain in the butt for them in uh in Bmpton East sidu Maninder is like 49.4% and Bob Dos is from the conservatives is 1411 45.1% jeff Lal is 3.4% 4% ladies and gentlemen
69:00 - 69:30 Jeff Lal Jeff Jeffardi he he clearly has done and what why why did they give Jal the ticket he would have easily won it for them why why why conservatives why why could you not give the ticket to Jeff Lal he made those members for you why it's so frustrating gosh morons oh man they're so stupid seriously I
69:30 - 70:00 mean I've never seen a more stupid party okay Bmpton North Kaledan oh my god clearly conservatives are done well here good bmpton North Kaledan Amandib Judge he's he's quite ahead but obviously it is only nine out of the 175 polls that have reported full disclosure u so um so Bmpton North let's see Bmpton
70:00 - 70:30 South hey good news conservatives are doing well in Bmpton South too Sonia Siddhu is far behind so deep is way ahead very good way way ahead 58.7% votes again full disclosure only three out of the 169 polls have opened full disclosure full disclosure No I know you were you were going to tell me i know you were going to tell me now Bmpton West we can pretty much say uh
70:30 - 71:00 because 23 out of the 137 polls have been reported it's a neck-to-neck fight amarjit Gil of the Conservatives uh is slightly ahead at 3004 votes and Kamal Kha is 2,883 votes and here interestingly the PPC did not have a candidate I think okay and look at the magic wherever PPC did not have a candidate these guys have
71:00 - 71:30 done well and I mean the Mr saga Mr saga may I'll I'll give you the Miss Saga center liberals are way ahead way ahead 25 out of the 225 polls have been reported there's just no comparison like force also is far far ahead with 56% of the votes in Missaga East Cooksville again the Liberals are way ahead with uh Peter Fonka at 49.4% of the votes it's
71:30 - 72:00 too too much of a difference although Amit Gupta has 2% of the votes till now oh okay nita Kong but the gap is too much even if Amit Gupta was not there I don't think they would have made up because even the NDP guy has cut 2.7% of the Liberal vote so it's not like both of them have not played a role mr saga Erin Mills Ikra Khaled has taken a very comfortable lead although only one poll has been reported
72:00 - 72:30 but I think this was expected ikra was going to be comfortably competitor uh you're talking about Erin Mills right uh Vad Mikuel yeah okay yeah yeah so that was there in Lake Shore again the Liberals Charles Sza very comfortably ahead 60 out of the 255 polls have been reported gigantic lead gigantic too much of a lead uh and
72:30 - 73:00 Maltton uh iuinder Singh Gahir after 10 ballots have been opened is at 846 votes 54.2% 2% Jasprit Sandu is 39.9% 623 Nathan Kulan 51 votes 3.3% PPC I think all the diesis uh all the diesis have voted uh possible one and for for PPC and streetsville
73:00 - 73:30 conservatives are after 10 polls uh at 51% leading Sue McFaden is leading over wy Valdez and uh interesting so at least in these areas so scar bro Scar Bro Scarboro Toronto 416 416 to the east of
73:30 - 74:00 Toronto so I'm just looking at that scar Bro yeah so oh the entire scar bro liberals are reading right now all seats of scar bro not one all all of them St paul's be oh my god dash St paul's they they are getting 62% of the votes in St false this is the one they lost
74:00 - 74:30 right election voting is you know turnout is low pushi but liberals have crossed 155 yeah so
74:30 - 75:00 Thornhill North of Toronto north of Toronto [Music] no on hills i think that was something where uh uh Melissa was supposed to comfortably lead and as always elections Canada doesn't work which is so consistent
75:00 - 75:30 and election Canada 324 trends 325 Liberals are 159 9 Conservatives 133 block 24 NDP9 yeah the Liberals are pretty much you can call it yeah and Liberals are 36 ahead
75:30 - 76:00 right conservatives India yeah I think so pretty much damn oakill East Anita Anand and the Conservative candidate are are fighting it out oakill West the Liberal has gone ahead quite easily milton East the
76:00 - 76:30 Conservatives are leading right now which is good in the Halton region Mhm in the Hamilton region in one area the Conservatives are leading oh man yeah Thornhill melissa is leading comfortably comfortably yeah she's expected to be comfortably ahead she she's she is quite comfortably ahead and damn I I I I was hoping that you know they would have done better the
76:30 - 77:00 conservatives but clearly let's see what Pier Carton Carton right let's see C A R L E T O N Yeah so let's see where uh our heroes is uh is placed right Oh man so let's [Music]
