Shifting powers - NATO and the Global South | DW Documentary
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Summary
This documentary delves into the shifting global power dynamics, focusing on NATO's role and perception in the Global South amidst rising tensions. It highlights skepticism towards NATO, Russia's expanding influence in Africa and Asia, and the balancing act of countries like India and South Africa within BRICS. As NATO grapples with internal and external challenges, the documentary emphasizes the importance of dialogue and collaboration in ensuring peace in a multipolar world.
Highlights
In West Africa, a series of coups in Burkina Faso, Niger, Mali, and Guinea saw military juntas rising to power, with Russian flags waved in support. 🌍
NATO celebrates its 75th anniversary amidst differing views on its expansion, with some seeing it as a provocation to Russia. 🎉
India, sticking to its multi-alignment policy, maintains ties with Russia while exercising with the US military, showcasing its balanced international relationships. 🇮🇳🤝
BRICS, now representing 45% of the world's population, offers a platform for countries like India and South Africa to have a larger voice on the global stage. 🌏🔊
Key Takeaways
NATO's global influence is met with skepticism in various regions, particularly in the Global South, where its motives are questioned. 🤔
Russia expands its influence in Africa and Asia, capitalizing on anti-West sentiment and historical alliances. 🐻
Countries like India and South Africa seek a balanced diplomatic approach, engaging both Western and Eastern alliances for strategic benefits. ⚖️
The rise of BRICS highlights a shift in global power dynamics, challenging Western dominance. 🌐
The US's role in NATO is under scrutiny, with potential policy shifts posing threats to the alliance's future. 🇺🇸🧐
Overview
NATO, often hailed as the strongest defense alliance, finds itself at a crossroads with a growing divide between its members and countries in the Global South. This documentary explores the skepticism surrounding NATO’s expansion and its implications on a global scale. As Western nations rally against Russia's actions in Ukraine, the Global South remains critical of NATO’s past interventions and its current role in global politics.
In West Africa, military coups have sparked debates over foreign influence, with some countries gravitating towards Russia for military assistance. The documentary highlights how historical ties with Russia, particularly visible in countries like South Africa and India, continue to shape current geopolitical strategies. BRICS emerges as a significant player, providing a counterbalance to Western-led alliances.
The documentary also delves into the internal struggles within NATO, particularly concerning US leadership and the possibility of diminished support. With the rise of new global powers and alliances, NATO’s future and the global order face a unique challenge in an increasingly multipolar world. The film encourages dialogue and cooperation as key to navigating these shifts and fostering global peace.
Chapters
00:00 - 01:30: Introduction of NATO's Perception The chapter discusses NATO's self-perception as the world's strongest defense alliance and a community of shared values aimed at conflict prevention, rather than provocation. However, this perception is not universally held. Skepticism and distrust towards NATO are prevalent in various African and Asian nations, where there is a belief that they might be unwitting participants in a future cold war scenario.
01:30 - 03:00: Burkina Faso Coup The chapter discusses a coup in Burkina Faso, highlighting a disconnect between NATO countries and the Global South, influenced by the war in Ukraine.
03:00 - 04:30: Russian Influence in Africa In Burkina Faso, West Africa, a coup took place in September 2022 where mutinous soldiers detained the president, accusing the government of failing to effectively combat an ongoing Islamist insurgency.
04:30 - 06:00: Russia's Global Reach Russia's influence and involvement in global geopolitics are highlighted through the events in Burkina Faso. The country witnessed its second coup within a year, with supporters taking to the streets. These supporters, carrying Russian flags, demonstrated a call for peace and support for the military, emphasizing their commitment to combating terrorism. The chapter delves into Russia's impact and reach in international matters, particularly in regions facing instability.
06:00 - 09:00: NATO's Strategic Shift and Challenges The chapter discusses the attack on the French embassy by individuals dissatisfied with French and Western influence, leading them to seek military assistance from Russia after a coup. It raises the question of whether Moscow instigated the uprising, highlighting the complicated geopolitical dynamics in the Sahel region where Russian interests are evident.
