Rafale Shot Down? Debunking the Pakistani Narrative

RAFALE ABATTUS ? ANALYSE / DEBUNK DE LA VERSION PAKISTANAISE

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    Summary

    This detailed analysis dives into the Pakistani Army's debriefing regarding the alleged shooting down of Rafale jets. The video dissects the narrative and tactics used in hybrid warfare, illustrating the crucial role of communication in military strategy. The Pakistani narrative is closely examined, questioning the credibility and intentions behind their statements. Techniques like sensor fusion and electronic warfare are highlighted as keys to modern combat effectiveness. This piece serves as a critical reminder of the importance of accurately understanding military engagements and the potential for misinformation in warfare narratives.

      Highlights

      • Pakistan's mastery in hybrid warfare communication is showcased in their debrief. 🌟
      • The narrative mixes actionable military facts with strategic storytelling. 📚
      • Understanding the role of technology, such as sensor fusion, is essential in dissecting modern warfare tactics. 💻
      • The video stresses the importance of verifying military claims to avoid misinformation. 🔍
      • Rafale engagements and the surrounding narrative are dissected for credibility and intention. ✂️

      Key Takeaways

      • Hybrid warfare emphasizes communication as much as military action itself. 📢
      • The Pakistani debrief serves as a masterclass in hybrid warfare communication. 🧠
      • The credibility of military narratives should always be scrutinized, as propaganda can blend truth with exaggeration. 🕵️‍♂️
      • Advanced technologies like sensor fusion are crucial in modern warfare scenarios. 🤖
      • Pakistan's response and communication highlight their strategic prowess in the modern military theatre. 🎯

      Overview

      The video opens with a bold claim from Pakistan about their air skirmish success, analyzed under the scope of hybrid warfare theory. It explains how communication can amplify military effects beyond the physical battlefield, using Pakistan's efficient use of media as an example.

        Throughout the video, comparisons are drawn between the Pakistani and Indian narratives, probing the gap between rhetoric and reality. The intricacies of modern military tactics are detailed, showcasing the blend of electronic warfare and strategic communication as essential tools in creating an overarching narrative.

          The conclusion rounds off the analysis by highlighting the lessons in leadership and operational management from this engagement, offering insights into modern warfare dynamics. This segment also touches on geopolitical implications and predictions for future military strategy adjustments in response to this event.

            Chapters

            • 00:00 - 00:30: Introduction: Mastering Hybrid Warfare The chapter titled "Introduction: Mastering Hybrid Warfare" opens with a debriefing analysis by the Pakistani army on hybrid warfare. The speaker emphasizes the significant role of communication and the impact generated by military actions within this context. It suggests that the perception created through these actions can be as crucial, if not more so, than the actual military effects achieved.
            • 00:30 - 01:00: Pakistan's Strategic Hybrid Warfare The chapter discusses Pakistan's strategic hybrid warfare, highlighting a recent example where Pakistan demonstrated exceptional mastery in this area. The actions of Pakistan, particularly their operation in the sky, are presented as a 'masterclass' in hybrid warfare. A 7-minute press conference, which has been translated into French using AI, is also analyzed. This press conference is seen as a key element in understanding Pakistan's strategy, with the overall performance being described as excellently timed and orchestrated.
            • 01:00 - 01:30: Indian and Pakistani Press Conferences The chapter discusses recent press conferences from both India and Pakistan, highlighting a key theme of hybrid warfare communication. It underscores a significant difference between the presented narratives from Pakistan and the underlying facts, aiming to provide a deeper understanding of the realities obscured by these official speeches. It also promotes an upcoming video that will explore these issues in more depth, inviting viewers to subscribe to stay informed. The Indian press conference is notably scheduled for release on Sunday at 6 p.m.
            • 01:30 - 02:30: General Situation and Initial Positions The chapter titled 'General Situation and Initial Positions' begins with a discussion on the strategic positioning of locations relevant to the narrative. It touches upon the geographical orientation with India situated to the east and another region to the west, setting the stage for further exploration of tactical situations and developments.
            • 02:30 - 04:30: Pakistani and Indian Military Actions The chapter discusses the military actions of Pakistan and India, specifically highlighting Pakistan's anticipation of an attack.
            • 04:30 - 06:00: Communication and Strategy The chapter titled "Communication and Strategy" discusses the strategic positioning and protection of radar planes. The focus is on having an AEW (Airborne Early Warning) and AAX aircraft situated on the Afghan side for safety and effective distance management from India. The narrative emphasizes that there are three patrols actively engaged in the air, highlighting the need for caution as the information might be false. The strategy assumes everything must be treated as true unless proven otherwise, acknowledging the power of patrol units consisting of two armed positions.
            • 06:00 - 08:00: Debrief and Analysis This chapter covers a debrief and analysis session regarding a significant military event that began just after midnight. The timeline of the event is explained, highlighting the coordination and assets required to maintain operations throughout the night. It details the realization of a major attack, involving various military forces and underscoring the strategic allocations on both the Indian and Pakistani sides, including the support role played by law enforcement and the engagement of IF fighters.
            • 08:00 - 09:00: Lessons from the Pakistani Response In the chapter "Lessons from the Pakistani Response", the swift counteraction of the Pakistani forces is highlighted. When an initial deployment was detected, the Pakistani Army launched its response in under two minutes. This prompt decision suggests that they had preemptively planned and anticipated such an event, with a counteroperation ready to be executed immediately. By 00:12, their response was activated and the fighters began to take off. This illustrates the level of preparedness and strategic planning within the Pakistani military.
            • 09:00 - 10:00: Communication Mastery and Conclusion This chapter discusses the strategic deployment of forces to demonstrate dominance, referred to as a 'multidomain operation'. The speaker highlights the significance of this approach, introducing it as a 'new concept of war', emphasizing its impact and innovation. Additionally, the chapter touches on the importance of understanding specific military terminology used in briefing English, highlighting the need for linguistic precision in communication. The overall theme is the evolution and sophistication of warfare strategy coupled with effective communication.
            • 10:00 - 12:00: Final Thoughts on Hybrid Warfare and Leadership The chapter discusses the evolution of sensor fusion technology in military aviation, using the Rafale as an exemplar. Sensor fusion integrates multiple sensor inputs including electronic contacts, infrared signatures, radio emissions, and radar data to enhance situational awareness and operational effectiveness. This concept, dating back to the 1980s, highlights advancements in technology akin to those found in modern smartphones, suggesting parallel progress in different countries' defense capabilities. The chapter concludes with a thought-provoking link between technological evolution in warfare and the complex landscape of intelligence and leadership in hybrid warfare scenarios.
            • 12:00 - 15:00: Impact on Future Military Strategy The chapter discusses the strategic implications of collecting information from ground sources and using it in the command center to make effective military decisions. It highlights a specific example at midnight, 13 minutes after a particular event, where decisions shifted from offensive to defensive modes. The narrative explains the importance of understanding the context — whether in defense or attack mode — as a crucial aspect of military strategy. The chapter concludes with an example involving the takeoff of Indian forces, reinforcing the strategic shift in response to different situations.
            • 15:00 - 16:00: Conclusion and Call to Action In this chapter titled 'Conclusion and Call to Action,' the transcript discusses the operational efficiency of Indian forces, highlighting their ability to get 72 planes, including bursts, off the ground within 20 minutes. It further describes the strategic arrangement of the zones of responsibility (AORs), detailing four main zones including the northern region near Kashmir, a more southern part, a central zone, and a southern area where the image becomes less clear. This setup reflects a coherent strategy despite the complexity of the operations.

