🚨 URGENT: Investors Panic, Stocks Crashing [Do This ASAP]
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Summary
In a gripping video, creator Tom Nash reflects on his past market predictions and emphasizes the cyclical nature of stock markets. He discusses the importance of preparation over prediction, sharing insights into his investment strategies and mindset during times of panic. As markets face potential corrections, he urges viewers to remain calm, avoid emotional decisions, and focus on long-term strategies. Nash reassures that market cycles are inevitable but manageable, offering guidance on crafting personalized investment lists and the benefits of sticking to well-researched plans amidst market turbulence.
Highlights
Tom Nash emphasizes the importance of preparing for market corrections, not predicting them. 📊
The cyclical nature of markets means downturns are normal and temporary. 🔄
Investing during fear and panic can yield significant returns over time. 💰
Nash shares part of his personal stock wishlist, urging viewers to create their own. 📝
Advice to focus on business fundamentals, not short-term stock price fluctuations. 🚀
Key Takeaways
Market cycles are predictable and inevitable – prepare, don't predict. 📈
Stay calm and avoid panic selling during downturns – think long-term. 😌
Craft personal investment strategies instead of following generic "buy alerts." 🧠
Historical market data shows resilience and recovery over the long term. 🕰️
Use market downturns as opportunities to invest in solid companies. 🏛️
Overview
Tom Nash opens by reflecting on the most crucial list he created, emphasizing how it led to substantial wealth gains for him and his followers. In this video, he stresses the importance of preparation rather than prediction amidst the ongoing market volatility. Nash recalls the hype cycle of 2021 and how he prepared for inevitable corrections by creating a strategic stock wishlist during peak market times.
Throughout the video, Nash reiterates the importance of remaining calm and rational during market drops. He argues against panic selling and urges investors to adopt a long-term investment perspective. He draws historical parallels, noting that market cycles always revert, and downturns have always been followed by recoveries. He also offers his viewers guidance on constructing their investment lists, driven by research and individual assessment of company fundamentals.
Concluding his insights, Nash discusses his personal investment list, highlighting stocks like Palantir and Tesla as prime examples of businesses to consider during downturns. He advocates looking beyond short-term price movements to the broader, enduring value of solid companies. Ultimately, Nash advises viewers to keep a steady investment plan, avoiding emotional reactions and focusing on sustained growth strategies.
Chapters
00:00 - 00:30: Introduction and Importance of the List The chapter titled 'Introduction and Importance of the List' discusses the significance of a list that the author created four years ago. This list has been incredibly important in generating substantial wealth for the author, described as 'generational wealth.' Interestingly, the author notes that the list is potentially even more relevant today than when it was first created in 2021. Before delving into the specifics of the list, the author emphasizes the importance of going through certain stages, though details on what those stages are or their significance are not provided in the transcript excerpt.
00:30 - 01:00: Key Warnings and Preparations The chapter 'Key Warnings and Preparations' involves a critical video message to nearly 500,000 subscribers. The speaker urges the audience to focus on the message without any distractions such as clicking, smashing, or buying anything during the speech. The origin of this message stems from a wish list created during the intense hype cycle of 2021, a year described as overwhelmingly profitable with financial successes symbolized by luxury car purchases.
01:00 - 02:00: Market Predictions and Strategies The chapter titled 'Market Predictions and Strategies' delves into the concept of market cycles, emphasizing their predictability and consistency, akin to 'father time'. The speaker discusses preparing for an inevitable market correction by making a list of stocks to buy once the market corrects. Although the exact timing of such events cannot be predicted, the idea is to capitalize on the cyclical nature of markets by strategically planning before peak market conditions shift.
02:00 - 03:00: Historical Market Crashes and Lessons The chapter "Historical Market Crashes and Lessons" discusses the importance of preparation and understanding market indicators, specifically focusing on the price to earnings (PE) ratio of the S&P 500. The narrator emphasizes that a PE ratio above 25 statistically signals an increased risk of a market correction. By recognizing these patterns, the narrator and their audience were able to profit and avoid potential losses. This insight is shared to help others anticipate and respond to market changes effectively.
