This Could Cause Tesla Stock To Explode Tomorrow.. (WATCH ASAP)

Summary

Highlights

• US-China tariff exclusions could boost tech stocks 🍏
• Tesla's cheaper model and robo taxi plan in Austin grabbed attention 🤖
• Upcoming earnings reports from major companies will shape market sentiment 💼
• Economic indicators, especially retail sales, hold significant market influence 💹
• Market sentiment is bearish, but there is potential for positive surprises ⚡️

Key Takeaways

• Tariff news might positively impact tech stocks like Tesla and Apple 📈
• Tesla's upcoming earnings report and cheaper models are crucial for its growth 🚗
• AI investments remain a key focus amidst economic uncertainties 🤖
• Upcoming economic data and speeches from Fed officials could sway markets 📊
• Tesla's energy division is showing promising development, but overlooked by the market 🌱
• Overall market sentiment leans bearish, but room exists for positive surprises ⚖️

Overview

Chapters

• 00:00 - 01:00: Introduction and Tesla Stock News This introductory chapter provides an overview of significant tariff news that is expected to positively impact Wall Street, as well as a comment from China suggesting a de-escalation in the trade war. Additionally, it highlights the latest breaking news about Tesla stock, focusing on a potentially overlooked piece of information that will be important in the coming quarters.
• 01:30 - 02:30: Tariff Exemptions and Market Impact This chapter provides an in-depth look at the upcoming market dynamics influenced by Tesla's strategy. Key topics include Tesla's upcoming earnings report and its implications, the introduction of a lower-priced Tesla model expected in the next quarter or two, and the anticipated launch of the robo-taxi service in Austin, Texas. The chapter hints at further discussions regarding the expansion of this service to additional cities over the year.
• 04:00 - 05:30: Economic Events and Earnings Report The chapter discusses the anticipated economic events and earnings reports for the upcoming week, highlighting key events such as a retail sales report and a speech by Fed Chair Jerome Powell, both scheduled for Wednesday. It emphasizes the significance of the retail sales data in determining the trajectory of Q1 GDP, as it could potentially indicate whether it will be negative or positive. The speech by Jerome Powell is also considered important due to its potential impact on the bond market. The chapter ends by inviting viewers to share their thoughts on the information and the week ahead in the comments section after watching the video.
• 05:30 - 07:00: Tech Stocks and AI Investments In this chapter, the focus is on the recent exemption of phones, computers, and chips from new tariffs targeting China. The exemption is expected to have a positive impact on companies like Apple, which could significantly benefit from this policy change. As a result, there is anticipation of a substantial increase in Apple's stock value, potentially leading to rises in market indexes attributed to Apple's market influence. The chapter highlights optimism about a possible 10-20% increase in Apple's stock price as a reaction to the news.
• 08:00 - 09:00: Market Expectations and Analyst Opinions The chapter discusses market expectations and analyst opinions focusing on Apple Inc. It highlights the challenge of assessing market sentiment when Apple's stock experiences a significant and rapid decline. It also elaborates on new guidance that lists exclusions for certain electric devices and components including semiconductors, solar cells, flat panel TV displays, flash drives, memory cards, and solid-state drives that are often used in tech-related products. This indicates a shift in the market landscape affecting a wide array of technology products.
• 11:00 - 14:00: Fed Speeches and Economic Indicators The chapter focuses on recent developments in trade relations between the United States and China. It highlights that China has responded positively to a US tariff exemption, viewing it as a corrective measure, which marks a shift from the escalating trade tensions characterized by reciprocal tariff hikes. The tone from China appears more friendly, which may signal a de-escalation in the ongoing trade dispute. Additionally, there is a brief mention of Lutnik in the news, although the context is not fully provided.
• 15:00 - 18:00: Market Sentiment and Investor Positioning The chapter discusses the dynamics between US tariffs on China and the semiconductor and electronics industries, with Lutnik as a key figure. It explores how investors interpret and react to Lutnik's statements, noting a pattern where his claims are sometimes quickly contradicted or undermined. It reflects on the influence of Lutnik's communications on market sentiment, particularly in the context of evolving international trade policies during Trump's administration.
• 18:00 - 20:00: Tesla Mega Pack Factory and Conclusion The chapter titled 'Tesla Mega Pack Factory and Conclusion' delves into the discussion on tariffs, particularly focusing on a recent 90-day delay on semiconductor tariffs, and the strategic implications of such moves. Initially, the reversal of strongly stated positions may appear to affect credibility. However, experts like Bill Aman view this pause not as a sign of weakness, but as a negotiation tactic to gain leverage. The chapter closes with an anticipation of more details to come from Trump regarding these tariffs, expected to be revealed within the next month.