            RAFALE ABATTUS ? ANALYSE / DEBUNK DE LA VERSION PAKISTANAISE Transcription

            • 00:00 - 00:30 hello everyone and welcome to the video today we are going to analyze the debriefing offered to us by the Pakistani army and I am not going to beat around the bush you will realize that it is of the very very high level very very high level in hybrid warfare what does that mean it means that in hybrid warfare the communication and the impact generated by your military action is at a minimum if not more important than the reality of your military effect what that means
            • 00:30 - 01:00 is that the Pakistanis have just given us all a masterclass in mastering hybrid warfare through their action in the sky but above all and in part thanks to this 7-minute press conference which we are going to debrief and analyze after having translated it using AI into French and well you will realize that it transforms the test and this thanks to the excellent general performance which you will see is rather very well timed
            • 01:00 - 01:30 it denotes a little with the Indian press conference which has just been released this Sunday at 6 p.m. that we will also debrief in the coming days on the channel do not hesitate to subscribe now do you have to buy the whole Pakistani narrative you will realize that between the keystone communication of hybrid warfare and the reality of what he is about to prove in the next 6 minutes there is a gulf and it is the objective of our video to allow you to better understand what is hidden behind this just jingle speech
            • 01:30 - 02:00 before attacking general situation we have here to the east is India we have to the west
            • 02:00 - 02:30 Pakistan what we see is that Pakistan was still expecting an attack
            • 02:30 - 03:00 so you have an AEW an AAX if you want a radar plane which is located really on the Afghan side in order to be protected from having the distance from India it is protected we also see that from the start we already have three patrols in the air now be careful this is the information that the Pakistani you have to keep in mind that in fact it may be false but we will start from the principle that everything is true so you already have three fairly armed positions eh patrols of that like that it's still quite powerful a patrol of two
            • 03:00 - 03:30 in the middle it's very coherent it's it's it's normal but it requires a lot of assets a lot of means to be able to maintain a permanence like that all night they will explain to us the timeline the timeline which will start at midnight 10 and then after 2 minutes they will realize that in fact this is it this is the big attack word to the Pakistani general this is the Indian side here is the Pakistani side we had some gaps in the north in the center in the south and law was there to support them and the IF fighters began an
            • 03:30 - 04:00 initial deployment which was uh detected from the north and the center on the other side of the IB at 00:10 and by that time the PF had launched its response in less than 2 minutes so what does that mean that the the Pakistani army decided in less than 2 minutes that was the time it took them to say "OK it's going to attack we'll make our response." Answer that they had already planned that they had already anticipated they actually had a counteroperation in stock that's what explains us at 0012 our repost was activated the IF started to take off their fighters
            • 04:00 - 04:30 putting them in the air in large numbers by the time it was 12:30 p.m. we were pretty sure that this would be the day and the moment to set the record straight with these guys once again so we launched our multidomain operation pride joy and the new new new concept of war that we have takes interesting he explains to us that they have a new concept of multidomain war and that's it we will realize that there are certain terms which use I we listened to him in English before to have the exact terms but he will use certain terms
            • 04:30 - 05:00 and rather than having a radar contact for example he will say that he has an electronic contact so they come to use a kind of sensor fusion which made the success of the rafal this fusion of sensors concept which had an assault in the 80s there we are a few years later look at the technology of your phone well there are other countries which have probably made advances on this kind of fusion also so the idea is what is trying to recover everything which is infrared signature everything which is radio emission everything which is radar emission everything which will also be radar equivalent surface why not also intelligence with
            • 05:00 - 05:30 people at ground eh who give you information collect all that in the command center and be able to make good decisions so at midnight 23 we are 13 minutes after the takeoff of the gusts you are not going to make much distance in 13 minutes they already have the paf from here so the answer from here is defensive counter air when you attack you are from the offensive ossiillé when you defend you are dissipated so from the beginning he explains to us that they are in defense mode and at midnight 30 for them there was all the takeoff of the Indians so the
            • 05:30 - 06:00 Indians took 20 minutes to get all their planes off the ground they estimate that there were 60 planes including bursts and then there were other planes that we joined for a total of 72 so in 20 minutes it took 20 minutes to get all that off the ground which is rather coherent so four big zones what we call AORs so we are in the northern part on the side of the Kashmir and then you see we have a part a little more south and there behind we have the rather central part on the side of the base a little gusts and after the southern part it is the image which becomes blurred
            • 06:00 - 06:30 we have a very large number of IF fighters which are stacked in azimuth and altitude everywhere and the PFDC response is in place so at min 30 there they have their four attacks the four axes of assault from the Indians and they have taken off their hunt they are going to be in place we are going to realize they are going to take off more than 40 planes the call of the latest generation of 4.5 generations when the whole device takes shape it is deployed on four axes and we think that they are going to carry out four drills just to
