This is the Best Investing Opportunity of Your Life

Summary

Highlights

• Felix stresses the importance of mindset in investing, emphasizing patience and discipline. 🧠
• Financial and material stocks are experiencing significant buy-interest, indicating potential growth sectors. 📈
• Caution against being a 'bag holder' – lingering in failing stocks can equate to long-term losses. 🚪
• Investing time in learning and personal training can drastically improve your investment returns. 📚
• Long-term compounding returns are crucial for significant wealth accumulation – a reminder to focus on sustained growth. 🔄

Key Takeaways

• Mindset is key in investing – patience and strategy help prevent emotional decisions. 🧠
• Financial and material stocks are seeing significant buy-interest. 📈
• Don't be a 'bag holder' – learn when to exit to avoid losses. 🚪
• Invest in learning and training; 15 minutes a day can significantly boost your skills. 📚
• Look beyond immediate gains; focus on long-term compounding returns. 🔄

Overview

Chapters

• 00:00 - 03:00: Introduction and Market Overview The chapter titled 'Introduction and Market Overview' begins with a greeting and a light-hearted note from the host, Felix, who is conducting a pre-market live session. Despite its casual tone, the main focus of the introduction is to emphasize the importance of taking breaks and using non-trading days for reflection and research. Felix intends to provide a broader perspective by examining the market in a detailed manner, suggesting a comprehensive approach to understanding market dynamics. The chapter sets the stage for a thorough exploration of market trends and strategies ahead of a market opening.
• 03:00 - 09:00: Financial Sectors and Stock Picks The chapter covers the financial sectors that are currently attracting significant buying interest. It anticipates the topics mainstream media will focus on, helping the audience to be well-prepared by understanding the potential and the pitfalls of what is deemed as the next big rally. The chapter also includes a Q&A segment where viewers can ask any questions they have.
• 09:00 - 16:00: Discussion on ARK and Innovation Stocks The chapter titled 'Discussion on ARK and Innovation Stocks' begins with an interactive poll involving the audience. The speaker emphasizes the importance of understanding some vital information that has been life-changing for them. The chapter promises to explore something 'very cool' that the speaker is eager to share, presumably related to innovation stocks. The speaker is set to share their screen to present this information, indicating a more detailed discussion will follow.
• 16:00 - 23:00: Investing Strategies and Returns Hedge funds have significantly increased their investment in material stocks at one of the fastest rates in history.
• 23:00 - 31:00: European Defense Stocks and Market Trends The chapter discusses the notable investment trends into industrial sectors, particularly those utilizing materials and construction. This investment could potentially influence European defense stocks and overall market trends. The speaker shares a lighthearted moment, showing off their pet Winston, crediting him humorously as the 'brain behind the operation'. Winston's presence adds a personal touch to the business-focused discussion.
• 31:00 - 40:00: Software in Cars and Tesla's Future The chapter discusses the role of software in cars, particularly focusing on Tesla's future in this domain. The speaker mentions Winston, who is sleeping and gets annoyed by interruptions. They talk about sharing insights and stocks with a coaching community, emphasizing an ongoing discussion since September. The conversation revolves around software operations and trends within the automotive industry, highlighting potential investment opportunities.
• 40:00 - 48:00: Market Tools and Strategy Discussion The chapter titled 'Market Tools and Strategy Discussion' covers financial topics, particularly focusing on a financial ETF named VFH, which tracks banks and mortgages. The speaker encourages the audience to communicate their interest by writing 'useful' in the chat if they find the content valuable. The discussion highlights a market breakout that occurred in late 2024, referencing a masterclass for further insights.
• 48:00 - 54:00: Long-term Investment Fundamentals The chapter discusses the typical patterns seen in financial markets, specifically focusing on long-term investments in financial stocks. It highlights a consistent cycle where markets tend to decline initially but then experience a rally, as seen recently. The chapter also emphasizes the importance of timing when investing in financial stocks and notes that the examples given (FOA and Interactive Brokers) are just illustrative, not recommendations. It concludes by acknowledging some individuals related to the discussion.
• 54:00 - 60:30: Q&A and Personal Insights The discussion centers around the financial market's anticipation of falling rates and relaxed bank regulations, leading to positivity in mortgage stocks. There is also a mention of ARK Investment Management, managed by Cathie Wood, asking if anyone has lost money with the ARK funds, inviting them to share their experiences in the chat.
• 60:30 - 64:00: Closing Remarks and Upcoming Events The final chapter titled 'Closing Remarks and Upcoming Events' discusses the cyclical nature of market trends, specifically the decline that occurred in 2022. The instructor recalls a significant drop in trading value, estimated around 70%, and references previous teaching content which many students are already familiar with. The chapter emphasizes pattern recognition, particularly identifying and anticipating market breakouts, highlighting an example taught in the class. It concludes with hints towards further lessons and reflections on recent market observations and predicts or implies upcoming topics to watch.