This Could Cause Tesla Stock To Explode Tomorrow.. (WATCH ASAP) Transcription

• 00:00 - 00:30 ladies and gentlemen we have big tariff news today that I think Wall Street is going to love coming tomorrow morning We also did get a comment from China that shows maybe we're no longer snowballing in this trade war which should be a positive Now here in this video I will also share with you your Tesla stock breaking news today And uh one piece of news that I think is really just overlooked that will be important over the coming quarters and we're getting a
• 00:30 - 01:00 indepth upfront look at this and uh again I think it's going to be hard to ignore over the next couple of quarters but yet the big catalyst is Tesla's upcoming earnings what they have to say about the cheaper lowerpric Tesla's supposed to be coming to market here in the next quarter or two and the launch of the robo taxi in Austin Texas And how many other cities are we expecting this year now we'll talk about all of this throughout this video but we do have a
• 01:00 - 01:30 jam-packed week as far as earnings as far as economic data We get retail sales on Wednesday and a speech from Fed Jerome Powell on Wednesday which let's just be honest that retail sales report could determine whether or not Q1 GDP is negative or positive Okay Jerome Powell could obviously be important because of what's going on in the bond market So let me know what you guys think about all of this information down below in the comments section once you of course finish the video Let me know your thoughts on this upcoming week as well
• 01:30 - 02:00 Let's go ahead and get started So first and foremost Trump exempts phones computers and chips from new tariffs specifically China tariffs That is obviously going to help a company like Apple It's hard to see how Apple would not do well on that news tomorrow And due to the market waiting Apple would likely you know bring the indexes up quite a bit I imagine it could be a 10 plus% day 15 20% day for
• 02:00 - 02:30 Apple Hard to say when the stock is down so much so fast But it says here "The guidance also includes exclusions for other electric devices and components including semiconductors solar cells flat flat panel TV displays flash drives memory cards and solidstate drives used for storing data So a lot of techreated products are no longer going to be
• 02:30 - 03:00 tariffed coming out of China And China said that US tariff exemption is a small step to correct wrongdoings So this seems like more of a friendly tone that China is taking towards at least this exemption versus a continually escalating trade war tariffs being met with higher tariffs and it's kind of been snowballing in the wrong direction recently Also in the news today Lutnik
• 03:00 - 03:30 says the US has had soft entries through intermediaries with China on tariffs Lutnik says that semiconductor and electronic tariffs will come in a month or so So we'll see how much the markets care what Lutnik has to say It seems like Lutnik says something and then it's kind of undermined shortly thereafter sometimes Uh I mean he was the one up until Trump
• 03:30 - 04:00 delayed the tariffs for 90 days saying there will be no negotiations They're going into effect You kind of start to lose credibility after you speak that strongly about a particular path and then it's quickly reversed Bill Aman said a pause is not a sign of weakness It is a tactic to create leverage in a negotiation Trump will provide more details on semiconductor tariffs coming in the next month or so on Monday So
• 04:00 - 04:30 tomorrow the US and Iran agreed to meet again next Sunday according to the White House Oh and by the way the exemption of the electronic components hard drives solar panels essentially iPhones will be retroactive to April 5th So any tariffs that have been collected will be returned up until April 5th And this upcoming week really starts to kick off some of your larger companies that will
• 04:30 - 05:00 be reporting Tomorrow morning you have Goldman Sachs and Mnt Bank Monday and after hours you have Applied Blockchain Tuesday in pre-market Bank of America City Johnson and Johnson PNC Albertson's Ericson Tuesday and after hours you have United Interactive Brokers JB Hunt Wednesday premarket you have ASML US Bank Corp Abbott Progressive Wednesday and after hours Elcoa Bank of Ozark CSX Kinder Morgan
• 05:00 - 05:30 Thursday is your big day You have TSMC in the morning United Health Group Huntington American Express and Ally Bank And then Thursday and after hours you have Netflix and Independent Bank Now TSMC is actually critically important this time around because if if Nvidia is going to miss you're probably going to get a bad number from TSMC right since they like manufacture all of Nvidia chips Well with all of this volatility
• 05:30 - 06:00 all of this you know recession fear out there how is AI investments going okay Nvidia even after it's it's fallen still you know a expensive stock relative to you know where it was 3 years ago you know four years ago 2021 right it's still expensive in that regard You're still expecting good numbers from Nvidia right you're still expecting companies
• 06:00 - 06:30 are spending money on AI If they are that's great If they're not that's a problem And I mean you could kind of interpret how Wall Street could go down the rabbit hole and say "Hey are you know AI investments you know going to be dramatically reduced because of this tariff uncertainty this this economic uncertainty Is that where companies are pulling back on their investing?" Obviously I don't have the answer for