77:00 - 77:30 see mark Carney is comfortably ahead fyi Nepano yeah oh my god pierre Palv is losing no way c A R R L E T O N right carlton right h okay so let's open carton for you okay just the first poll has been reported yeah I was like what he won't lose his seat okay in in Mark
77:30 - 78:00 Carney's case 35 out of the 229 polls have been reported and he is at 6374 votes while Barbara Bal is at 3284 votes there is no comparison he is this is the seat where Chandraaria would fight right yes yeah clearly Chandraaria was such an Indian agent like
78:00 - 78:30 so BC Danhai Vancouver area last time they had three this time they are at two uh NDP was at five they are at one and uh that's the story and and the rest province or rest of the province the liberals are ahead okay seems to be ahead
78:30 - 79:00 oh let me open that only writing I'm interested in is is that area northern BC metro oh sorry sorry sorry sorry sorry sorry Langley
79:00 - 79:30 oh sorry langley [Music] let me open British Columbia let me see abbottzford South Langley Independent holy moly the Independent is number one the Conservative is number two the Liberal
79:30 - 80:00 is number three you're morons why did you give it to this guy oh man okay suri let's see what's happening in Suri S center liberals are leading S west south white rockck liberals are leading pleatwood uh liberals are leading obviously it's very early uh Cloverdale Langley and Sar Newton we don't have uh anything open
80:00 - 80:30 till now yeah we beast many people yeah but as of now we have 329 seats reporting liberals are at 161 conservatives 134 so even if the conservatives get all the other seats all of them right which is what we have balance 14 left they are stuck at 148 liberals are stuck at 161 so Liberals are going to form the next government can we comfortably say that
80:30 - 81:00 now can we call the elections of Canada comfortably yeah it's a liberal win yeah it's a Liberal win uh I don't think they're going to get a majority on their own i still don't think that's going to happen but uh 296 36 320 329 cha seat cha seats uh
81:00 - 81:30 oh they're 163 now sir 334 reporting 163 Conservatives 137 okay if this is the trend and Liberals win again should Pier Polyv stay the leader of the Conservative Party of Canada definitely he should definitely definitely
81:30 - 82:00 see the movement of the last four months was out of the blue although he should have handled it better there will need to be reorganization but with the same guy at the head reorganization because now we know and you know people have accepted what kind of mistakes they have made so those are the areas to work on
82:00 - 82:30 but uh he's clearly adding at least 20 25 seats maybe a little bit more than that if he can hold uh liberals to a minority then the next election will be in about 2 years the average duration of a minority government tends to be 21 months it's only this time you know because of jugmat that it has lasted
82:30 - 83:00 longer than that way longer than that almost completing the entire 4-year term so you don't have time if Liberals get a minority you don't have time to organize a new um leadership race and then for the leader to have outreach across the country before the next election right it would be wasteful your your resources would be wasted in that you party won't be ready depends on whether Liberals get a majority or
83:00 - 83:30 minority but if they are held to a minority then definitely I think peers should stay on because you know 21 months or 2 years is not such a long time for all that is required see I I have seen from very close quarters how he has worked over almost two and a half years and before that during his leadership run but let's exclude that
83:30 - 84:00 potential candidates that has to be the first deciding factor let's not forget that in 2004 Steven Harper lost and liberals had a minority
84:00 - 84:30 yes 2011 performance that was once in a blue moon performance you can't expect to have it repeated right hindsight 2020 let us learn from that leader is out you have to persist with the
84:30 - 85:00 person especially if liberals get a minority he has to stay around and if liberals get a majority then maybe you can look at it but I would still be inclined to keep him around only thing is then the next four years becomes too long for him because he has been going high energy at this for almost 3 years now
85:00 - 85:30 so that is a decision that you know requires people at the top level to decide so you know if I was to give you um the elected numbers till now just this is we're talking about almost 11 in in the night in Eastern right yeah almost 11 yeah almost 11 liberals have 77 elected conservatives have 72 elected
85:30 - 86:00 right so in that that it's very uh right now this is only the elected and block has 14 elected no NDP and green candidate has won till now but yeah Mark Carney has won by the way I think Mr carney has won uh as far as I know and uh I mean not that I'm surprised but yeah yeah you see now liberals are at 157