03:00 - 04:00: Long-Term Investment Mindset The chapter discusses the concept of long-term investment mindset, emphasizing the significance of being cautious with market indicators. The text references a situation in December 2021 where a warning sign appeared due to the high PE (Price to Earnings) ratio on the S&P 500, indicating a possible negative return in the future. However, the challenge with such indicators is that they may flash warnings for extended periods, as with the example given where despite a continuous warning for 12 months, selling out in early 2024 would have resulted in missing out on potential gains.
04:00 - 05:00: The 2022 Wish List and Investment Approach The chapter discusses the significant bull run experienced over the past year and introduces an indicator that signals an impending market correction. The key advice is to avoid attempting to time the market as it equates to gambling and is nearly impossible. Instead, the focus has been on preparation, with the author's community being kept informed about these insights throughout the year.
05:00 - 05:30: Closing and Call to Action The chapter 'Closing and Call to Action' discusses strategic financial advice delivered during weekly zoom calls. The focus is on advising attendees to prepare for market fluctuations by selling a portion of their Palunteer stock. The speaker emphasizes this by referencing a video made when Palunteer was at $115, recommending the sale of 10% to 30% to mitigate potential losses if the stock dips to $40 per share. This prudent approach aims to prevent significant financial setbacks, endorsing the idea of being proactive in managing investments.
🚨 URGENT: Investors Panic, Stocks Crashing [Do This ASAP] Transcription
00:00 - 00:30 this is the most important list I've ever made my life It was made four years ago and it has generated me wealth of epic proportions Generational wealth right here And the crazy part about it is that this list today is just as relevant if not more relevant when I made it back in 2021 I'll talk about that in just a second Now before we go through the list and I know you want to hear that but trust me we have to go through the stages Today is probably the
00:30 - 01:00 most important video I've ever made for my almost 500,000 subscribers I want you to pay attention So don't click nothing Don't smash nothing Don't buy nothing Just listen to me today Right my original wish list which I'll talk about in just a second that was made in the midst of the greatest hype cycle to date 2021 was absolutely insane Everybody was making money left and right hand over fist Ferraris Lambos and at the peak of
01:00 - 01:30 that hype cycle I've made a list of stocks I'm going to be buying like crazy when the market corrects because inevitably I've showed you market cycles are eternal They're undefeated They're like father time Market cycles will always always continue to do the same thing And as we were hitting peak I was preparing for the correction Now I was not predicting the correction I had no idea when it's going to happen but I
01:30 - 02:00 knew it was bound to happen And that list right here was me preparing not predicting And that preparation have made me and my audience a lot of money And today I'm going to do the same thing for you if you just listen up Now the reason I've made that list in December of 2021 is because the PE ratio the price to earnings ratio of the S&P 500 was almost 30 Statistically speaking whenever the S&P goes above 25 PE it increases the likelihood of a correction
02:00 - 02:30 exponentially In fact for the next three years the average return post a 25p and above is almost guaranteed to be negative So when I saw this as a warning sign in December 2021 I started prepping Now the problem with this indicator is that it's been flashing red for the past 12 months The PE on the S&P 500 was this high since the beginning of 2024 And if I had sold out in the beginning of 2024 I would have missed out on the huge
02:30 - 03:00 massive bull run we've seen over the past 12 months That's not the solution This indicator isn't about you selling out of the market It's basically letting you know hey a correction is coming When Next week next year next month but it is coming and it's getting closer There's no point in trying to time this because timing the market is not a smart thing to do It's almost impossible and it's pretty much just as gambling So when we saw this flashing red over the past year we started prepping and my community knows that over the past year I've been
03:00 - 03:30 beating this drama in their weekly zoom calls telling people "Hey this is a good time to start trimming start preparing sell a third." In fact actually made a video when Palunteer was at $115 just about 10 days before the top Not right at the top but very close to the top selling Hey this is a good time to start trimming 10 20 30% because Palunteer might pull back 50% How bad will you feel if Palunteer drops to $40 per share I see zero issues with people selling 10% 20% 30% of their Palunteer
03:30 - 04:00 position just so they can say "Look if the stock collapses I already took 30% off and I'm already covered And if the stock continues to fly well I still have my 70% in play which means I'm going to enjoy the vast majority of the bull run So I'm in a win-win position So buying some insurance getting rid of 10% 20% 30% is not a bad thing So I've been warning about this I've did my best to let you know hey we don't know what's coming but if you're up a lot on these