            • 06:30 - 07:00 drag us into the gear up to 60 planes of which 14 bursts have been identified electronically thanks to our electromagnetic operational environment we call it the words so yes that's it so it's this electromagnetic environment so there has sensors we are just beyond the radar and it is really this fusion between what we are going to have in the air what we are going to have on the ground and that is the future of war we see it for example in Ukraine it allows us to gain the awareness of the situation on the battlefield if you want the battlefield is at night it is fog when you have good sensors
            • 07:00 - 07:30 in place you see there as in broad daylight and you will be able to make the right decisions efficiently at the moment where they were in flight we had sorted engaged and counted all the fighters the number of 60 was increased to 72 thanks to their successive takeoff which continued to arrive to reinforce complete and saturate the air defense he thought he could do this in the face of the Pakistani DGE the air defense environment on the ground the complete response of the Pakistani DCA device was also ok so there min 37 we have the complete Pakistani response
            • 07:30 - 08:00 it would have taken roughly 12 see 25 minutes to put everyone in the air and it's not much we see that they took roughly as much time as the Indians but there it's on response eh so on alert it's so they had a lot of pilots on alert and also that must be tiring eh it reminds us of the importance of having mass for memory in the Red Sea the American aircraft carrier are not protected 24 hours a day by their national assets it's from the aircraft carrier sometimes it's planes which come from the army of air or even from base like Jibouti to
            • 08:00 - 08:30 come and cover certain schedules it's not easy to have 24-hour alerts there it's been several days that the Pakistanis were on alert it consumes human resources and obviously a lot of material there what we are going to see is that therefore he clarified having put 42 high technology planes in the air there were probably more there is perhaps something other than high technology their objective is the sovereignty of Pakistani airspace we were asking the question on the last video there we have the answer very important point feedback from Iran
            • 08:30 - 09:00 feedback from experience of multitude of other zones by example on the side of Ukraine you have well a reroting so they took the civil planes out of the airspace there was this desire this Pakistani professionalism it must be said he talks about it in a few seconds about sparing the civilians because there the Indians are attacking without warning there are airliners everywhere in the middle we are in a zone where France can pass in the corner there it is the Pakistanis who said "We are closing the airspace we are going into war mode" excellent thing it is one of the points of feedback that we had in particular when the
            • 09:00 - 09:30 Ukrainian 737 was shot down on takeoff from Iran so we are going in the right direction see skirmishes at the other now the civilians are more taken into consideration there now he explains to us the red session that the Indians say to themselves "Well in the end we are going to cross the border that I don't know how he knows." Um, so he believes that thanks to their presence they dug up they prevented the Indians from crossing the front line and finally crossing the line at all and returning home I don't know how he can prove that I think it's more communication than anything else
            • 09:30 - 10:00 at that moment then he will explain to us that they will detect the opening of airol fire from the Indian planes at that moment the chief of the Pakistani general staff will decide to change the rules of engagement in flight we were wondering the question which attacked the first there he clearly explains to us that it is an immediate and proportional response in view of the aggression on the part of the Indians it is clear from a point of view rule of engagement and so now it was assured kill deny on loss which means if you want to kill the plane in front and we
            • 10:00 - 10:30 do not want to lose planes at home so basically we remain at risk level the famous water we do not have the right to lose planes on the other hand we want to kill them so that means aggressiveness but to good use and so behind them they went from ter which was to scare and prevent it from entering to Distroy with the main objective of the burst since the Indians had announced that they would use the rafal and there was clearly a huge objective of com/gary bride behind it announces to us about 1 hour but after having started in an ultra precise way in the
            • 10:30 - 11:00 timeline and that is very very strong on the part of the Pakistanis there you will see the time disappears completely and while it gave us a climb in very clear power now we no longer have any time information you will not really see any time information again which hinders us from being able to really understand what happened so remember the propaganda is 80% real information and 20% we are in place and there it is a masterclass we have the feeling that everything is completely framed which will give us lots of very precise information this is what he did on all this construction of the situation and at the moment when it will begin to be
            • 11:00 - 11:30 the fight and this good war they are not there to fill debriefing points with the Indians well there you will see now it will be much harder for him to prove what he is saying now we had 42 high technology planes on our side and the strategy was to concentrate our forces in our chosen area of ​​operation and to fight according to our assets the hunters there is a very small point which is not coherent it is normal that they do AOR so areas of responsibility and then behind them they say they will target that the burst it will
            • 11:30 - 12:00 explain to us that they could have done better you have so many planes so many zones that normally you hold your zone you try to do as best as possible what you were asked to do in your zone if there is a gust you aim as a priority but he will explain to us that they are held back a little bit from carrying the blows to rather focus on the gust there are two ways to understand it 1 he sells us sausages of well there it is a little more detailed a little more technical it's guys said to themselves "OK since I have to die in front I have no gust well I'm