This is the Best Investing Opportunity of Your Life Transcription

• 00:00 - 00:30 can't see you Winston why are you hiding Felix and welcome to this very very very pre-market live we're so excited that Market's going to open again on Tuesday I thought i' do a live stream on a Monday because what else do I do with my life but in all seriousness I love these days off actually because it gives us a beautiful tie way to reflect on some stuff do a little bit of research zoom out and that's exactly what I'm going to walk you through I want to walk you through the four
• 00:30 - 01:00 sectors here that are seeing massive buy interest and then want to walk you through what mainstream media is going to be talking about tomorrow probably so you're better prepared and you understand what they are saying is the next big Great Rally and why it may be and why it may not be so you are really really well prepared and then we'll have a bit of time to actually just answer questions literally ask me anything in the chat and and we'll we'll we'll walk through it um but first of all asked you
• 01:00 - 01:30 a poll here in the in the chat and and a lot of you guys have already answered that that and um great and I I'll I'll get to that in a second that is actually there for a reason it isn't that just there randomly I want to walk you through something very very cool which I think will be enormously well certainly for me has been enormously lifechanging once I really really understood this so shall we um shall we get going I think we should get going let me share my screen with you here uh there there we
• 01:30 - 02:00 go hedge funds just bought the most amount of material stocks second fastest paced in history maybe you think that's really dull because see the car about material stocks but what does it say to you it says well two things one they expect likely more tariffs on non us goods and that's where they think us material prices could go up so one of part of that is tariffs and the second thing would also be growth they expect the US economy to grow and for there to
• 02:00 - 02:30 be significant investment into you know industrial stuff that uses materials construction and so on so it's Winston sleeping today he's literally sitting right behind me but he's refusing to sit up Winston sit sit sit up up up there we go there he is you see in all his glory you can go back to sleep now Wiston um so there he is that's the brain behind the operation
• 02:30 - 03:00 operations obviously so um Winston is sleeping yes so there we go let me share my screen again while Winston um snuggles back in there he go off off he is annoyed that i' interrupted his perfect snooze on the sofa let me show you a couple of things I've been talking about this one here for since September I'd say maybe a little earlier than that I can't remember I think we really got in on this in September me some of the stocks that I I share with you guys inside the uh coaching community and this is
• 03:00 - 03:30 financials now I picked any random Financial ETF this one's called vfh basically tracks Banks and mortgages and and so on and um by the way if you find it useful to go through the stuff that's really really trending or about to really really be Trend again let me know in the chat like just let me know if this you're finding it useful just write write useful or or something like that we had a breakout here in late 2024 and then what did we do those of you guys who watch the masterclass you know we pretty much
• 03:30 - 04:00 always do this right we always go down a little bit and then we rally back up and we're doing exactly that so it's been a really really beautiful rally for our financial stocks which people often don't think about I mean um what have we got open at the moment and again don't buy these just because I have it's also all about timing obviously foa I've got um I've got interactive brokers um these are stocks not not not the actual broker at the moment um okay thanks for letting me know that Nick Jeff and Lloyd and Nicholas and um all of that brilliant so
• 04:00 - 04:30 there's lots of ways to play this and mortgage stocks have just generally done very very well as well and that's all on this expectation that rates will come down and things will get get get better and Bank regulation uh is is going to be less now here is one that I thought might might be controversial um who hates Ark who has lost money on um Kathy's Ark um fun let me know if you've lost money on Arc R ride Arc in the chat and um of
• 04:30 - 05:00 course most people did because it's a very very very cyclical thing and it completely collapsed going into 2022 from I don't know where I was trading but went down about 70% or something like that AR was a back um says Scott yeah and by now I know you no longer hold BS but Scott for example I know you're one of my students but even you guys who've just watched The Master Class you'll be familiar with this pattern right and then you sort of draw a line across that here something like that and then you spot the watch you spot the breakout and guess what we got
• 05:00 - 05:30 one um we got one at the end of 2024 and that still looks very very good actually if you ask me because we zigzagged up a little bit we keep bouncing off the 50-day moving average line here and we had a marvelous day on Friday up something like 6% or something so there is life again in Innovation and of course Arc isn't a company that is invests in a bunch of innovative stocks that are pretty high risk they charge
