"I Can GUARANTEE This Will Happen In May" | Raoul Pal Crypto (WATCH SEE)

Summary

In a recent video, Raoul Pal discusses the crypto market's inherent volatility, using historical data as evidence of this natural market behavior. He emphasizes the concept of the 'banana zone,' a phase of explosive growth followed by necessary corrections, similar to past market cycles. Despite recent sell-offs, Pal is optimistic about an impending surge in Bitcoin and the broader crypto market, fueled by increasing adoption and institutional investments. He forecasts Bitcoin reaching unprecedented heights, driven by strong correlations with global liquidity and economic dynamics.

Highlights

• Raoul Pal highlights past patterns of market corrections followed by significant gains. 📈
• The 'banana zone' refers to phases of explosive growth and corrective periods in crypto markets. 🍌
• Bitcoin and the broader market are set for a financial tidal wave of capital influx. 🌊💸
• Pal reassures that recent Bitcoin corrections are part of a healthy market cycle. 🔄
• Despite volatility, cryptocurrencies are positioned for unprecedented growth due to correlation with global liquidity and institutional interest. 🌍💼

Key Takeaways

• Volatility is inevitable in the crypto market, but it's crucial for impressive gains. 📉➡️📈
• Raoul Pal predicts a significant surge in Bitcoin, envisioning a 'banana zone' phase. 🍌💥
• Institutions are discreetly positioning themselves for the crypto boom. 🏦🤫
• The crypto market's growth surpasses any investable asset in speed, with projections of 1.1 billion active wallets by 2025. 🚀💼
• Pal remains bullish and believes cryptocurrencies will become a 10 trillion dollar asset class. 💹💰

Overview

Raoul Pal dives deep into the consistent patterns mirrored in the crypto market, where volatility acts as both an obstacle and a catalyst for growth. Drawing parallels with the 2017 market trends, he introduces the intriguing concept of the 'banana zone'—a term he uses to describe the phases of rapid growth interspersed with correction periods, essential for a sustainable bull run.

He emphasizes the role of global liquidity and institutional investment as critical factors in this financial drama. Pal believes the crypto market is nearing a pivotal moment that could see Bitcoin and other cryptocurrencies reaching new, unforeseen heights. Institutions are on a quiet buying spree, setting the stage for a significant capital influx, making this an exciting time for both new and seasoned investors.

With bold predictions about future growth, Pal anticipates that the cryptoverse is on the brink of a historic surge. The anticipated rise in active crypto wallets and the surging interest from major financial players signal that the market could soon swell to an astonishing 10 trillion dollar asset class. Despite the rollercoaster of market fluctuations, Pal's message is one of preparedness and optimism for what's to come.