            • 12:00 - 12:30 not going to take any risk and so as long as it doesn't cross the border in front." So we are still present but we are much less aggressive we are really in wait-and-see mode if I may say so we let them do their thing on their side of the border we don't expose ourselves we don't take a risk as long as it doesn't come home on the other hand if we see that there is a gust in front we get a little closer without crossing the border either but we are more aggressive these two possibilities given what he is telling us there uh I think if he is honest it is rather the second of the PF ensured the air sovereignty of Pakistan and because of that we first
            • 12:30 - 13:00 diverted all the civilian traffic which was to pass through Laor Islamabad and this area because we thought that this was going to be the hot spot so we then I'm really going to insist because when it's not good we say a little later he's going to sell us sausages we're going to say it too al it's an expression that we like in the navy he there is no lack of respect uh but here we really have to give credit to the reactivity to remove all civilians from the airspace and I tell you this as an airline pilot and as a passenger in airliners
            • 13:00 - 13:30 all the countries in the world would not have done it or do not do it uh I hope that it will raise uh this awareness of the situation uh upwards for all the other countries which can find themselves in areas like that where there is where there is degradation and skirmishes we wanted uh to guarantee the safety of all uh civil aircraft the when they noted the solidity of our defense they resorted to the use of their air ground weapons while remaining on their side of the border so this is what explains their change of plan I
            • 13:30 - 14:00 don't know how he can prove it unless there is intelligence in advance when we look and we will look at the Indian counter-end they don't seem quite aligned with that but we will see there are other little points not entirely logical afterwards and they as soon as they launched their weapons we could identify them instantly and the chief of staff of the air force as I mentioned was at the c it remained there super important point so as soon as they launched their weapons they could identify it instantly very strong does that therefore mean that they detect the weapon from a radar point of view or with their system very well which brings us
            • 14:00 - 14:30 towards the unknown of this report uh that it does to us the thing that it will completely put under the carpet why did they not try to intercept this weapon since you manage to detect it well it is that you see it if you see it scalp or other well intercept it we know that it is feasible it is done why did they not do it different versions first version it was not their mission their mission was sure that it deny On loss in RR purfale so
            • 14:30 - 15:00 there was clearly a desire to put their assets to destroy and to make bad for the consequences that it would have behind the Indian Air Force second reason it could be in fact he doesn't know he couldn't do it in fact he couldn't detect the airol weapon and couldn't intercept it 3rd point which is a point that we heard later who is who didn't want to show the position of their solar system to shoot down but in this case
            • 15:00 - 15:30 with 42 planes in the air why not use these planes to intercept it as we can see in Ukraine for example or as we saw above Jordan or Iraq 4th point and well in fact they are distributed the roles and they said the air force will manage the air vectors the solar defenses will manage the missiles the scalps and they did not manage to have them which brings us to the 5th possible theory which is that in fact well it did not bother that here target terrorists he knew that behind that would make it possible to
            • 15:30 - 16:00 deescalate that everyone would have scored their points and it was an unacceptable political choice for several nights I saw him there so when I said that he led the operation and that he led from the front he did it immediately and he changed so there he is saying good things about his great leader so the general was in the command center and what is interesting is he said I saw him for several nights so that shows us that he is not I don't know exactly when the attack was going to take place, it was ready every night, very consuming
            • 16:00 - 16:30 potential resources, since that means that they were running their aircraft, which was running their fighter patrol, about ten planes in the air constantly to be ready to react and all the others on alert ready to take off at 12 minutes for the first ones. game in the air moving from deterrence to assurance of destruction by denying any loss the PF strategy changed we had a plan uh we thought the Indians uh last time they said
            • 16:30 - 17:00 they would have bursts and they could have created any difference so we targeted their center of gravity and their burst that's why you see good numbers on that we could have had even higher numbers but we showed our strength uh ladies and gentlemen what is remarkable in this whole operation is that it lasted more than an hour with a Here so there he explains to us that he targeted the gusts he shows a particular point what were they doing in the north was it further back we don't know now they are going to show us their kill so here warm up your
            • 17:00 - 17:30 critical sense I'm not saying that they didn't take place I'm just saying that we have to be able to prove them and personally I wouldn't have presented it like that why because at the current time in int in open source Inens we see this map with on one side the M88 we now have the images in HD and further north we have the ejection seat of Russian planes and these two coordinates do not correspond to the point that he is going to announce to us in his debriefing so be careful it is not very