09:00 - 12:00: Eastern European Concerns This chapter discusses the concerns in Eastern Europe related to Russian disinformation campaigns and military unrest in West Africa.
12:00 - 17:00: Global South's Skepticism of NATO The chapter discusses the geopolitical dynamics involving the Global South's perspective towards NATO. Amidst a legal geopolitical vacuum, Russia's strategic movements are highlighted, especially its aggressive expansion into Africa to forge military cooperation and garner support. The narrative underscores the importance of acknowledging the competitive international arena where various global players, including Russia, are prioritizing their interests and strategies. It emphasizes the necessity for nations to make choices rooted in their unique needs and perceptions.
17:00 - 21:00: South Africa's Position The chapter discusses South Africa's stance of at least neutrality concerning Russia's invasion of Ukraine. While in various parts of the world, Russian President Vladimir Putin faces unwelcoming sentiments, in South Africa, he is perceived as a friend by some. Despite the Western countries' attempts to form a global coalition to denounce and isolate Moscow's regime, Russia endeavors to propagate its narrative. The chapter emphasizes the narrator's belief in truth and counters disinformation with the truth.
21:00 - 25:00: Historical Context and Global South's Perception The chapter provides an overview of NATO's stance on global issues, emphasizing the importance of public debate and the rule of law. The focus is directed towards Russia's use of military force, which NATO explicitly opposes. The setting is at NATO Headquarters in Brussels.
25:00 - 31:00: India's Neutrality and Stance The chapter discusses Jens Stoltenberg's tenure as Secretary General, highlighting his efforts in managing the organization during challenging periods such as Russia's invasion. Stoltenberg is recognized for unifying allies in support of Ukraine and expanding NATO's global partnerships, emphasizing the worldwide nature of security.
31:00 - 37:00: BRICS as a Counterbalance The chapter titled 'BRICS as a Counterbalance' discusses the global implications of security and geopolitical events. It highlights the interconnectedness of global regions, illustrating that events in Ukraine, such as Russia's actions led by President Putin, have a significant impact on Asian regions like the South China Sea. The chapter notes the celebration of NATO's birthday on April 4th, acknowledging the historical bond between Europe and the US post-World War II, but also reflects on the somber mood in Brussels, despite emotionally charged speeches. This suggests a backdrop of ongoing geopolitical tensions and the role of alliances like NATO in maintaining global balance.
37:00 - 43:00: China's Growing Influence This chapter discusses the 75th anniversary of NATO, highlighting the alliance's strength and success over the years. It touches on the varying relationships NATO members have had with Russia before the war. Countries like Hungary and Germany had close ties with Russia, while Eastern European nations have historically been more cautious about the Kremlin.
43:00 - 46:00: US Domestic Sentiments and Trump's Influence The chapter discusses NATO's military drills in Western Poland, emphasizing the readiness of troops from diverse countries to fight collaboratively in case of conflict. There is a palpable fear among Poland and other nations bordering Ukraine or Russia regarding potential attacks, especially if Ukraine were to fall. This chapter highlights how these countries, having experienced Soviet domination, have been forewarning about Russia's aggressive intentions.
46:00 - 49:30: Future of NATO and Europe's Role In this chapter, the speaker reflects on the past experiences of dealing with Russia and the lessons learned. They point out that despite warnings and shared experiences, others did not believe or heed their advice. Previous attempts to engage in 'business as usual' have now been proven misguided as the threat remains. The speaker underscores the notion that while engaging in business is possible, there needs to be preparedness against potential aggression. The sentiment expressed is one of historical consistency, noting that Russia's approach hasn't changed over centuries.
Shifting powers - NATO and the Global South | DW Documentary Transcription
00:00 - 00:30 NATO calls itself the strongest
defense alliance in the world. And a community
of values. Not to provoke a conflict,
to prevent a conflict. But this view is not
shared by everyone. You don’t have a preordained
right to be in charge. In many countries
in Africa and Asia, the military alliance is regarded
with skepticism and distrust. We can’t help
but be suspicious that we’re being set
up for a future cold war.