Chapters

• 00:00 - 00:30: Volatility and Gains In the chapter titled 'Volatility and Gains,' the discussion centers around the pattern of market corrections experienced in 2017, highlighting multiple instances of corrections reaching 30% and sometimes nearly 40%. The narrative emphasizes the forgettable nature of these events over time, as the end product of such volatilities is the compounding of gains. The key takeaway is to maintain a long-term perspective ('zoom out') to understand that volatility is an inherent part of investing in the market's growth story.
• 00:30 - 01:00: Market Dynamics and Predictions The chapter titled "Market Dynamics and Predictions" delves into the inherent volatility of markets and its correlation with impressive gains. It uses past events to predict future market behaviors, emphasizing how significant surges, like a 23x increase, reflect the dynamic nature of markets. The concept of the "banana zone" is introduced, suggesting an area in which market predictions repeatedly prove correct, and trends continue to rise. Ultimately, it stresses that volatility, while challenging, is essential for maintaining market health and regulating leverage within financial markets.
• 01:00 - 01:30: Seismic Shifts and the Banana Zone The chapter titled "Seismic Shifts and the Banana Zone" delves into the current dynamics of the cryptocurrency market, focusing on a significant sell-off that has occurred recently. The chapter highlights a sharp drop in Bitcoin's price and presents insights and predictions from Raul Pal, CEO of Real Vision, for those engaged in the crypto market. With his seasoned perspective, Pal offers guidance on navigating the tumultuous market conditions in the upcoming days and weeks. The chapter primarily centers around understanding the financial intrigues and shifting market dynamics affecting cryptocurrencies, with a particular emphasis on Bitcoin.
• 01:30 - 02:00: Crypto News and Analysis The chapter titled "Crypto News and Analysis" discusses the growing importance of the crypto market, especially during economic uncertainty. It highlights a potential surge in crypto prices and predicts an unprecedented price milestone for Bitcoin, as forecasted by Raul Pal. He anticipates a financial wave that will significantly boost cryptocurrencies, referring to this pivotal moment as the "banana zone." The chapter emphasizes the building momentum and the strategic positioning of institutions within the crypto space.
• 02:00 - 02:30: Understanding the Banana Zone Phases Pal asserts significant impending changes, inviting audience engagement through comments. The video encourages viewers to subscribe to a free, daily crypto newsletter offering expert predictions, onchain data insights, and breaking news, aimed at enhancing crypto knowledge.
• 02:30 - 03:00: Market Volatility and Strategies In the chapter titled 'Market Volatility and Strategies,' the discussion focuses on the concept of the "Banana Zone," a term which appears to relate to investment strategies or market phases. Reference is made to the public perception of the decision to initiate or maintain the Banana Zone, as well as to an individual named Ralph, who may be a person of interest or authority in this context. The Banana Zone is described as a long-term strategy, unfolding over multiple phases and stretching across several months to over a year. It begins with a phase identified as 'the banana zone in the box,' followed by multiple corrective periods. These corrective periods are emphasized repeatedly, suggesting a pattern or a cyclical nature inherent in the strategy. The chapter seems to address the inherent volatility of markets and the strategic approaches investors might adopt in response.
• 03:00 - 03:30: Global Liquidity and Crypto Growth The chapter explores the impact of global liquidity on the growth of cryptocurrency markets. The speaker references past market phases, such as 'Banana zone phase two', and compares them to current market conditions. In historical context, the crypto market initially collapsed when financial conditions tightened back in 2017. However, it bounced back after a period of correction, finally stabilizing around mid-March. The chapter highlights the expectation of massive volatility during similar market phases in the future.
• 03:30 - 04:00: Future of Crypto and Market Predictions The chapter titled 'Future of Crypto and Market Predictions' delves into the current state and forecast of the cryptocurrency market, focusing on Bitcoin's movements. The narrator discusses the 14-day Relative Strength Index (RSI) for Bitcoin, which is currently at a double bottom oversold signal, historically suggesting a price increase despite potential sideways consolidation. The analysis includes a reference to GMI's cycle finder top, which aids in exponential adjustment management and fund allocation advice, suggesting no immediate market peak is in sight.
• 04:00 - 04:30: Crypto Market Phases and Expectations The chapter discusses the nervous sentiment pervading the NASDAQ stock market, highlighting it as one of the most bearish periods recorded in its history. The discussion centers around the significant number of stocks trading at an RSI (Relative Strength Index) of less than 30, which is near-record levels. The mention of figures such as Trump and Scott Bess, along with issues like tariffs, contributes to the overall negative market sentiment. The narrator advises against excessive bearishness among investors.
• 04:30 - 05:00: Crypto as a Growing Asset Class This chapter discusses the concept of cryptocurrency as an emerging asset class comparable to traditional financial indices like NASDAQ. It emphasizes the influence of global liquidity on asset pricing and points out the historical 'air pockets' — periods when liquidity does not increase — leading to abrupt movements in NASDAQ. The narrative underscores the interconnectedness of cryptocurrency with global economic factors such as global M2 money supply, reinforcing the notion that market dynamics are driven by overarching economic codes and principles.
• 05:00 - 05:30: Bitcoin's Future and Economic Influence The chapter discusses the future of Bitcoin and its influence on the economy. It highlights Bitcoin's correlation with global liquidity, pointing out that while the NASDAQ has a 97.12% correlation with global total liquidity, Bitcoin has an 89% correlation. This suggests that Bitcoin's value may be influenced by global economic conditions and liquidity trends.