            • 17:30 - 18:00 very far but behind his justification to explain that his shotlog that's what it is called is consistent does not make sense with the position where the planes were lost we will see that in detail large number of devices go back such a large number of devices on both sides with so much commitment and the flow of the BVR modern warfare has evolved so much that the door is long the job it's it's uh if you don't shoot you get shot at that's the most important phrase which will be studied for years in the general staff why
            • 18:00 - 18:30 there you see even in his in his attitude it's not my job to analyze people but there it shows he's speaking from what he likes we see that he is a former air defense pilot and and he begins to talk about what we call biviard flows of the grinder and there you really see that he has changed his attitude he has been hot there for 3 minutes since he has been speaking it is subjects which master and it gives him pleasure to share around the change of the war and this famous war Fox 3 shooter what we call Fox 3 Aware for the record the Fox 3 has developed in the 90s in France we started to be Fox 3
            • 18:30 - 19:00 aware with the Mika uh since we can say since the years 2015 almost everyone on Earth and Fox Treeware as a reminder the Chinese the PL15 they started in 2011 so everyone is Fox TR it is a type of very long range combat the novelty in recent years is the arrival of very long range missiles the PL15 the IM10 Delta the meteor we can only take two and there he comes to drop us a little sentence in his excitement which is extremely important he tells us that in the grinder basically it's either you
            • 19:00 - 19:30 shoot or you get shot down and that well it's not quite aligned with the Western philosophy of Fox Street we know that the Pakistanis were initially trained by the Americans that now they are very close do a lot of exercises with the Chinese with also export clients of the burst almost everywhere in golf but here the point is super interesting why because I think that he is letting us know without doing it on purpose little information on their doctrine of long range combat and there he clearly tells us that on each turn of the crank when
            • 19:30 - 20:00 you do fox 3 what are you doing in fact you advance towards the threat at a certain distance function of opponent's armament either you decide to open fire to force the opponent to turn around try to kill him or you turn around because you say "If I get any closer I risk getting shot." But when you turn around you say to yourself "The opponent must also turn around because he is afraid that I will shoot him." Except that now it's thanks to their system that they manage to know if the missiles fly, it changes all the doctrines and it forces you, as he is saying, to fire at every turn, so
            • 20:00 - 20:30 for me it's been a bunch of years since I left the store, but we see that for them when you do uncarried flight like that you have to fire at every turn, the problem is what the problem is, you don't have an unlimited stock of missiles on Western planes whose philosophy of use is normally not fired at every turn you only take two meteors on burst and spoiler alert on the new Chinese planes they are working for the PL16 where in the hold it could take six so you will end up with a stealth plane to be detected
            • 20:30 - 21:00 at long distance with six very long range missiles in the hold versus Western planes where basically we will have two very long range missiles not even in the hold and there clearly we will have to learn some lessons from this apparently change of doctrine and take good notes if we do not want to lose the next war that is why the art consisted of using them optimally this was a big challenge for us that's why I said that this had never happened before
            • 21:00 - 21:30 here are the locations with the identification so in terms of the locations we have our burst at 23 nautical here which is probably the M88 that we found a little further away so that's the big question to ask in fact what we are missing on saog is is it the word these positions are at the time of the firing from the plane pakistan opened fire or is it at the moment of impact as we have already explained on this channel the missiles can fly for several tens of seconds or even several minutes especially very long ranges if you have
            • 21:30 - 22:00 100 150 km to go that you are doing Mac 5 mac 5 it's 1.5 km/h I'll let you do the calculation that's a few seconds if you have a plane that flies at max 0.9 and well you will quickly realize that at Max 09.9 we're going to do that 300 m per 100 seconds you're still doing a bunch of kilometers that means that it's moving so this shotlog either it's at the moment as they say about the pickle when it shoots or it's at the moment of impact but there is a gap between the two there
            • 22:00 - 22:30 is a gap between the two I think it's at the moment of the shot but to be frank I don't know and what we're going to miss is the altitude of the target its course and its speed that would have us allowed us to understand in fact the aerial combat he does not give us this information I understand why would he give us additional information we do not need to know and it could help nations to debrief so he is not there to help us to make our lives easier on the other hand in the interesting points is to notice that he tells us to have concentrated
            • 22:30 - 23:00 on the burst or from what we see there is a burst in the south there are two raf there is a burst which is just there another one there and so in fact there is no real concentration of gusts so why is it important because shows us that in fact there is not a gust patrol which fell into an ambush which we say there are two or three gusts and I don't know we don't know at the moment we know that there have been losses the Indians have said so they don't want to tell us how many but we know that there have been losses of gusts if we say there are had two or three bursts they may have fallen into an ambush they are put in a bad place they are made to have boom I want to tell you it's less embarrassing than
            • 23:00 - 23:30 if you lose as apparently it is the case a burst in the south a burst in the middle and a burst in the north that means that in the three cases are different patrols that got caught so that means that we are not on an error/ash a local fault of a leader of a patrol a loss of consciousness from the localized situation we are on something much more systemic so in terms of feedback more electronic work where we