• 06:30 - 07:00 you But with AI certain areas at least like Nvidia so important to our markets and other big tech names AI is a a big thesis for a lot of those companies If that's if that gets degraded this week that's a problem Now I'm under the assumption that nothing has really changed You could make an argument that with higher tariffs there's a greater need to actually uh reduce the cost and increase the
• 07:00 - 07:30 efficiency of your already existing operations as is which could make a larger case to improve AI to invest more into AI If you know AI can increase productivity if you can use AI instead of having extra employees Unfortunately for those extra employees it makes sense to use AI instead because if you are a company that is now getting tariffed you're going to try to make that that
• 07:30 - 08:00 that cost up internally You're not going to be able to raise prices and pass on all of that cost No matter what company you are people will buy less of your product You will see what is called demand destruction Okay i don't think again that's happening in the AI space in the semiconductor space but if it is that is a big problem Now I think you're kind of priced for some weakness here but you're not priced for any kind of bad numbers
• 08:00 - 08:30 right you're still priced for good numbers And as we get closer to Nvidia earnings we'll have more estimates coming out but I can imagine the estimates haven't changed all too much from the guidance that Nvidia sent but we'll see Now Netflix is really not in the crosshairs of tariffs from my understanding Maybe they are in some capacity but Netflix it tends to move your big tech names And whether or not
• 08:30 - 09:00 that happens again we'll see Netflix may just move by itself and not move the rest of big tech again because it's not as impacted from those tariffs as those other companies are Now another big situation we're going to be faced with this earning season which again I don't know really how this is going to play out is we're not going to get guidance from probably anyone Okay Um and the companies that do give guidance are
• 09:00 - 09:30 putting themselves out there and taking a risk I don't think companies are going to give guidance at all So if you think about what moves a stock on earnings it's guidance right nobody cares what happened in the quarter that's being reported If the next quarter is going to be really good or if you have a good you know quarter that you're reporting but the next quarter is going to be bad That's what
• 09:30 - 10:00 moves a stock If you just get no guidance and all companies do that that may actually be a positive from a maybe an algorithmic standpoint because there's nothing to react negatively to instead of companies coming out and giving negative guidance which you may get some of that but I think companies overall there's really not a way to give guidance There's no clarity whatsoever Um so that'll be interesting to see how that affects these names this week And
• 10:00 - 10:30 then obviously as you guys know this is just the start of earning season We're going to have earnings that really go for the next month and a half So you know it's it's going to be largely company by company specific Big tech obviously is going to be important Now as Tom Lee said in the prior video as I've talked about before here on this channel big tech is pretty washed out here right uh Apple did recover quite a bit but it was in the 170s You know
• 10:30 - 11:00 Microsoft 380s Google 150s Nvidia 110 I mean you're still kind of washed out on these big tech names Tesla 250s I mean there there could be room for recovery there if uh or or hopefully if these companies are not too impacted by the tariffs if those earnings can hold up then I mean you can make a case that there could be room to move higher in
• 11:00 - 11:30 those stocks as Tom Lee did on Friday Now let me also give you a brief rundown of what to expect this upcoming week There's actually quite a bit of important data coming out including a speech from Fed Jerome Powell and retail sales But starting off tomorrow morning you have consumer inflation expectations This tends to be more reasonable less political So we'll see what happens here You're expecting this to go from 3.1% to 3.3% So you are expecting it to move
• 11:30 - 12:00 higher but not like the almost 7% one-year forward inflation expectations that the Yumish survey has right now Fed Barkin Fed Waller Fed Harker and Fed Bostic will all be speaking tomorrow at various different times in the afternoon Now on Tuesday you will get export prices import prices and the New York Empire State Manufacturing Index that will come out at about 8:30 in the morning on Tuesday Fed Barkin speaks around 11:30 in the morning Fed Cook
• 12:00 - 12:30 speaks at 7:10 um p.m on Tuesday Um and then you get some GDP data retail sales data uh different different data points out of China as well on Tuesday On Wednesday is your biggest day because you get retail sales month overmonth You're expecting a really good number If that number is weak then again you're going to have more recession concerns Okay Now whether or not this number is strong or weak is
• 12:30 - 13:00 also potentially going to make the difference in if GDP for Q1 is negative or positive because as of now the Atlanta Fed GDP now tracker is tracking negative 2.4% But with the alternative model forecast which adjusts for imports and exports of gold you're only negative0.3% Now this data coming out with retail sales is for March So you're expecting positive 1.3% month overmonth