00:30 - 01:00 There is some
hypocrisy there. The war in Ukraine has
further divided the world and revealed a deep disconnect between
NATO countries and the Global South. We don’t believe
in taking sides. The West also needs to
recalibrate their approach. So, what does this mean for
NATO and the future of the alliance? We cannot expect
that all countries have the same view
of this world as we do. NATO should expand
on a global basis.
01:00 - 01:30 Burkina Faso
in West Africa. In September 2022, mutinous soldiers detained
the president and seized power, accusing the government of failing
to fight an Islamist insurgency.
01:30 - 02:00 It was the second
coup within a year. Supporters of the coup took to
the streets, waving Russian flags. All we want
is peace. Burkina Faso, land of our ancestors,
will never give up the fight. We are here to support the military
in order to pacify our country which has suffered
so much from terrorism.
02:00 - 02:30 The embassy of former colonial
ruler France came under attack. Dissatisfied with French
influence, and the West in general, the orchestrators of the coup turned
to Russia for military assistance. We are asking France
to get out, to leave, to leave us in peace because
they are taking us centuries back. Did Moscow
instigate the uprising? It’s not clear. But the Sahel region has been
in the crosshairs of Russian
02:30 - 03:00 disinformation
campaigns for years. The coup in Burkina Faso was just
one in a series of military takeovers in West Africa since 2020 that
have toppled governments in Niger, Mali and Guinea, and where military juntas
ordered Western troops to leave, inviting Russian
mercenaries in instead. Russia wants to show
that the West is failing.
03:00 - 03:30 So, of course, when there is a legal
geopolitical vacuum, Russia moves in. Everybody's
in the game. We're just one of
the players now. That’s what I think
we have to understand and integrate
into our thinking. People are looking
after their own interests and making a choice based on
what they see and what they need. The Kremlin has aggressively
expanded its footprint in Africa, offering military cooperation
and seeking support,
03:30 - 04:00 or at least neutrality,
over its invasion of Ukraine. In some parts of the world,
Russian President Vladimir Putin is no longer welcome but here,
he is seen by some as a friend. And all of this despite the West’s
efforts to build a global coalition to condemn and isolate
the regime in Moscow. Russia tries in a way to of
course spread their false narrative. And, of course,
I believe in truth. Also, I believe that the best
answer to disinformation is the truth,
04:00 - 04:30 and, of course, NATO's always ready
to be part of an open public debate about the situation in Europe,
in Africa and we will continue to appeal to everyone that
believes in the rule of law that we should not allow a country
like Russia to use military force to get their will We are at NATO
Headquarters in Brussels. After a decade
in office,
04:30 - 05:00 Jens Stoltenberg is about to
step down as Secretary General. He has navigated the
organization through difficult times. Since the start of
Russia’s invasion, he has been trying to
keep the alliance together. Rallying allies
behind Ukraine. He has also intensified NATO’s
outreach to global partners. Our security
is not regional.
05:00 - 05:30 Our security
is global. What happens in
Ukraine matters for Asia. The more successful
Putin is in Ukraine, the more likely it is that we can
see something similar happen in the South
China Sea On April fourth, Nato
celebrated its birthday and the strong bond forged
between Europe and the US in the aftermath
of World War Two. But there was no real
party mood in Brussels in spite of speeches
full of strong emotions.
05:30 - 06:00 Today, we celebrate the 75th
anniversary of the strongest, most enduring and most
successful alliance in history. Some NATO members
like Hungary and Germany used to have very close ties
with Russia before the war. Others especially
those in Eastern Europe have always been
wary of the Kremlin.