• 05:30 - 06:00 pretty extraordinary fees for doing so but it's a good way in one click to capture a lot of highrisk stuff and highrisk stuff is making a comeback which is the way Cycles work so you don't want to own it down here because then for literally two years almost three years right all of 2022 all 2023 actually three years for three years you were a bag holder you know what was the problem with being a bag holder for three years who knows who knows three years the last three years how much has the market gone
• 06:00 - 06:30 up by anybody know can can look it up my guess would be 65% plus that would be my approximate guess I might be awful not that would have been the S&P so the the the really boring chap that you work with he's always a little gray and drives a Volvo and it's very very steady he up 65% um you bag holder are not up 65% which means what it means you're actually down 65% right because he's going to go back in
• 06:30 - 07:00 now having watched a master class and he's going to buy 65% more Arc than you so it's it's not a good scenario there um doing that um Fox exactly you don't make money um AR so Tom the my friend you're a you're a bag holder sorry about that Tom but it's a it's it's it's a harsh reality that we all have to have to learn and and and well don't have to learn but I hope that you want to learn and I'll get back to that in a second um
• 07:00 - 07:30 here's another AR one and again you guys watch The Master Class what are you starting to recognize you see this pattern this beautiful little pattern and then we draw a line across it and then here we're starting to PO right Gap there for the first time I've seen a major Gap and I'm seeing also pretty significant volume so early maybe to call it a breakout but it's it's getting there and the whole higher risk cycle is going to come back
• 07:30 - 08:00 and there's a lot of money to made in that made in that especially if you if you manage it well Arc sucks you see a lot of people I hate Arc and that's why it takes a long time for these kind of stocks to go back up because people really hate it right um but yeah it's a sideways motion and it's eventually breaks out and then you get this these monstrous rallies because most people have have would would have sold by now right people give up on these things very few people have the patience of um who is the chat with the patience here um Tom Tom Baker has a lot
• 08:00 - 08:30 of patience so that's an important thing and that brings me also to a lot of you guys were saying you couldn't make the last Master Class even though I did it live on a Saturday because I thought that have been pretty useful for people and I appreciate it all the people of you showed up about 2,000 or so showed up um so we're going to run another one Live this week on Thursday and I'll walk you through exactly what we just touched upon here how do we spot those breakouts how do we manage the positions and where
• 08:30 - 09:00 do we sell because you can miss out on the greatest rally in the world but even worse is if you miss out on the exit where you could have taken this monstrous profit and then you become Tom Baker sorry Tom I'm picking on you um who then sits on on on a on a stock he he's down on significantly for three years which is just sort of like buing your head in the sound sorry Tom I'm just going to pick on you a lot here today but you're just you know this happens to tens of thousands of people so by the end of this live session
• 09:00 - 09:30 Thursday 10: a.m. literally after our usual live premarket spot uh you will never do those things again right Tom are you going to join me are you going to join me let me know if you're going to join me live right write live in the chat if you're going to join me live you can sign up at Felix friends.org weinar fox has already very kindly posted the um the link in the chat here it's also Down Below in the description if you can't find it um and that's going to be super super useful now next I want to talk to you about
• 09:30 - 10:00 Tesla Palante yes and we can also look at some of the other things out there like BBI which keeps popping up here but I want you to think about something most of our brains have essentially been corrupted we've been trained to get what now we want sort of satisfaction now right and that's why people you know they take drugs and drink and that kind of thing um but what I'm hoping is that we can accelerate the pace at which
• 10:00 - 10:30 you can achieve something and most people that's why you putting all these these these these th symbols here in the chat you just want the the stock tip today right and and and you keep hunting on YouTube on the Internet or on social media and so on for that quick tip that makes you money today right all the markets are closed today you have to wait till tomorrow but it's it's not the way I would approach it um and and then there's an if you
• 10:30 - 11:00 think about it say say you're you're baking a apple pie or something I had a lovely apple pie yesterday and you can make the the dough and you put the apples on and all that and you can put it in the oven and the oven is meant to be I don't know what was it 400° or something but if you put the oven only up to 25° what do you get after an hour or two of the pie sitting in there well you get warm mush right and that's honestly what most people actually do with their lives turn the dial up just a little bit
• 11:00 - 11:30 25° and they do that versus actually really training your brain to change your skill level because it's easier isn't it it's easier to find one stock tip somewhere in the media and just hope that that's going to take you there rather than actually learning um 15 minutes a day something you might have well that's literally what it would take you to learn the skill to make your money worth for you and your family and