86:00 - 86:30 they've dropped by five and conservatives have jumped by five 143 right it's going to be a hung parliament sir it's going to be it's an absolute hung parliament and Canada has now officially become a two-party system now yeah with the exception of that Quebec factor ndp is gone ndp NDP is destroyed
86:30 - 87:00 gone you're being so kind uh NDP is destroyed completely yeah i think Yeah so I'm just waiting for us to wrap up K i just want to reach the magic 343 all 343 reporting and then we can wrap up but our area to the the areas where Indians dominate let's talk about it now so clearly you know till all the comes let's focus now on the areas where the Indian community votes which is let
87:00 - 87:30 me remind people scar bro Bmpton Missaga Surrey Abbottzford these five areas you can add Windsor as one city this is where the Indian people live and they have a significant vote comes to around 25 to 30 writings where Indian votes Indian now sorry Kalistanis I know Indian sorry I apologize to all the Kalistthanis uh I know some are watching it live on the Twitter uh live we have
87:30 - 88:00 more than 20 2,000 plus people watching the stream live right now and a lot of them are tuned in from Twitter so so Kalistthan Murabad thank you very much to all the Kalistanis watching this right now but uh this is their own mistake this was their election if they manage the GTA Dashan bhai we discussed this in our last podcast the victory of the liberal conservatives was basically how they managed GTA and they mismanaged
88:00 - 88:30 GTA community relations how on earth do you expect to win the election i think people in politics should know that in politics even one week is an
88:30 - 89:00 eternity for doing that right congratulations to the Green Party they finally have one lead on the board they must be feeling they must be like "Okay we got something on the board." One for the team at least
89:00 - 89:30 for Yeah we are at 336 now yeah we just we have seven more seats before we we call it but like what you know in absolute votes there's 1 1984780 votes as of now for the Liberals 1841 913 votes for the conservatives yeah what is this nonsense yeah block 3 lak 53,561 votes and they have a say in this
89:30 - 90:00 election like for I don't want to swear but what the hell
90:00 - 90:30 party right right
90:30 - 91:00 so you know it is interesting ndp has 2 lakh 24,639 votes green party 42,186 ppc as of now has reported 37,139 votes total yeah and good news Conservatives are up to 144 liberals 1456 i can pretty much assure you this is a hung path there is no government why is the Indian media
91:00 - 91:30 gosh shameful Indian media carney has won the election liberals have made the government why is the Indian media reporting that I just read India [Applause] today 1948 US presidential election
91:30 - 92:00 collector item major newspapers reported FDR vice president and then Um he was running the name too immediately but
92:00 - 92:30 1948 he lost and the newspaper said that he had won i think the newspaper wanted him to feel good they got convinced he has won so right but now I think uh we are in a parliament situation because [Music]
92:30 - 93:00 yeah neither the liberals nor the conservatives can get the numbers by themselves block is going to ruin this country ndp now if NDP is at 10 and liberals are at 163 164 again this country is ruined because NDP is even worse than them the NDP will again support them or or or the Conservatives somehow managed to reach 150 block remains at 24 and they cut a deal with the block what do you think what's going to
93:00 - 93:30 happen westminster right so the party with the highest number of seats will be the first to be invited to form government or 1996 I'm
93:30 - 94:00 hoping yeah the first confidence vote and he lost so and I don't think Conservatives will try to form a government when liberals have more seats because that sinks them in the next election minority situation election will be very soon
94:00 - 94:30 by the way that politician was Truman yes harry Truman yes yes yes yes harry Truman so it's it's it's so neck and neck like Liberals 159 Conservatives 143 block 24 NDP 10 Green 1 and this is 337 seats reported as of now 337 out of the 343 and now in in Bmpton
94:30 - 95:00 we have now got quite a few votes and conservatives are Bmpton South and West they are leading mhm and uh in Bmpton Center East North Kaledan and uh Chinkazi Park the the liberals are leading so Bmpton observed it from very close range she was a police officer and then she is a