06:00 - 06:30 We visit a military drill in
Western Poland, where NATO high readiness troops
from different countries are exercising how to fight side
by side should the need arise. Like other countries that share
a border with Ukraine or Russia and that used to live under
the thumb of the Soviet Union, the Poles now fear they are at risk of
being attacked, too, if Ukraine falls. They had been warning of
Russia’s true intentions for years.
06:30 - 07:00 It’s a little bit sad for us that
we were aware of the situation. We were warning the others, we
were showing them our experience of many years of
cooperation with Russia. They did not
believe us. They wanted to make
business as usual. Now, they can
see we were right. We can make business, but we have to
be ready for any threat of aggression. Because Russia is Russia, they
have not changed for centuries.
07:00 - 07:30 Helping Ukraine fight against Russia
has so far united NATO countries. Even though Kyiv is not
a member of the alliance. Jens Stoltenberg and fellow
NATO leaders believe their cause is a righteous one, that
Russia’s war on Ukraine is a blatant violation
of international law. These are the two competing
narratives which have been central to Russia’s long-standing
dispute with NATO: Moscow says that the
alliance has been encroaching
07:30 - 08:00 on Russia’s
borders for years. NATO says it’s the
other way around: Central and Eastern European
countries were afraid of Russia and wanted to join
the organization. The claims that the
Russians and some others make about what they
called NATO's expansion to the east after the end of the
Cold War are really badly misplaced and don't at all
describe what happened. I was in the George
HW Bush administration,
08:00 - 08:30 I remember that countries like
Hungary came to us as the Berlin Wall was falling and were
knocking on NATO's door because they had
been through World War Two, they had been through
the post World War 2, basically Soviet occupation,
and they wanted defense. They wanted to be in an alliance
that would protect their sovereignty. The way the West sees it, every
country should have the right
08:30 - 09:00 to choose its own allies
and not bow to global powers seeking to maintain
spheres of interest. But this narrative doesn’t seem
to convince the Global South. What we cannot understand is
why do you want to expand it? Why would you want to
enlarge the footprint of NATO in a world where we should be
decelerating the centers of conflict,
09:00 - 09:30 especially when all
of us see globalization and the world being
increasingly integrated. From NATO’s perspective,
military support from its members is badly needed for Ukraine to
survive as a sovereign nation. But the allies are also
struggling economically and have problems producing enough
ammunition and weapons for both Ukraine’s and
their own protection. Russia meanwhile has so
far defied Western sanctions
09:30 - 10:00 and completed the transition
to a full war economy. So, the supporters
of Ukraine understand they need the international
community to help them contain Russia. And they want countries in
the Global South to also believe this is for their
own good. If you validate the principle that
unprovoked aggression goes unanswered, it's going to be the small
defenseless countries who are going
to face the risk. The United States doesn't
face the risk of unprovoked attack as long as we
remain strong.
10:00 - 10:30 We have to open up to
dialogue, to other perspectives, and we have to make it clear to
the countries in the global south which are not all the same,
everyone has their interests that we are
interested in dialogue. We are interested in
this strategic partnership, which is all about protecting the
rules-based international order. But is this the kind of partnership
the countries in the Global South
10:30 - 11:00 are looking for? We travel to South
Africa to find out. The country has emerged as one of
the driving forces on the continent. South Africa does not see the war in
Ukraine in the same light as the West The government
in Pretoria has refused to join the Western
coalition against the Kremlin. Instead, South Africa conducted
military drills with Russia and abstained on every resolution
adopted by the UN General Assembly.
11:00 - 11:30 We join a rally in
Soshanguve near Pretoria, one of the most notorious
townships in the area. Supporters of the governing
African National Congress have come together here
to protest gang violence. Crime, unemployment,
corruption these are the issues South
Africa is currently grappling with. But in spite of all that, they
are proud of their country, and of their successful struggle
for freedom and independence.
11:30 - 12:00 We want to be
treated as equals. Because we’re living in
a continent called Africa doesn’t make us different from
people who are living in Europe, from people who are
living in the Americas. We’ve got our
own destiny. We want to go to that destiny
using our own way of doing things. We cannot be told. Because the very same people
who want to tell us what to do, they get resources from the same
Africa, they want to undermine today.