            • 23:30 - 24:00 think we are certain to have fired a MIG29 was shot down 8 miles from the line of control bearing 23 to 24 320 Mesnautique just an important point he tells us that it is certain you will realize that the only error I think it is voluntary but the only error that the Pakistani general makes who is doing a very very good performance and there which is really in good shape when it comes to debriefing we see that he likes it is to say that he is certain why because we have just said we can easily start to want to debunker by saying well yes but the planes did not fall in the same place and you will see that behind him explains to us
            • 24:00 - 24:30 why he is certain he is certain because he has the missile link which tells him when the missile becomes active what we call pit bull and then behind he sees the plot disappear so how do you explain if the plot disappears that the wreckage is several tens of kilometers away and this is not the only time in his press conference we have some inconsistencies was shot at 19029 at 25000 from the line of control we have details because on a modern battlefield we cannot invent imagined things you have an identification he is very good there he explains to us
            • 24:30 - 25:00 that we cannot invent imagined things all that but the positions do not correspond so either we have the wrong information on the places where the planes fell either and well then he could have explained to us perhaps a little bit more in detail so as to avoid the risk he takes it's having a specialist behind in the journalists who ask questions which are a little painful to avoid that no one is going to realize it the journalists they are not specialized enough to be able to ask the right question it goes cream 100% success in Gary hybrid there he gives us a little presentation which went viral on the internet and everyone
            • 25:00 - 25:30 took it at face value whereas it's a slide and we could add uh look hop we add a kill on Obi One Kenobi well that's how we prove it well as much as the others in fact so I'm not saying that it didn't happen I'm just saying that you have to take it at face value it still tends to have a little too much electronic certainty uh the plane is detected uh by its data link as soon as you turn on your radar you show yourself and
            • 25:30 - 26:00 no one can hide no one can deny it a burst a was shot down 1454 miles from the control line in Strinagar so you can have all these details we have exact ranges and bearings because and when you use your weapon you know exactly when the missile activates at what moment it is fired so what is interesting is that it clearly explains to us that this probe of the PL15 and that the PL15 has this connection between the weapon and the plane what we know on Wikipedia about the PL15 which is not the case on all the missiles it there are
            • 26:00 - 26:30 a lot of missiles that don't have this technology so it allows us to confirm certain things that we suspected about the PL15 which is really high technology hey there we are the missile which speaks permanently to the plane that's it's still what does the best and when the signal disappears what is checked during the debriefing so that's it then explains to us when the signal disappears well yes but then what we don't understand is the gap between the positions so that's why I told you that it's to be taken with a grain of salt none of the statements are exaggerated they are therefore very clear very concise very precise and I have an
            • 26:30 - 27:00 audio recording of a training of So there the guy is super strong he is super strong why because after explaining to you that these facts are indisputable he adds sound to you and there it's perfect because in fact we don't know where it comes from so he brings it to us in an honest masterclass way in plus there he found his sense of humor again it's great personally I laughed when he made his joke you'll see about Godzilla so he's going to us the collar of the patrol it's Godzilla he says "These are animals which are extinct and which will soon be extinct." And
            • 27:00 - 27:30 so yes I hope that Piotte is not dead but but but it's funny from a military point of view I want to tell you and from a humor point of view so it became viral on the internet and that's how we win the hybrid war but we don't know where this Godzilla patrol is we don't know what time it is he could have given us the information and that would have helped me to buy but there it can very radio conversation which takes place there 1 year ago 2 years ago 3 years ago we have no idea it's still interesting the patrols tend to use
            • 27:30 - 28:00 different call signs for peace and wartime to see if Godzilla is the name for war it's not hidden I can tell you the patrols for example the 11th fleet peacetime it's kimono so we're going to change the name like that to see for Godzilla on the other hand he gives us the exchange we don't know where it comes from it supports his speech it's creating a buzz on the internet but well we can't buy it in fact I don't think it's sourced enough to serve his rant narrative that I'm going to share the indicator is Godzilla
            • 28:00 - 28:30 just like these animals are extinct this one is too uh please start reading godzilla 455 check where is Godzilla please he asks where his teammate is there I'm sorry but the translation makes me dream if you hear the real version we don't understand anything but Lia was very strong and brought us voices from space-time godzilla 4 outside the novel verification procedure in progress operations officer present I beg you to report please
            • 28:30 - 29:00 godzilla 4 reports E explosion in flight rotation so the information is OK so what puts us in the subtitles is maintaining 300 for God la 4 we maintain 300 ways of understanding that we maintain the level 300 I think not that it is that or we maintain 300 knots 300 knots which has a transit speed for rather armed aircraft now rather at high altitude so the 300 whether it is level 300 the altitude or whether it is the speed 300 knot is consistent with