04:00 - 04:30 stocks the good smart decision was to start trimming I actually said my video Now this isn't about me saying how I was right about this it's not going to make you money So listen up We're actually going to do some actionable things that going to help you to make money in whatever it is coming right now So right now a lot of people are wondering whether they should sell out of the market Get out We'll talk about that in a second as well I'll tell you whether it's a good idea to sell to stay to double down What should you do We'll talk all about it Don't worry Now for those of you who are concerned about
04:30 - 05:00 what's coming I know you're looking at the index S&P NASDAQ the Dow everything is red Kramer out there screaming about this being the Black Monday 2.0 of 1987 and everybody's screaming that this is the end of the world Now sure this is not the end of the world I promise you this is not the end of the world I promise you this is not the end of the stock market A lot of these so-called experts have been telling you that this time is different for the past 50 years Every time we had a little correction
05:00 - 05:30 people pop out telling you this time is different this time because ABC it's not going to be like the previous 100 years And guess what Every time they're proven wrong So this is not different In case you are wondering no this is not the end of the stock market And none of this is unique All of this keeps happening over the past 50 years I'll show you exactly all of this and what's the best strategy to handle this So next time you pop a Tik Tok or Instagram and somebody's explaining that this this time is different These guys have been around
05:30 - 06:00 for the past 50 years Ignore them Be smart be logical Now it doesn't mean that you have to be complacent and ignore what's going on and not prepare and not strategize I didn't say that I'm just saying that thinking that this is apocalypse That's not the case Every time they predict this is different and every time it ain't different Now I don't know what happens next I honestly don't Maybe the market recovers and flies back up Maybe it crashes I don't know What I do know there's a lot of panic right now on the streets And when there's panic usually that's a sign that
06:00 - 06:30 it's going to be a really good time to start slowly investing into great companies Because over the past 100 years people have done the same thing Every time there was panic every time there was fear people were selling out There's always a reason to sell Look at the S&P 500 Every few years there's a huge reason to sell And every time the smart investors have been loading up the boat while the people who were freaking out were selling out None of this is different Now in case you're wondering what's on my 2022 wish list I'll tell you all about it In fact I think it's important you know because these stocks
06:30 - 07:00 are just as important as just as relevant today if not more than they were in 2020 2021,22 So the list is valuable but I don't want to give it away right now Not because I'm trying to get you to stay on the video You can you know forward and go to the end the video and watch it That's not the point But I urge you not to do it because I want to show you the process and go through the process with you so you understand the strategy the principles so you can make your own list The problem here is that if I give you
07:00 - 07:30 the list as is you're going to end up buying the same stocks And that's not the point I want you to think I'm not here to to give you buy alerts and to feed you fish I'm here to teach you how to fish I'm here to teach you how to think for yourself develop your own process So before we go through the list which I'll give to you I promise Bear with me here because I want you to understand what's going on and understand how to compile this list It's not that simple So stick with me for the next few minutes Look right now the future is absolutely off the wall In
07:30 - 08:00 fact most likely when we open by the time this video is out we're going to be in bare market territory Bare markets in America are defined by a 20% drop Once the S&P crosses 4,900 which it's about to we're going to be in a bare market Now Palanteer for example is now at 68 It was at 125 just in February when I made that video telling you hey trim 30% because it might dip 50% in the heartbeat I literally told you this can happen I didn't tell you I think it's going to happen I told you hey this can happen And if you have a lot of profits
08:00 - 08:30 protect your profits Be the responsible adult This is exactly what we've been talking about in the academy for the past 6 months 12 months Be responsible This is not a cult It's not about holding on to volunteer and showing that you know you have more faith Who cares It's not religion Now first of all breathe relax This is not going to last forever This two shall pass and this is not the first time this has happened In fact it's been happening quite a lot So we had some super super fast recoveries