12:00 - 12:30 We support everyone who
is a victim of neo-colonialism, who is a victim of imperialism. We are going to support them without even
flinching. There is a historical
legacy that might partly explain South Africa’s
political choices. After all, it was the United
States and other Western countries that supported the
apartheid regime for decades, while the Soviet Union provided
money and weapons for the fight against white
dominance in the region. The weapons
are still on display.
12:30 - 13:00 Symbols of old alliances
and partnerships. When NATO or the West
goes to countries like India, China now of course, but
also in Africa, Latin America to come and join them in
sanctions against Russia or in condemnation
of Russia, they forget that these countries
have historical relations with Russia, that some of them have been helped by
Russia in their liberation struggles, and they forget that these
countries are also deciding on the basis of their
national interests.
13:00 - 13:30 A community
center near Pretoria. Maropene Ramokgopa is
the VIP visitor here today. The politician has served
in different positions in the government including
as a foreign policy advisor to President
Ramaphosa. The center has been
financed by Qatar. Just one example of the
many partnerships South Africa has forged since
its independence. Here, NATO is
viewed with distrust.
13:30 - 14:00 There is a war happening
right here in our own continent. No one is talking about what is
happening in Western Sahara. No one is talking about even what
is happening in the Middle East. There’s many places where we
believe that intervention is needed, not only in Gaza. And we believe that they have really
been some kind of discrimination against other races as it relates
to conflict that are happening and it’s only important
if it is happening in a certain geographic
area and certain race.
14:00 - 14:30 That is what
we are seeing. That is how people seem to
perceive NATO here in South Africa, and also in other
parts of the world as a western club characterized
by double standards. When we see NATO, we often can’t
help but be a little bit suspicious that we are being set up for a
future Cold War based on a trade war, based on historical
aggression.
14:30 - 15:00 NATO has never
been aggressive. No one in the Global South
has to worry about that. And it will stay that way
because the member states of NATO are all Western
democracies that feel clearly anchored in the values that are at stake and
that also have a clear moral concept. Whenever NATO went global, you
know, it did Iraq and Afghanistan. And if you talk about countries
that are called the global South or countries that
are not Western, I think for them it's that memory
which perhaps takes the center stage,
15:00 - 15:30 which is that every time NATO goes
global, it does an Iraq and Afghanistan. So, NATO's blunders
in Iraq and Afghanistan are something by which
we have a perception. And I think it's a
correct, valid perception, because there's no other way
under the sun that you can justify what NATO did in
Iraq and Afghanistan. NATO allies went into Afghanistan
after the 9/11 terrorist attacks on the US to ensure,
they said, that the country would never again become
a safe haven for terrorists.
15:30 - 16:00 The invasion of Iraq was launched
in 2003 under what turned out to be a
false pretext. It was conducted by a
US-led coalition of countries, which included some
other NATO members. The conduct of the West in
both operations undermined its claims that it wants to
protect a rules-based global order. The suffering of the civilian
populations in Iraq and Afghanistan; and eventually the humiliating
retreat from Afghanistan,
16:00 - 16:30 weakened the reputation of
the West’s leading power, the US. One thing we should do
as NATO is to draw lessons from the Afghanistan episode
because it was heartbreaking to see while NATO troops
were leaving, the panic and disorderly behavior
on the part of Afghanis.
16:30 - 17:00 For thirty years, the United
States has bent the world to its will. It has taken us into one
adventure after the other and therefore has forfeited
the right for morally leading. New emerging powers like India
are eager to step in to fill the void. We are in New
Delhi, India’s capital. The country of 1.4 billion
people has aspirations
17:00 - 17:30 to become a
top global power. Faithful to the cornerstone of
its foreign policy, multi-alignment, India has refused to sacrifice its ties
with Russia over the war in Ukraine. Instead, it has taken
advantage of Western sanctions on Russia by purchasing
cheap oil in bulk. NATO seems to be seen here
as the party mainly responsible for the war
in Ukraine. Two factors – one the growing
conflict between the two superpowers
17:30 - 18:00 that is the US and Russia.