            • 29:00 - 29:30 gusts which would rather be at high altitude high altitude equal more easily targetable by PL15 or by the long range solar system that we are in a set which is coherent I say not that it's false what he's telling us I'm telling you that it's coherent but that it comes out of nowhere and another interesting point how did they have these communications does that mean that the Indians didn't use encrypted radio or does that mean that the Pakistanis are able to hear even if it's encrypted we don't know but it gives information
            • 29:30 - 30:00 in Indian so it costs the Pakistanis to release this information now from a point of view communication it's it's great last little point he is going to make a remark on the tone for having listened in the original version it's I'm not shocked by the tone he adds a little bit it's normal he is the general a Pakistani in his role aware his leader knows that his number one of the members of his crew is not there they have a radio communication this is the original radio communication of the formation he asks in his position he says that these operations are going well but adds "I saw an explosion in the air I share this detail."
            • 30:00 - 30:30 It's a long radio communication that we have if you can hear the radio communication of a member of the formation we can hear them all panicking and in distress so there they say if he can hear them he can hear everything that's interesting we come back to its multi-domain concept there will be things to debrief on the Indian side but also for all the allies behind because it seems quite powerful what they have set up from a surveillance interception point of view and uh and and electronic warfare so uh the idea was simply to inform you and to share with you how complicated it all was
            • 30:30 - 31:00 and how them this example can serve as lessons on what not to do when you know that the opponent has the advantage voonà he finishes off the Indians a little bit in his narrative he gave us an extremely framed demonstration extremely extremely argued we start with the timing after behind I show you the shotlog after I end with sound normally it's it's Teken it's Enuken and Chek Mat except that behind when we really look at the truth behind what is proven I bring it back to you in really combat pilot mode
            • 31:00 - 31:30 a combat pilot to be able to claim a shot you have to have the clap you have to be able to show the shot otherwise it's presumed and we don't count it to you in fact you don't become an ace if you tell everyone "I shot down five planes but you can't prove it." So if you can't prove it and well it's not good it's exactly like in sport the big joke which is if it's not about this work it never existed for athletes it will make you laugh but the idea is that and so from a purely technical point of view we are here to talk about the facts excellent demonstration of hybrid warfare
            • 31:30 - 32:00 and communication and perfect command of communications on the part of the Pakistanis which shows a very very high level of professionalism from a factual point of view there and once again I 'm not saying that it's not true I'm just saying that it's not proven uh but uh I have to say that it's not always the equipment that counts it's the training it's the leadership that gives you the direction and the ownership that that implies that's what counts and the training
            • 32:00 - 32:30 the operational competence that all the training has and uh I hope they learn slowly but I think they will end up understanding that we don't have to start again thank you and he finishes on a masterclass which is to open a little bit gain a little height explain that it is basically thanks to their standard their state of mind thanks to the leadership that as I told you it is worth 19.5 out of 20 his intervention to the general I think that will continue to rise in the Pakistani army and that would be a very good thing for the Pakistani air force I would not be surprised if he ends up chief of staff moreover and
            • 32:30 - 33:00 what I am proposing to you now is right let's summarize it all in just a few points before very important little quote from Gandhi which is truth for one and perhaps error for the other and the general that we have just seen is Hervis Marshall auzeb hold on tight for the anecdote the emperor who decided to create the tage malâ it is in India bear the same name in terms of the lessons that we can come out of this press conference the first extremely fast timeline in 2 minutes they estimate OK it's the right one we then send all our forces
            • 33:00 - 33:30 behind at least 20 minutes they almost took off all their packages they were ready and it worked reaction time is impressive second point the rules of engagement we talked about last time we are initially on the debt after behind we are on the kill but without putting themselves in danger they did not tell us if they had lost planes on their side the Indians say that they shot down Pakistani planes we will talk about it in the next analysis which will be the analysis of the Pakistani press conference 3rd point hybrid warfare
            • 33:30 - 34:00 only works if you master the communication at the moment what emerges is still that the Pakistanis emerge victorious from this confrontation why because they had to transform the military into communication and influence where the Indians worked on the military side but did not succeed in this war of this war of influence the 4th point is that we can send you a lot of information it seems good to you but in fact we realize if we are an expert in the field that in fact well there is no information that is verifiable
            • 34:00 - 34:30 so there we had to take what he told us at face value knowing that there is a part of the conference behind where he explains to us that the PL15 the photos that came out he laughs he says "It's not PL15" when it clearly looks like PL15 so we can still say at several moments that he is lying which leads us as observers to be a little wary of the narrative that he puts out that poses no problem for us explaining to us that a photo of PL15 is not a PL15 that the PL15 self-destructs in flight but there its missile is self-destructed cut in the middle in flight it's just that behind it didn't work as well as usual it happens on most