95:00 - 95:30 businesswoman right she's bound to know a lot of people or campaign you know knowing you know they had a database of numbers to call for advanced polling that that kind of uh organization I have not seen before with conservative party so yeah credit and
95:30 - 96:00 and in Missaga other than Streetsville where the Conservatives are leading and it's a neck-to-neck fight by the way it's less than a 100 vote margin uh Liberals are ahead in pretty much everywhere else aar some of our viewers may not know this so I'm mentioning this when the victory margin is 200 votes or less there is automatic recount so in very very tight races it may
96:00 - 96:30 flip there is automatic it is legally required victory margin so there has to be a recount how nice so the numbers may yet change oh Pierre Palv is behind Dashanbay now we have five out of 266 polls that have been reported he is way behind till now mhm
96:30 - 97:00 pier Pal that's fascinating carney is already one he's one one like just no way pier Polyf is way behind this is Yeah numbers pier polyf uh 672 votes are for the liberal and 650 872 votes for the liberal and 657 for pier I think he's riding as almost
97:00 - 97:30 100,000 votes so we're 60% be voting vote this is way too early it depends on which box was which box was opened first I hope so too like uh this is I have never uh seen uh something u very interesting so Vancouver the Liberals are pretty much sweeping it ndp is getting one Burnaby
97:30 - 98:00 uh he's second now in his writing the liberal is leading the writing and uh sorry liberals are reading leading all the four s Newton sorry center south
98:00 - 98:30 white rock and uh Fleetwood Port Kel Kel they're leading all of them Cloverdale Milani Mhm so yes Langley toward South Langley yeah South Langley the Conservative has taken a lead over the independent now the independent is now third the
98:30 - 99:00 Conservative is at 37.7% 956 votes sukman Gil liberal is at 823 votes independent is 576 votes at 22.7% i think eventually be polling and 340 out of 343 have been reported
99:00 - 99:30 and are at 156 conservatives at 147 we are officially in the hung parliament territory now officially yes we are officially uh in the hung parliament territory it's literally going to be uh neither here nor there because uh NDP can't prop the liberals at the current scenario and form the government so NDP is literally destroyed it's a no entity so it's basically the block whether they can cut a deal with the liberals and if
99:30 - 100:00 the liberals and block can't cut it then can they cut a deal with the conservatives again you know liberals trying to form a government with by cutting a deal with block for conservatives it will not be an advisable move you let the mess continue as long as it does and then let things collapse and then go into an election so let the liberals run the government
100:00 - 100:30 it works to the conservatives advantage that is partisan i know it is partisan it is not in the national interest but politically that is how it will work yeah so we just have
100:30 - 101:00 liberal 155 conservative 149 oh my god this is so close right yeah just three seats are left to be reporting 340 so like I said uh this was my hunch from day one that this is literally going to be neither here nor there kind of an election and the country is going to be stuck i was just I was just like again this was a
101:00 - 101:30 conservative election to win if they would have managed the GTA politics better it was their election it was their election gta propped the liberals up again to 150 because now considering they are at 150 they are neck to neck if only you would have listened to the non-calistani Indian element Jenny burn you should have listened to the non-calistani Indian element but now
101:30 - 102:00 you did not yeah because see they they assume the sick likes kalistan they're such morons they're morons this literally became an election based on one community in the end and you know people were laughing at me so I'll be very honest like when I was at the ANI part and Mr aj Bisara was like no no no you're making this election only about our community i'm like listen I've been following this country like a hawk it literally will boil down to our one community the Indian community and what that community
102:00 - 102:30 does in that election correct and he was finding it so hard to believe he's like it's impossible you're overrating your community i'm like I'm not overrating my community the country is split and that that that chunk becomes the most important chunk
102:30 - 103:00 because we are in the trenches we are getting the inputs unfiltered which is a lot of trouble to handle input this may probably 90% is just noise but the remaining 10% is the pay