But more specifically, it’s NATO itself and
the kind of provocation that NATO has done regularly
on the Eastern border of Russia. The purpose of NATO is
to help the US sell arms. It’s merely a quest by the US to
find new markets for its weaponry, nothing more. I particularly don’t feel that there
is a cold war, or any such type of war, is happening where
NATO is needed.
18:00 - 18:30 Prime Minister Narendra Modi’s
refusal to break with Russia seemed to surprise many
Europeans who assumed that India, being a democratic country,
would side with other democracies. Does this mean India is indifferent
to the violence in Ukraine? A fair question should be:
what really has India done? India takes a lot of pride in
saying that yes, we are neutral, but at the same time we do
not support the war in any way.
18:30 - 19:00 We have also sent 15
consignments of aid to Ukraine. We are also perhaps one of the
most vocal supporters of mediation and peace building. You know, India has a
particular relationship with Russia and it has a particular
relationship with Europe. And these are both
constructive partnerships. They have different
elements there. The relationship with
Russia still remains important for a number of reasons:
defense, energy security, food security and strategic
relations in Eurasia.
19:00 - 19:30 Russia has long been
India’s largest arms supplier But the war in Ukraine has
hastened New Delhi’s impetus to diversify its
weapons base. Modi’s government has turned
its focus to domestic production with Western
technology: This guided missile destroyer
– locally made by India is a recent
example of that. A military drill
in the Himalayas near India’s disputed
border with China.
19:30 - 20:00 Indian and American troops
are training together here, as both countries try to manage
rising tensions with Beijing. Exercises like this one
reflect the budding defense ties between India
and the US. But the mistrust of NATO
appears to be deeply rooted. I think NATO and its member
states and other European institutions do suffer from charges of
double standards or hypocrisy
20:00 - 20:30 when it comes to universalizing
their mission and the feeling in many parts of the Global
South is that those standards only apply when European
security or NATO interests are at stake but are conveniently
set aside when other countries share similar concerns about
things happening in their regions and their
countries. So, countries like India
and South Africa are aspiring
20:30 - 21:00 to take on a bigger
role on the world’s stage. Their platform is BRICS an informal
club initiated by Russia in 2009 to counter-balance
the G7. It has recently
welcomed new members. The group now represents
45% of the world's population. Excellencies, India fully supports
the expansion of BRICS membership. BRICS members
have differing interests.
21:00 - 21:30 There is
competition. There are disputes
among them. But what unites them is the
urge to challenge a world order dominated
by the West. The GDP of the
BRICS is larger than G7. So, you need to recognize
the reality that BRICS countries Global South
countries are rising. We do believe that we will stay in
the BRICS and strengthen the BRICS and let the voice of the African
nations to actually be heard. BRICS is definitely a good
forum to actually do that because
21:30 - 22:00 it is taking away the
power of the West. We look at BRICS and
when we are there in BRICS, I think we want to retain the non-Western
nature and the flavor of BRICS, because if we are not there, then
actually it becomes anti-Western. BRICS is about geopolitics
and economic cooperation. It is not a
military alliance. NATO countries collectively
spend much more on defense. But BRICS nations are
catching up especially China.
22:00 - 22:30 It already has the second-biggest
economy in the world, and in numbers the biggest
army and navy in the world. For the last few years, China
has been asserting its power in its neighborhood in
particular towards Taiwan, which it considers a renegade
province, but also towards Japan and, increasingly, in the
South China Sea. A region of strategic importance
for NATO countries as well, as one third of global trade
is shipped through the area.
