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The Future of Solar Panels?

How the Next Big Solar Panel Tech is Already Here

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    Summary

    Cadmium telluride (CdTe) solar panels are an underrecognized yet significant part of the solar industry. Although less efficient than silicon, they offer advantages in thinness and energy payback time. Companies like First Solar have been pivotal in developing CdTe technology, with a focus on efficiency, durability, and recycling. While CdTe's market presence is currently limited, advancements, particularly from research and industry players in China, may boost its prominence. The ongoing improvements and potential environmental benefits position CdTe as a contender in the future of solar technology.

      Highlights

      • CdTe panels are like that underrated band that not many have heard of, yet they hold promise in the solar market. 🎸
      • Even with lower efficiency than silicon, CdTe's ability to stay thin without losing much power is impressive. đź’Ş
      • Despite challenges like copper doping issues, CdTe panels have the potential to improve and compete. 🤔
      • China’s interest in CdTe technology indicates a possible shift towards global acceptance. 🌍
      • First Solar's dedication to R&D places them at the forefront of CdTe advancements, proving its viability. 🔬

      Key Takeaways

      • Cadmium telluride (CdTe) panels are the underdog of the solar industry, gaining a quiet cult following. 🌞
      • CdTe panels are more common in the U.S. than anywhere else, offering a unique take on solar technology. ⚡
      • The thinness of CdTe panels is a game-changer, allowing for cheaper and more efficient production. 🏭
      • Challenges exist with CdTe, like lower efficiency compared to silicon and recycling issues due to toxicity. ♻️
      • CdTe's future could be bright, with ongoing research aimed at boosting efficiency and reducing degradation. 🌟

      Overview

      Imagine a solar panel that's not quite mainstream yet holds immense promise. That's cadmium telluride (CdTe) for you. It's the indie band of solar technologies, offering unique advantages despite its underdog status. While silicon panels still dominate, CdTe panels are making headway in the U.S., largely thanks to companies like First Solar that are pioneering this technology.

        CdTe panels boast a unique advantage—their thinness—allowing for less material use and potentially lower costs. Even though they might not match silicon in sheer efficiency, their long-term energy payback and durability are big pluses. Yet, challenges remain, such as addressing their toxicity in recycling and improving efficiency to meet market demands.

          Despite these hurdles, the future could be bright for CdTe technology. Research is ongoing to enhance efficiency, reduce degradation, and make recycling more practical. Adding to this, Chinese companies are investing heavily, signaling a potential global rise. As this technology evolves, its environmental and economic impacts may make it a more mainstream choice in the solar market.