08:30 - 09:00 in the past For example Kramer was screaming about the 1987 Black Monday Well if you actually dig into what happened in the Black Monday crash of 1987 in fact October 1987 the S&P plummeted 20% in a single day the S&P went from a bull market to a bare market in 24 hours That is insane The velocity and the verocity of this is absolutely unthinkable Now just 30 days later the market was up 5% 90 days later the market was up 15% And a year later the
09:00 - 09:30 market was up 23% So buying the dip slowly during the Black Monday crash of 1987 have made you 23% This is not different than anything else we've ever talked about Now this was a particularly quick example but there's a quicker one actually that just happened a couple years ago The COVID crash came out of nowhere and the stock market dropped 34% in a single month Another very very quick crash right Within six months the markets were up
09:30 - 10:00 50% from the 2020 lows People made a lot of money Not every single crash was this short as the 1987 and the COVID crash I agree And back in the early 2000s we saw a prime example of that We had the dotcom crash The internet buzz came out Companies went public with no real business The market got inflated and then it popped And it kept on crashing for two and a half years Two and a half years to find a bottom That is wild And trust me that's highly unpleasant as an
10:00 - 10:30 investor And then the whole process for the market to get back to the same levels from before the dotcom crash took seven years Then a year later crashed again in the 2008 subprime crash and took another four years So all in all it took a decade for the market to make a whole round trip of nothing 0% in 10 years That is why they call it the lost decade And a lot of experts are claiming that right now is the beginning of another lost decade which it may or may not be I don't know I don't predict
10:30 - 11:00 However I study history And one thing I know that even after that lost decade the next 5 years after that the market did 80% So if you held from the beginning of the com crash let's say you bought right the day before the market crash on the dotcom crash you were that unlucky In 15 years you have still made 80% on your money So over the long haul the S&P 500 is undefeated Even if you take the most extreme example buying the day before the last decade and selling
11:00 - 11:30 15 years later you still did 80% That's how good this index is And this is the worst example possible right Holding over 15 years have made you money even in the worst case scenario And of course the com crash is not the only example That's just the worst case scenario We have seen 12 market corrections over the past 45 years since 1980 And some of them were very violent some of them less violent but basically those 12 crashes are a good pool of data for us to
11:30 - 12:00 understand what usually happens What's the average right So obviously was the worst case COVID was probably the best case in which it recovered in a month But in between we had 10 more corrections which we'll talk about Out of those 12 three developed into full-blown bare market or crashes and nine fizzled out completely like the COVID crash Right The average drop in those 12 times was 22% And the average time to find a bottom five months that is with 2000 and 2008 lost decade Remember now to full recovery average
12:00 - 12:30 one year 30 days from bottom 13% 90 days from bottom 22% 180 days from bottom 29.3% One year from bottom on average on those 12 times 35.1% That's three times the average of the S&P 500 Which shows you that even if you consider the dotcom crash and the last decade every single crash makes millionaires including the so-called
12:30 - 13:00 lost decade this time won't be different It's just a question of how long this takes In 2022 I have lost 80% of my Patreon members of my students I was told "I don't know what I'm doing." Three years later the 20% that stuck with me have made a lot of money And guess what Now I have three times more Patreon members and students than I had in 2022 So I'm not worried And I know this will keep happening again because market cycles are absolutely repeatable There will always be euphoria always a
13:00 - 13:30 crash and then all over again Rinse and repeat wax on wax off And that is true even in the worst possible case Assuming you started investing in the worst possible time just on the eve of the dotcom crash and you add in $100 every single month and every time the market dips 10% below the previous all-time highs you double that amount and you keep doubling as long as the market stays down Right now 25 years later you're up 440% in your investment That's an annual average of 17% 7% above the
13:30 - 14:00 average of the S&P 500 With two major crashes with the lost decades with hundreds of events with crashes collapses wars pandemics none of this matters None of this matters It's not different this time Think of your investing journey as your pension plan Don't think about it as a way to buy a new car a new house Don't check it every day This is your pension plan You open it up when you're 60 65 If you can't think this way you should not be investing You have to think long term