22:30 - 23:00 This is a very volatile
region, we know that. But there
are no wars. I mean, there are no hot,
hot wars at the moment. And most of the
countries that I speak to, whether it's Indonesia or
Malaysia or even the Indians who are quite pro-Western at the
moment, don't want this foreign power, this foreign thinking
power to come to the region and perhaps
make things worse. So far, it is mainly the US that
is boosting smaller countries
23:00 - 23:30 in their efforts to contest
Beijing’s claims in the region. But could NATO
play a role there too? After all, in its new
strategic concept, the alliance describes
China’s ambitions as a challenge
to its security. Well, my own personal view is that
NATO should expand on a global basis, not for offensive purposes
or just out of naive idealism, but because the world has entered, I
think, a new period of foreign policy.
23:30 - 24:00 You could take 2023 as
the year that happened with the visible formation
of the China-Russia axis. And if you ask countries
along China's periphery Japan, South
Korea and India they will say
they're very worried about what the
implications of this are. I have my doubts about whether
we need to become more global. It matters whether a conflict is three
hours away from you or 30 hours.
24:00 - 24:30 We have to deal with it differently,
and I don't think that's the future. But that doesn’t rule out
NATO becoming larger. But the future of NATO will also
depend on its most powerful member the United States. We are in Washington DC, where
those voices doubting the value of the transatlantic bond have
been growing louder and louder in recent years. The money could be spent elsewhere
to do like better infrastructure or like better politics
in America first and yes, I think money be
spent to other resources.
24:30 - 25:00 I mean we do have the largest
portion of the contributions to NATO. We’ve asking them for years our
country partners to contribute more. Contribute more or we are
going to kind of loosen up our ties. But we have
the responsibility. I think it ensures that
others feel safe in the world. And I think without it, you have
outside actors like Russia and China. They are going to
feel emboldened. He has been fueling
anti-NATO sentiments.
25:00 - 25:30 When Donald Trump was
President of the United States, he described the European
Union as a foe and threatened to make Europeans
pay for “US protection.” Now, on the campaign
trail, he is doing it again. One of the presidents of the
big countries stood up, said: Oh sir, if we don't pay and
we are attacked by Russia, will you protect
us from Russia? I said no, I would
not protect you. In fact, I would encourage them
to do whatever the hell they want.
25:30 - 26:00 You got to pay. So, could a second Trump
presidency mean the end of NATO? I do think that it's highly likely
Trump will withdraw from NATO if he's elected, and I think that
would be a catastrophic decision for the
United States. It would have negative consequences all
over the world because the countries of Asia would
say, look, if the United States is leaving
the most successful military alliance in history, why do we
think they would defend us?
26:00 - 26:30 We need to look at
the factual elements and also the very recent development that the Senate has enacted a bill
to prohibit any future US President to withdraw the United States from
NATO is a good safeguard measure, I think. In May 2024, NATO completed its
largest exercise since the Cold War,
26:30 - 27:00 involving thousands of troops
from Europe and North America. Regardless of who wins
the race to the White House, many here expect that US support
for NATO will decline anyway, and that Europe will have to
do more for its own defense. Some see it as a chance for
the continent to emancipate itself from the US and re-calibrate
its approach to the Global South. I believe very much that Europe
has an important experience to share with the world: Countries
coming together after a war,
27:00 - 27:30 coming together,
setting up structures. This is an inspirational,
really an inspirational story. It inspires me as a European, but I
can tell you it inspires many people in Asia, Africa
and Latin America. I think instead of talking
at each other and always sort of exemplifying all the
divergences and the problems, I mean, divergences
are there everywhere, but I think we should be
talking to each other much more, and the geopolitical
moment is perhaps right for it.
27:30 - 28:00 We need to get
off our high horse, finally meet on
an equal footing and accept that there are no
longer any blocks in the world. That’s the
decisive factor. A coalition of all those who
support the rules-based international order because in the
end it protects everyone For now, Europe is occupied
with the war raging on its doorstep. But it’s this war that
has shown the Europeans that little can be achieved alone
in an emerging multipolar world. Changing perspectives may
be an important step towards