            How the Next Big Solar Panel Tech is Already Here Transcription

            • 00:00 - 00:30 Solar panels are typically made with silicon  as their semiconducting material. But you   know what they say: The grass is always  greener with cadmium telluride … wait,   what do you mean you’ve never heard of that? Well, I don’t blame you. Cadmium telluride-based  photovoltaics (or CdTe for short) are like that   underrated indie band you’ve never heard of  that’s quietly building a cult following. Sure,   they’re the second-most common kind of panels  after silicon PV, but when silicon still makes   up the vast majority of the market (by  a longshot) that doesn’t mean as much. So what on earth are cadmium telluride solar  panels? And if they’re already in use today,
            • 00:30 - 01:00 why are they the solar panel  industry’s best-kept secret? I’m Matt Ferrell … welcome to Undecided.  This video is brought to you by  LARQ, but more on that later. For most people CdTe probably sounds like  something straight out of a high school   chemistry quiz. But, CdTe panels are far more  common in the U.S. than anywhere else in the   world. But before diving into why that is, let’s  take a moment to understand what CdTe even is. Cadmium telluride is a semiconductor material,  just like silicon. As the name implies,
            • 01:00 - 01:30 it’s made from cadmium and tellurium —  both of which are toxic on their own,   but safe when combined as CdTe. This isn’t too  unusual. Table salt, for instance, is made from   two toxic substances — sodium and chlorine —  that together form something essential to life. Cadmium is fairly easy to come by as a byproduct  of zinc production. Tellurium, on the other hand,   is rare, about as common as platinum, and is  mostly found as a byproduct of copper mining.   Since it doesn’t have many other uses, most of the  tellurium mined goes straight into solar panels.
            • 01:30 - 02:00 So, why use CdTe for solar? Like silicon, it  has a "band gap," which is basically an energy   barrier that electrons need to cross to create  electricity. Without going into too much jargon,   CdTe has a band gap of 1.5 eV,  which sits right in the “sweet   spot” for solar cell efficiency. It’s  a bit higher than silicon’s 1.1 eV,   meaning it can absorb higher-energy photons  more efficiently without overheating. Even better, CdTe is a “direct  gap” semiconductor, which makes it
            • 02:00 - 02:30 better at absorbing sunlight than silicon.  This is one reason CdTe panels can be   thinner and still generate decent amounts of  power. Thinner panels are cheaper to produce   and require less material, which is a big plus. Now, I know some of you are all about the numbers,   so let’s talk efficiency. CdTe panels typically  hit around 18.6% efficiency, with lab versions   reaching up to 22%. That’s a little behind  silicon’s average efficiency of 20 to 24%,   but we can push it above 22% with doping.  That’s the process of seeding material-A
            • 02:30 - 03:00 with bits of material-B, allowing us to port  some of B’s benefits to A’s. In this case,   we’re seeding CdTe with conductive copper  or arsenic... which is, super tasty. But CdTe has a secret weapon: thinness.  If you slim silicon panels down to the   same thin-film size as CdTe, their  efficiency drops to a measly 6%. So,   CdTe wins the thin-film competition hands down. But what about perovskites? They’re like the solar  industry’s equivalent of a solid-state battery:
            • 03:00 - 03:30 always just a few years away from greatness.  These materials can reach an impressive 26.7%   efficiency. The catch? Perovskites are notoriously  fragile and degrade quickly when exposed to heat,   moisture, and even sunlight (kinda ironic for  a solar panel). Until we can toughen them up,   CdTe’s durability keeps it in the game. The  U.S.-based company First Solar (more on them   in just a minute) is a major CdTe manufacturer,  and claims their panels maintain over 89% of their   original performance after 30 years. That’s  a big deal for long-term solar installations.
            • 03:30 - 04:00 So, while CdTe isn’t as efficient as perovskites,  it’s more reliable, easier to produce, and already   widely available. That’s right. CdTe isn’t  just mature, it isn’t just commercially viable,   it's kind of commonplace. Like I said,  it's actually the second-most common PV   technology on the market right now, second only  to silicon. This naturally raises the question:   if it's already here — then where is it? Because  we almost always hear about silicon, but not CdTe.
            • 04:00 - 04:30 And speaking of something that’s right under our  noses, but goes by unnoticed most of the time:   plastics. It’s in almost all of the products  we buy, and unfortunately, single use plastics   are a major issue. Well, today’s sponsor, LARQ,  has a great way to challenge yourself to get as   much one-time use plastic out of your life as you  can. Their newest is the LARQ Bottle PureVis 2,   which purifies water, tracks your hydration  habits and gives you reminders to drink. It   has some really cool tech inside to not only  filter the water but to purify it. It uses   UV-C LED technology to automatically purify the  water every 2 hours. The filtration removes things