• 11:30 - 12:00 if you want to reap the rewards and and if you want to stop you know gambling because let's be honest that's what most people are doing here right like Tom be honest right you bought something you know Arc because it was doing really well and then it collapsed and you had no real rules and getting in or getting out and and the Market's going up been going up so much the last few years that it's been working some of the time right the gambling thing but imagine for a moment if you could actually have control over your portfolio you
• 12:00 - 12:30 completely at ease never worry and make more money and if that's something that you might be interested in learning in acquiring that skill and that confidence then join me on Thursday live and I'll literally teach you that I can do that in the 90 minutes two hours that we'll have together literally so if you head over here fedix webinar I'll teach you exactly that and I want to give you one more thing that I found insanely useful
• 12:30 - 13:00 I asked you guys how much money could you save if basically I put a gun to your head month and most of you are saying $1,000 plus which is kind of what I what I thought let me just say assume that you have some initial money I'm just going to put 50,000 maybe it's less for you maybe it's more for you it doesn't really matter and you putting $1,000 in a month and you're going to do this for 30 years because that's what most people think they should be doing with their life and you going to make 2% a year on your
• 13:00 - 13:30 Investments why only 2% that's what the average retail investor does a year 2% obviously much less than inflation well how much money would you have in 30 years well $583,000 which in 30 years will make you poor now what if you made 10% which is sort of the average of this Market in the last 20 30 years right well you'd have 3 million that' be a lot better wouldn't it 3 million be pretty good cuz
• 13:30 - 14:00 if you look at this look at this you you put in $360,000 and you got 3.2 million just by being diligent putting a th000 bucks in the into an index fund 10% right 10% interest does that make sense does that make sense let let me know if that makes sense um now what if and I'm not promising this but what if you could beat the market just a little bit and made 15% return year imagine that was
• 14:00 - 14:30 possible again I'm not promising you any specific outcomes here just run through some some hypothetical numbers what happened well you still put $360,000 in there saved every month you got 11.3 million so you got what double your money you got double your money for taking it from 10% to 15% right so what else I make you think well you
• 14:30 - 15:00 definitely don't want to be the 2ent which is what the average is 10% would be a lot better but if you could shift it a little higher than the 10% you can see that the impact of that is tremendous right and honestly to me I read an entire book on this and it didn't really sink in but once it really sunk in this is the thing that motivated me more than anything else in the world and I started
• 15:00 - 15:30 putting this kind of a chart on my wall and I was like I'm going to get to this number obviously you can change the amounts and so on but you start to see that you only put in this little blue the little blue bit here is what you're working for you're putting in right that's your starting Capital basically and then the Orange is what the market delivers for you isn't that extraordinary so if you deliver a little bit of money into the market and you manage a properly you're
• 15:30 - 16:00 not a bag holder sorry Tom but the bag holding is what what what knocks you out because that's what gets you to the 2% return rather than 10% plus you get extraordinary results I hope that's a little bit motivational for you to to just focus on this it's far more important than than working or earning a little bit more money or any of that it's really really important of course it makes you also want to think about all the bits of money that you're wasting in your life right because we all waste money right so talk about the guy who's um really um really hates
• 16:00 - 16:30 waste Elon well grock 3 is coming out today apparently and guess what it's going to be included in all tests be able to drive you be able to talk to Gro if you haven't used Gro yet it's an it's an llm like like chat GPT and it's brilliant I use it all the freaking time literally I I've replaced
• 16:30 - 17:00 Google completely with grock the new gro version 3 I haven't put my by my paws on it yet but I'm excited for it but imagine if you could drive around and you could say what whatever you're thinking about like um what are the three nicest restaurants within 10 miles of where I'm driving right now would that be cool like can you adjust the put it in the satna navigation thing and guide me there great could you send him a message and make a reservation you do that that's what's coming will you be able to do that other car probably not because their Tech is so
• 17:00 - 17:30 freaking bad that it doesn't work so this is a really cars are all going to be about software what it's all about and the only car company out there that actually has amazing software is Tesla one of the reasons I'm long Tesla also underperformed the rest of the max 7 now something else here that got me very excited and I tweeted this if you follow me on X what's your what's your average return Neils on [Music]
• 17:30 - 18:00 sounds it sounds really annoying to people um I haven't I didn't track it like properly for for long time because I I didn't have to sort of account to anybody um but last year was 100% plus the year before was 100% plus um which I know is annoying to some people but I hope it's maybe inspiring and again I'm not promising you 100% I don't aim for 100% um but it happens sometimes quite a lot of the time actually um and it's it's just it's really about structure