            • 34:30 - 35:00 weapons we had scabs which had ended up in bad condition also in the hands of the adversary another point also at one point he will talk to us about PL15 E he will say XY that makes us think of the fact that the PL15E is the Chinese missile sold in its export version. It would not be impossible for them to have received versions
            • 35:00 - 35:30 that are not E since they are talking about it's not crazy it's not huge it has a lifespan these missiles whereas it seems that the Sino-Pakistani is more like seeing the missile as fuel like the drone a little bit uh the drones that we were able to see in Ukraine which are suicide drones all with a production capacity behind to power your planes wage war like that several
            • 35:30 - 36:00 days in a row it costs you hundreds of missiles we will be careful well if they have this capacity they will be able to fire at each turn and that will inevitably pose a problem problems the other point that we see is that they are of a very very high technical level the Pakistani is extremely impressive in terms of his skills there is really not much to say from a technical point of view in the mastery of the substance as well as the form that is why I tell you that it is worth 19.5 out of 20 clearly there will be a before and after this night of the 7th I think that for most people Pakistan was the raid that we would do Ben Laden who was able to penetrate
            • 36:00 - 36:30 in their territory and behind it was a bit of this humiliation of 2011 now I think that Pakistan has completely changed its face internationally in terms of influence Chinese armament also why thanks to this transformation into hybrid war of communication which was excellently excellently done now the big question that I ask myself to be honest is why are they found doing grinder he speaks clearly about the grinder you do it when you try to maintain a position you try to maintain a position to be able for example to let your planes do their
            • 36:30 - 37:00 attack pass which takes a little time but an attack pass which takes a little time is a laser pass for example it is not at all a scalp shooting pass a scalp shooting pass there is no need to set up to do the grinder so what is interesting is to see and we will discuss it in the coming days that the Indians seem to say that afterwards they are set up to prevent the Pakistanis from entering and that is there where I think that something happened that we do not yet know from open source is that normally the Indians should have arrived go to the firing point turn around go back that's the version we believe except that it lasted
            • 37:00 - 37:30 several tens of minutes there were turns of the crank there were turns of shooting during these turns of the crank why and once we have the answer to that we will understand much better what happened on that night of the 7th to the 8th but in all cases what is certain from a purely operational point of view is that it is a good thing that no one crosses the border because if you started to have incursions from one side or the other well that would be from a war management point of view management of the situation it would have been ultra complicated I don't know if you realize you are in your cockpit there are 60 studs opposite 70 studs opposite you have 60
            • 37:30 - 38:00 studs on your side so as not to shoot the wrong person to know who is who it is extremely dense small point that we still see even if Godzilla it is true it is that there was no jamming at the level of radio frequencies do all that put 120 planes in the air with in addition the frequency jamming it is quickly extremely complicated to know who lives where hence the importance of preparation hence the importance of keeping it simple in this type of mission hence the importance of following the mourner if you leave to shoot a bomb at a certain place
            • 38:00 - 38:30 if you have the conditions to go there you go there you shoot you come back and then you don't start laughing in the mode I protect my airspace if it was not planned in all cases what we see from the Pakistanis is that discipline rigor caritude and aviation go well together there really comes out a feeling of mastery and I think you will not be surprised if I tell you that in the golf of Pakistanis are present after their military career to become instructors for certain golf nations. They really have this culture of pulling upwards. I am not saying that this is not the case for Indians. I am just saying that at the moment
            • 38:30 - 39:00 Pakistan has just shown the whole world who has mastered the new who has mastered the new art of war in the third dimension at long range. In the coming days we will perhaps learn that they have lost planes we will perhaps learn that they have not shot down as many Indian planes perhaps. that it will be the opposite that they lost no planes and that they shot down even more Indian planes what is certain is that the memory is linked to the emotion that they were able to communicate in the emotional window of the general public that they scored points and that this press conference will surely serve as a model in many clashes of war
            • 39:00 - 39:30 to train future military leaders at the highest level do not hesitate to subscribe we will return in the coming days to the Indian press conference on the geopolitical impact for France because yes there is one especially in Africa look at these images which come to us from Egypt where you hold on to the J10Cs which fly over the pyramids personally I grew up with this photo from 1994 by François Robino it was the burst which was above the pyramids the world is changing is transforming and it is more
            • 39:30 - 40:00 than ever essential to debrief whether in the army on a daily basis or in your company and that is what that we offer you with our book in English debrief that you can order on Amazon or otherwise now with crash our very latest book and obviously you know beyond Ukraine beyond the cockit come on I will tell you very soon why not for a webinar why not in intervention in your company we are talking about the geopolitical evolution of the world but also above all mainly about leadership of followership of management security management see you very soon for the next video and until then fly safe