14:00 - 14:30 And now we're getting to the list right here Now look I promised you I'll show the list and I will I'll share it with you But I want you to use this as some sort of a buy stocks list This is not the point Don't copy me because I said so Use my logic Use my rationale to find your list in your stocks Okay So I'll share it with you And by the way notice what I'm doing here in this list I'm not looking at the share price All of these companies that I'm going to tell you right now they might drop another 50% from here Possible I don't know And I don't care I invest in businesses not in
14:30 - 15:00 short-term stock prices I'm not a trader Right So Palunteer the first name on this list I said early stage IPO price 10 I made a mistake It was DPO Current price $18 The stock dropped another $12 from this point until $6 to find the bottom But I said here potential price 300 to 500 2035 2035 I was saying 2035 in 2021 Thinking about 14 years forward Now my rationale here summarized data analytics
15:00 - 15:30 trend top three CEOs trend means it's a secular trend it's something that you know pushes companies forward and so forth and so forth I I didn't think about AI back then but I definitely thought about data analytics as being huge trend top three CEO quas monopolistic margins offthe-wall sticky business basically it's very hard to leave them right now the second name on this list was Tesla and I said here mid-stage price was $220 when I looked at it top three CEO projected price $1,400 for Tesla for Palanteer it was
15:30 - 16:00 300 to 500 uh top three CEO trend EVs margins offthe-wall future S-curve energy I basically looked at this as an energy and an EV company I didn't even think about FSD back then and I valued it at 1400 should have said 1420 and then of course we have the S&P 500 current price was 4500 not that far away from today actually at this point and basically said to myself 20% DCAX2 regular DCA if Not Basically this means if the stock price drops below 20% of the 52- week high then we double down
16:00 - 16:30 and if not we just DCA The same thing applies to date Tesla is still a great company It's been hemorrhaging because of Elon Musk's politics and that has nothing to do with robotics FSD and energy These businesses if they do well the Elon Musk politics won't matter one bit And guess what The same list applies today Palente right now is the best company to buy in this particular juncture Data analytics AI and the combination of these two create
16:30 - 17:00 something that the world is absolutely yearning for it now This is uncertain times Palunteer is built for chaos When everybody's panicking where there's uncertainty logistical problems nobody understands how to handle these trade problems and the wars and the chaos Palunteer takes uncertainty and makes it certain This company is probably the best if not the only one in the world that can do that And that's why it's going to thrive in chaos more than anybody else understands right now And the price is still dropping which I found peculiar and funny just like I did
17:00 - 17:30 in 2022 I was buying it up in 2022 Everybody was saying "Tom you're crazy Look at the share price." I don't care about the share price The share price can go to 30 It can actually go to 30 folks I'm not even kidding you Palanteer can drop to 30 like this Just like I said back in February when it was 115 I don't care Look at the business This business they have right now is a quasi monopoly in the world of uncertainty and chaos Palanteer is going to be a trillion dollar company and I don't care what happens to the share price in the short term Same thing with Tesla I thought Tesla was a $1,400 company
17:30 - 18:00 before robotics before I even talked about FSD What do you think I evaluated now and the good old reliable S&P 500 You cannot go wrong Even if the last decade was in your 15-year period that 10 year stretch you still did 80% It's very hard to argue Now look don't be fooled Don't be fooled by relief rally If there's a huge rally right now it might be just a head fake a dead bounce a relief rally whatever you call it I don't know You don't know either So keep steady you know just keep daing Double
18:00 - 18:30 down to the dips If it rips just slow down Don't fomo back in If the market rips all of a sudden slow and steady normal DCA we don't predict we prepare And of course take some time off right now off of media off of all this mess Stay alert stay in the loop understand what's going on but don't over obsess about what's going on right now Right now we may drop another 50% Sure it can happen No problem We'll be doing the same thing we've done in 2022 the same thing that made us generational money
18:30 - 19:00 The market can rip Fine We'll just dollar cost average slowly We'll wait for the actual correction It doesn't matter what happens next If you have a plan if you don't predict if you prepare you can make a lot of money in the stock market That's why a lot of people if the market indeed drops 50% will make generational wealth I would love to teach you all of these principles just like I did for the 20% of people who stayed with me in 2022 Right now we have 17,000 people in our academy I will teach you all of this We'll go in depth
19:00 - 19:30 I'll see you twice a week I'll teach you how to thrive Not just survive how to thrive in this environment patreon.commash Would love to see you there Become a part of our community Learn how to weed out all this noise Become confident become stoic and I will see you in our next academy lesson