            • 04:30 - 05:00 like PFAS and chlorine, so you get safe, great  tasting water. And if you’re a tech geek like me,   you’ll love the new LARQ mobile app that  tracks how much water you’re drinking,   checks on your bottle filter life and allows  you to customise your hydration reminders. I   know I definitely don’t drink enough water  myself, so it’s a great way to reach your   full hydration potential. If you’d like to cut  out those one-time use plastics in your life,   and get fresh tasting, pure water on the go,  use the link in the description below to order
            • 05:00 - 05:30 yourself a LARQ Bottle PureVis 2. I’m really  loving mine. Thanks again to LARQ and to all   of you for supporting the channel. Now back to  the question: if CdTe is here — then where is it? A number of companies began experimenting  with them all the way back in the 1950s,   with General Electric leading the charge. However,  CdTe panels didn’t really gain traction until the   1990s, when efficiency improvements made  them more practical for solar power. Then   came a market downturn in the early 2000s, which  caused most companies to abandon CdTe altogether.
            • 05:30 - 06:00 But not everyone gave up. One company  stuck it out—and that’s First Solar. First Solar’s roots go back to Harold McMaster, a  glass industry pioneer who initially founded Solar   Cells Inc. McMaster had a vision for producing  low-cost thin-film solar panels on a large scale.   Though he started with silicon, a friend convinced  him to pivot to CdTe, which ultimately set First   Solar on a path to success. The company launched  its first commercial CdTe product in 2002, and   since then, they’ve been steadily increasing both  the efficiency of their panels and their output.
            • 06:00 - 06:30 As of 2023, First Solar has an energy production  rate of 16.6 GW and a commercial module efficiency   of 19.3%. And that’s just in the field. In the  lab, they’ve pushed CdTe efficiency up to 23.1%,   as confirmed by the U.S. National Renewable Energy  Laboratory (NREL). First Solar claims they’re on   track to deliver a cell with 25% efficiency  by 2025, and they’re targeting 28% by 2030.   While traditional single-junction silicon PVs  are predicted to max out at 32.1% efficiency,
            • 06:30 - 07:00 CdTe has a theoretical ceiling of 35.79%, so  there’s still a lot of potential left to unlock. What sets First Solar apart is their manufacturing  speed. They can produce a fully functional CdTe   panel in just 4.5 hours, thanks to a process  called Physical Vapor Deposition (PVD). This   process involves heating materials under a  vacuum, causing them to vaporize and then   condense onto a cooler surface, forming a thin,  uniform film. It’s a well-understood technique
            • 07:00 - 07:30 in the semiconductor world and is highly  efficient for producing CdTe solar panels. On top of that, First Solar is dedicated  to making their panels as environmentally   friendly as possible. Compared to crystalline  silicon, their CdTe panels require only 1-2% of   the semiconductor material, resulting in a smaller  carbon and water footprint. This helps CdTe panels   achieve some of the fastest energy payback times  in the industry. In other words, CdTe panels "pay   for themselves" in terms of energy savings  faster than many other types of solar panels.
            • 07:30 - 08:00 First Solar isn’t stopping there. They’re  actively expanding their R&D capabilities   and are currently building the largest solar  thin-film R&D center in the Western Hemisphere,   located in Lake Township, Ohio. This  new facility is expected to bring 300   new jobs by 2025 and help accelerate  their advancements in CdTe technology. They’re also integrating solar panel recycling.  First Solar has developed a process to recover   over 90% of the materials used in their panels,  which is impressive considering the recovery   rate for automotive materials is about 75%, and  general IT is just 45%. Their process involves
            • 08:00 - 08:30 shredding and crushing the panels, separating  the semiconductor material from the glass,   and then refining the materials to be  reused in new panels. This closed-loop   system is a major step forward in reducing  the environmental impact of solar panels. I actually have a video on a similar solar  panel recycling technique and company that   I’ll link to in the description.  Yes, solar panels can be recycled. If CdTe is so popular, how come we really  don't see it around us on a day-to-day basis
            • 08:30 - 09:00 like we do silicon? Well, I did say it’s the  second-most common photovoltaic (PV) technology,   I did bury the lead just a little bit. CdTe panels  only make up about 21% of the PV market here in   the United States as of 2022, where First  Solar is based, but globally? That number   drops to just 4%. That’s a huge gap. So why is  CdTe adoption lagging so far behind silicon? Well, CdTe is not without its drawbacks. I  already hit on the toxicity, which is going