"I Can GUARANTEE This Will Happen In May" | Raoul Pal Crypto (WATCH SEE) Transcription

• 00:00 - 00:30 Because this is what happened in 2017. It played out again. There we had 1 2 3 4 five 30% corrections. In fact, many of them were almost 40%. I don't remember this. Well, I do remember the one in uh in June, July cuz I sold out at about 2,000 in that one. Um but generally speaking, you don't remember this stuff because it in the end the gains compound. So, it's really important to zoom out and realize volatility is part of the story. It is
• 00:30 - 01:00 how you get the impressive gains. You can't have them without the volatility. Guess what's likely to happen? Number go up. What happened that time? It went up big time. It went up 23x. We've got plenty to play for. And guess what? We're all correct. And it will go higher again. That's how the banana zone works. Volatility is what keeps leverage in check, keeps the market healthy. So, it's very healthy
• 01:00 - 01:30 market right now. In recent weeks, we've witnessed one of the largest crypto sell-offs in recent memory with Bitcoin experiencing a significant price drop. Raul Pal offers an urgent update for those selling their crypto and shares what we can expect in the coming days and week. Today, as we dive into a world of financial intrigue and shifting market dynamics, we'll hear the latest predictions from Real Vision CEO Raul Pal. With the sharp insight of a seasoned investor, Pal highlights Bitcoin and the broader cryptocurrency
• 01:30 - 02:00 market, recognizing its growing importance amid economic uncertainty. He delves into not just the economic indicators, but also the explosive surge in crypto prices that's on the horizon. Pal believes Bitcoin is headed toward an unprecedented price milestone and predicts a financial title wave that will propel cryptocurrency to new height. Raul Pal states that the crypto market is on the verge of something huge, a seismic shift for Bitcoin and crypto, what he refers to as the banana zone. As momentum builds and institutions quietly position
• 02:00 - 02:30 themselves, Pal asserts that everything is about to change. Drop your thoughts in the comments below. Before we continue with the rest of the video, do check out daily five-minute crypto newsletter with all the latest crypto and Bitcoin news. It's a fantastic analysis of onchain crypto data and breakdowns. And the best part is it's absolutely free. They'll cover expert predictions, breakdowns of onchain crypto data, and any breaking news you need to know, all in a nutshell. Click the first link in the description and enter your email to join over 50,000 others in becoming a better crypto
• 02:30 - 03:00 investor right now. So people are like, "Has the Banana Zone been cancelled? Is Ralph a moron?" Yes, and I will take that all day. However, the banana zone is a multi-phase affair and a multi-month and over a year affair. The banana zone starts, this is the banana zone in the box. We then have a corrective period. Look at this. Corrective period. Corrective period. Corrective period. Corrective period. Does this look any
• 03:00 - 03:30 different than this one? Uh, no. And then what happens? Banana zone phase two. Banana zone phase two. Banana zone phase two. Then we have another corrective zone. When we go back to 2017, came out of the gate, collapsed. Why? Because financial conditions had tightened. And then it went up, recorrected, and wasn't didn't get going until mid-March. Where are we now? We will get massive volatility in the middle. And you won't believe it. and
• 03:30 - 04:00 you think it's going to be topping. It won't be. Bitcoin 14-day RSI double bottom oversolds. Okay. Every time that happens, goes up. Sometimes it has this sideways consolidation period, then goes up. Will we have more sideways consolidation? This charts maybe outdate by a week for sure. Will it go up? For sure. Um, are we anywhere near a top? Here's our GMI cycle finder top that we use for exponential adjustment management. We use this as one of the key inputs into what we're doing and how we allocate to funds. Uh, we're nowhere
• 04:00 - 04:30 near. Um, NASDAQ, let's talk about equities. You guys are nervous Nellies. This is like one of the most bearish ever readings in the history of the NASDAQ. Trump and Scott Bess and tariffs and they're all going to make us. It's you guys stop. You are all way too bearish. The percentage of stocks trading with a RSI of less than 30 is almost record
• 04:30 - 05:00 territory. And guess what? Global M2, because the everything code drives everything, drives NASDAQ, too. And you guys trying to sell the NASDAQ here are selling something that is perfectly priced for liquidity. And we've had these liquidity air pockets in the past. Liquidity air pocket is when liquidity is not rising. NASDAQ overshoots. It