• 13:00 - 13:30 from February's number of positive 0.2% That would be a very strong number If we get something like that I would expect that GDP goes positive for Q1 Now you know maybe not Maybe there's some things that offset that but retail sales very important Um you know consumer spending money overall very important for the uh GDP report So that's why I think Wednesday is going to be a big day Not to mention you have a speech from Fed Jerome Powell Now part
• 13:30 - 14:00 of the reason why markets went up on Friday as well was Fed Collins that basically said if we get too much weakness in the bond market the Fed will have to step in And that was kind of seen as the the Powell put the Fed put that they will make sure that the the bond market does not break And uh the bond market has been breaking recently and it does create some risk to the broader economy and the Fed's kind of
• 14:00 - 14:30 starting to step in here with a little bit of of a voice and saying "Hey we won't let things just collapse around us essentially." Now on Thursday you get building permits and housing starts for March initial jobless claims Philadelphia Fed manufacturing index Philly Fed business conditions capex employment new orders and prices paid Wall Street does react to this a little bit but it is only regional so keep that in mind On Friday you don't have anything Friday is going to be your slow day and uh all you have is a speech from
• 14:30 - 15:00 Fed Daily at 11:00 in the morning So this week's actually going to be kind of important And as we've talked about on the channel before um you you still have pretty oversold conditions Not nearly as bad as we had you know prior Um like the percent of stocks trading above their 50-day moving average hit as low as 5% Uh which is crazy Um this is for the
• 15:00 - 15:30 S&P that is uh you're now at 14% Which is still very low The lowest levels we got to in 2022 were around 10% So you're still very very low but we were just crazy washed out at at one point about a week ago Okay Um so from that perspective I think there is room to move higher this week especially if things go more positive than expected And we do kind of have a a negative bias
• 15:30 - 16:00 out there in markets I think the the downside is a little bit more expected than the upsides You know positive surprises on earnings or positive tariff developments Anything positive is kind of being heavily discounted in markets right now If we do get some positive things happening then that could definitely start to kickstart markets to move higher at least a bit in the short term Now the CNN fear and grade index uh was as low as three I've never seen that
• 16:00 - 16:30 thing at three That's crazy Um you closed out this week at 13 which is still very much on the on the low side So again still room to uh get a little bit better there AI investor sentiment survey 58.9% of investors are bearish Neutral investors have gotten completely squeezed out Uh 12.5% of investors reporting they are neutral and 28.5% reporting they're bullish So bulls have actually moved up Bearish investors
• 16:30 - 17:00 still remain almost unchanged over the past month and uh neutral investors are down like 50% So right now you kind of know you're either bullish or you're bearish And with bearish numbers that are double what the bullish numbers are again there's room for a positive you know surprise that makes people get more bullish And we see what kind of explosive volatility we can get to the
• 17:00 - 17:30 upside when good news does come out And I think Trump really wants to undo some of the the pain we've seen in uh TLT right i think his whole objective was to lower rates as these tariffs were threatened and go into effect It's had the complete opposite I mean whether it's Japan or China or Canada for that matter somebody is out there wreaking havoc in our bond market We don't know who Uh but yeah someone is targeting our
• 17:30 - 18:00 bond market and uh Trump wants to stop that So I don't even think it's about the stock market I think it's about the bond market And uh I I don't know if that'll stop it if uh Trump kind of backfires You might need Jerome Powell to step in And uh we'll see what Powell says on Wednesday when he does give that speech Now there's actually not a whole lot of Tesla news today I think the big
• 18:00 - 18:30 story is going to be about tariffs and the tariff exemptions out of China and uh the positive comment that China had to say on this and you'll we'll look at that in just a moment But this is big news I do think the Brookshshire mega factory is full steam ahead mega pack factory Um and you can see this is actually from on the ground Um it's pretty far along from what you can see from this video I mean they are
• 18:30 - 19:00 starting to actually do some some work here Um and energy is such a profitable division of Tesla's business that I don't even think this is like nobody's paying a a second thought to this right nobody even like cares about this right now And that's what kind of happens during market crashes You you just you don't pay attention to company specific
• 19:00 - 19:30 news you know especially if it's good And it's like what they say a rising tide lifts all boats Well a sinking boat kills most passengers right that's uh that's kind of the market that we've we've been in recently We've gotten a lot of good news for Tesla the stock hasn't reacted to it And maybe after we get through some of the worst of this tariff situation we could start to react to some of the good news that we've seen
• 19:30 - 20:00 recently that has been overlooked and really just ignored Let me know what you guys think about this down below in the comments section Have a fantastic rest of your day and I will see you in the next