            • 09:00 - 09:30 to make end-of-life recycling more critical.  And I should note that even though tellurium   isn’t expensive, its rarity is still  a limiting factor. Though, ironically,   one of CdTe’s biggest strengths  might actually be a major weakness. You see, the copper doping methods that  boost CdTe’s efficiency to competitive levels   also shorten its lifetime. Talk about a toxic  relationship. According to the National Renewable   Energy Laboratory (NREL), copper tends to move  around within the CdTe cells over time, eventually
            • 09:30 - 10:00 degrading the lattice structure of the material.  It’s a classic case of a toxic relationship. NREL   and First Solar are working to solve this problem  with a process called copper reduction—nicknamed   “CuRe”—that optimizes the amount of copper  used, or even replaces it with arsenic. These   efforts have already helped reduce the  degradation rate to just 0.2% per year. Another significant challenge with CdTe is its  open circuit voltage (Voc), which is essentially   the maximum voltage the cell can provide under  no load. While CdTe should theoretically have   a higher Voc due to its material properties,  the copper doping introduces imperfections
            • 10:00 - 10:30 that lower this voltage. This creates a tough  balancing act: improve efficiency through doping,   or focus on boosting the open circuit  voltage? It’s a classic trade-off. And speak of the devil, efficiency in general is  another issue. At the time of writing this script,   CdTe panels are simply less efficient than  silicon on average, even with doping or other   material tweaks. Efficiency is the name  of the game when it comes to solar power,   and while CdTe’s other benefits like a smaller  carbon footprint and faster energy payback time
            • 10:30 - 11:00 are important, lower efficiency is still a major  sticking point. This also has knock-on effects:   CdTe solar farms generally need to be up to 31%  larger to produce the same amount of power as a   silicon-based farm, which makes CdTe less ideal  for residential or space-constrained applications. For researchers at places like NREL, the  next big hurdles to jump are boosting CdTe’s   efficiency to 25% or more and getting that  open circuit voltage above 1. These might   sound like small improvements, but they’re  critical for keeping CdTe competitive in the
            • 11:00 - 11:30 long run. Hitting these targets will  require optimizing several issues,   from material composition to manufacturing  processes. But lemme quote from a paper   published last year in the journal of  Solar Energy Materials and Solar Cells: “Many of these goals have  been realized separately,   and the research and development  community is working hard to   integrate these innovations together to  keep the rapid growth trajectory of CdTe   technology moving in order to supply renewable  electricity worldwide at the terawatt scale.” That said, the real “final boss” for CdTe  doesn’t lie with any of these issues.
            • 11:30 - 12:00 It’s just that silicon is overwhelmingly  popular. After all, it is very reliable,   with very well known strengths and  weaknesses and is widely available.   Shifting a market without an overwhelming  advantage is hard and takes time. People,   power companies, and investors really do prefer  the devil they know over the one they don’t. So, is it CdTe’s time to shine? It’s getting  there, but the future isn’t set in stone. One major player in the future of CdTe is China.  As the world’s largest producer of solar panels,
            • 12:00 - 12:30 it’s no surprise that several Chinese companies  are showing interest in CdTe. For example,   Advanced Solar Power, based in Hangzhou, has  been working on CdTe since at least 2011,   with efficiency rates that are close to  those of First Solar. Flat Glass Group,   the world’s second-largest PV glass manufacturer,  recently invested 3 billion yuan into a 1-gigawatt   CdTe solar cell facility. And China National  Building Materials (CNBM) is teaming up with the   German company Singulus to ramp up CdTe production  by using advanced vacuum coating machines. This
            • 12:30 - 13:00 partnership is expected to boost CNBM’s CdTe  production capacity to over 1 GW annually. While CdTe is stuck playing second fiddle to  silicon for now, it might not be that way for   much longer. There’s just so many possible  paths forward that it’s plausible that CdTe   will continue to rapidly improve and overtake  silicon PVs for solar farms and other large-scale   projects. Then again, it's not like silicon isn’t  also advancing, and its popularity and market   dominance are probably going to be hard to shake.  Though I’m sure durable, green, thin-film tech
            • 13:00 - 13:30 like CdTe will at the very least find a niche.  In the end, it’s hard to predict where this will   go next, the space is advancing rapidly, and we  hopefully won’t have to wait long to find out. But what do you think? Is CdTe something  you’d want on your house or project? Jump   into the comments and let me know and be sure  to listen to my follow up podcast Still TBD   where we’ll keep this conversation going.  Thanks as always to my patrons for your   continued support … you really help to keep this  channel going. I’ll see you in the next one.