• 05:00 - 05:30 recorrects, comes back down to trend and then follows liquidity. Remember NASDAQ has a 97 12% correlation to global total liquidity, which is the index that we use on a broader basis. 97 12%. Bitcoin has an 89% correlation with global liquidity. Global liquidity, I wrote
• 05:30 - 06:00 about this in GMI and there's probably not much time to talk about it now, but is my preferred measure these days. If we go back to the early phase of the everything code, the balance sheet was the main thing. After the balance sheet use, we started using Fed net liquidity. Once people understood that the balance sheet was printing of money in debasement, they started moving to FedNet liquidity. Now all of Finssweet understands Fednet liquidity as does
• 06:00 - 06:30 crypto Twitter. And so they're looking at the TGA and the reverse repo and all of this stuff. Meanwhile, the game has moved. The game is always moving, my friends. The game has moved to total liquidity in the US and everywhere around the world. Total liquidity includes M2. It includes net liquidity at every single major economy level. Net liquidity plus M2. And M2's largest driver is the dollar. That is what
• 06:30 - 07:00 they're now doing, which means that they're pushing the monetary policy onto the balance sheet of the banks themselves. Rul Pal states that the pace of crypto adoption is the fastest for any investable asset in human history. By the end of 2025, there will be 1.1 billion active crypto wallet. The speed of this growth is staggering and it will lead to the most rapid accumulation of wealth we've ever witnessed. This conclusion comes after a career of research with every chart and piece of
• 07:00 - 07:30 data pointing to the same outcome. Liquidity drives everything and crypto will emerge as the best performing asset of all. For months, Raul has been urging investors that the right conditions are falling into place, setting the stage for parabolic upward movements in crypto prices. The common refrain I get on X is, oh, like, well, he's the banana boy. So, people are like, has the banana zone been cancelled? The banana zone is a multiface affair and a multi-month and
• 07:30 - 08:00 over a year affair. And those of you who expect number go up all the time are only remembering what the banana zone is at certain periods of time. Your numbers not going up because you own a bunch of alts and you're like complaining. Okay, I get it. Let's go through this again for you morons out there. The banana zone starts. This is the banana zone in the box. We then have a corrective period.
• 08:00 - 08:30 Look at this. Corrective period. Corrective period. Corrective period. Corrective period. Does this look any different than this one? Uh, no. And then what happens? Banana zone phase two. Banana zone phase two. Banana zone phase two. Then we have another corrective zone. And you're all going to be throwing your toys out the plan. It's all over. It's just like 2021 again. Blah blah blah blah blah blah blah. And guess what? We will correct and it will go
• 08:30 - 09:00 higher again. That's how the banana zone works. And you guys have to learn patience. I know I say this all the time. Rul Pal's concept of the banana zone, the explosive phase in cryptobull markets, remains intact despite recent Bitcoin corrections. Critics may question his thesis due to volatility. But Pal emphasizes that the banana zone progresses in phases, rapid gains followed by healthy pullbacks much like previous cycles. He stresses these pullbacks are necessary to flush out weak hands and reset leverage. Bitcoin's
• 09:00 - 09:30 strong correlation with global liquidity supports its growth even during temporary dips and Pal believes the market is primed for another significant upward move. Pal predicts the next phase of the crypto cycle is critical and he's making substantial bets in his portfolio. He remains bullish on digital assets, having increased his position size during the last bare market. With massive capital expected to flow into crypto, especially from major pension funds and institutional investors, Pal forecasts that the crypto market will become a 10 trillion asset class. He
• 09:30 - 10:00 believes this cycle will distinguish itself from previous ones as devalued fiat currencies drive more adoption and bring unprecedented amounts of capital into the market. Bitcoin in particular is set for an unprecedented price milestone with Palv envisioning a financial title wave pushing cryptocurrency to new height. While Bitcoin has been trading more like a risk asset lately, Pal predicts that it will surge alongside a broader market recovery. However, if the market remains uncertain, Bitcoin could face short-term
• 10:00 - 10:30 pressure. The bottom line is that Bitcoin's next big move depends on how the broader economic situation evolves, making this a crucial moment for crypto investors. For more daily dose crypto news, check out these two awesome videos on your screen.