103:00 - 103:30 dirt even with the elected numbers right liberals have 91 elected so far conservatives have 82 elected so far block has 17 elected NDP and green has zero elected numbers declared we are just one receipt has to start reporting at 3:42 Liberal are at 157 conservatives 148 block 25 NDP 11 and green 1 so NDP has performed slightly better than they were predicted to perform people were
103:30 - 104:00 bringing them down to uh single digits um but it's it's interesting so Don Patilico North right north yeah yeah so proper Toronto region proper Toronto uh Toby Cook North Liberals are 51.1% by the way PPC has 2% of the vote there 342 votes okay
104:00 - 104:30 uh P so PPC St paul's is the biggest shocker for me like wow they had managed it and now they've just flipped right back into the place where where they were it's it's fascinating how uh these guys have gone from one place to the other but uh one more question I had do you think these
104:30 - 105:00 people will do any correction inside the Conservative party looking at the numbers now or they'll be like well you know our strategy work we are at 150 seats so what are you guys talking about i hope they are open to the
105:00 - 105:30 discussion right so if they are open to listening then yeah improvement is possible yeah the first step to solving a problem is to accept that it exists rightounce at the mercy of external forces continue
105:30 - 106:00 i think southwest Ontario southwest Ontario i think so let me just open Ontario oxford yeah he's leading comfortably yeah yeah real well it's a It's a solid it's easy it's an easy riding he's won
106:00 - 106:30 he's won arpan has won or uh Edmonton milton okay ah pam pam pam pam Gill milton East because it can swing that riding can swing he's he uh he's leading comfortably now by 600 votes parmgill is leading comfortably by 600
106:30 - 107:00 votes uh what was the other one uh Edmonton [Music] Edmonton Edmonton Tim Opal okay yeah i was thinking liberal yeah
107:00 - 107:30 i was I am only interested in my my dear Timopal G so uh Edmonton Alberta I think he's going to win comfortably because that's a very uh easy place to win yeah it's a safe
107:30 - 108:00 butd and you know what they lose official party status yeah so Shuai Majunar is winning very comfortably right that is excellent congratulations show really happy for you he's won by the way so riding Edmonton exactly i don't remember
108:00 - 108:30 alberta wait let me see uh Timopal key riding edmonton Milwoods h let's see edmonton Milwoods let's see where is it edmonton West why isn't Edmonton Milwoods not showing
108:30 - 109:00 i haven't kept track of Alberta frankly it is so solidly conservative yeah I mean he should have won i'll be shocked if he doesn't i I truly would be shocked if he doesn't win it i'm just trying to find it edmonton Center Manning Milwoods surprising I'm not able to find the one
109:00 - 109:30 writing that is there in Edmonton which is Milwoods and Edmonton gateway okay yeah he's leading comfortably comfortably that's why I don't I don't bother with Alberta writings Otherwise it's all conservative land yeah it's it's very very very
109:30 - 110:00 comfortably ahead uh where was Jasrajul calgary uh Calgary [Music] calgary no it will be conservative there's a reason why I don't
110:00 - 110:30 uh spend too much time on that no it's fun i want to see how comfortably they win and all that aman Pri Gil has has taken a lead [Music] so yeah well good they're all leading so yeah so now we have all just one all but one seat left to be reported and Liberals are 155 conservatives are
110:30 - 111:00 150 block 25 NDP1 and Green Party 1 ladies and gentlemen we are officially in a hung parliament yeah we are nobody can form a government but this Yeah nobody can form a government which I mean they can but it's not a majority no it's not right it's not and uh that's just a fact and
111:00 - 111:30 uh yeah Jasraj is I think Calgary forest lawn that's what his is yeah yeah yeah it's Calgary Forest Lawn from what I remember which is very weird but [Music]
111:30 - 112:00 yeah part of the area is same riding and then there is another riding just BMPon North K Huh bmpton North Chinuzi or Bmpton North Kaledan yeah calgary foot
112:00 - 112:30 yeah I think so we can wrap it up now um Dashan I think this was very interesting 342 out of 343 are reporting right now so let's wrap it up once again thank you for sticking with me uh through uh through this entire process so Canadians this is going to be a fun election you're not going to have uh a clarity on the government for the next 48 hours so so we'll wrap it up over there guys
112:30 - 113:00 thanks for tuning in please have fun take care of yourselves and I'll be in Canada very soon so I'll see you guys over there until then namaste take care this is Kushal Mera and Daran Maharaja signing off bye-bye [Music]