• 18:00 - 18:30 and systems and and and and risk management and I think that's where the people may lose the people just lose their money like holding on to something people get emotionally attached to a stock and that's the danger we just want to be in and out of stocks as we make money um and I think even if you just held a long-term portfolio I think outperforming the market is actually much easier than people think the reasons big funds can't outperform the market is they're too big right so if you had a billion or10 billion or100 billion like the big funds
• 18:30 - 19:00 you can't go and buy you know what did we make money on last week kamada right 10% in a week they can't buy that stock it's too small they would move the stock massively they wouldn't be able to sell it they haven't got that opportunity that you and I have because we've got smaller portfolios they have to buy you know apple and you know the big stocks they just can't they can't be that agile they they basically stop being 90% of the opportunities 99% of the opportunities are not possible for them um even you know Berkshire otherway why
• 19:00 - 19:30 are they sitting on 300 billion of cash because they have to buy entire companies they can't just go oh let's play with that let's play with that because it doesn't make any sense the trades are too small for them so it's much easier for you and me we have a real we have a real advantage so yeah Palante just got a contract from
• 19:30 - 20:00 the Department of Health and Human Services HHS and it's $6 million which is not bad and it's basically um data again and they have a lot of these contracts already so we're going to see a lot more of these I believe I think we're also going to see an IRS contract coming up they basically have written one out to upgrade their ludicrously old Software System and Hardware system and um it it reads like it's written for Palante so I think as
• 20:00 - 20:30 part of this whole Doge effort we're going to get a lot of Palante money like a lot so I think I'm it's it's it's very exciting I think what's happening over there we have a market breadth indicator Johnny yeah I think that's a good idea Johnny we we kind of have it the the MSI in in here so say you open Tesla there is a Mansfield I indicator down there that is like how is it doing
• 20:30 - 21:00 against the the that particular sector but I know what you mean it would be nice to have a have a sector overview I think that could be an interesting like just a whole page right all the little sector charts or something like that um yeah we're working on something a bit like that um we're also working on a lot of like having a news page um and that would then also give you news related to to to your Holdings in your portfolio which I think would be super useful there's a ton of good stuff coming out there on on that front now this is what I wanted to talk to you about because I
• 21:00 - 21:30 think a lot of you are um Lisa thanks for the sub I think a lot of you um are going to rereading about this in the next few days um European Defense stocks have been going bananas because there's a war in Europe and um with the war in Ukraine ending or the US certainly stopping their funding towards the the war in Ukraine although I don't think they'll they'll stop it I think they just get get something in
• 21:30 - 22:00 return European stocks are doing really well and European Defense stocks are doing really well so I wanted to kind of show you a few bits of data here last time Trump was in power he got he got European countries to actually spend more money on defense because he basically said to them you guys are taking the piss we're paying for everything why aren't you right so you see a little little bit of an of an increase here right a little bit of an
• 22:00 - 22:30 increase there in spending but there is still a huge gap to the to the US which is what that thing that blue line up there is the US this blue line down here is the EU um this little increase here is called the Ukraine war which by the way people some say to me oh you shouldn't be you know you shouldn't want the wall to end I totally get that people want you know the right side to win and all of that but in the meantime what happens 20 something year old ukrainians die every day and it's it's a tragedy and I think for that reason alone we should end it
• 22:30 - 23:00 so I'm not a fan of War I don't think anybody ever really wins War unless you're defense contractor which case you do but nobody else ever really wins in war war as two losers both sides inevitably and and lots of people die and it's bloody awful so I I think it'd be a good thing for this war to end like like any War really so um I think that's going to happen now what is therefore going to go up European stocks have just seen the big biggest inflow in money in
• 23:00 - 23:30 24 months long long long time um I'm not a huge fan of the European economy or european anything really um I think it's a total sh be polite with you there's no innovation there's High regulation there high tax and there is a general like stick your head in the sand sort of atmosphere around there but it's possible that it's going to Rally now there's some high quality names in Europe that I think are always worth looking at you know lvmh lot sort of type thing there are a few others but
• 23:30 - 24:00 not that many um the whole um nvo stuff I'd be a little cautious on at the moment because it depends on just how much well RFK hates zic and all that stuff makes a lot of sense that he does and um as for European Defense stocks I think Trump will make European companies buy American defense Goods because why would you want them to buy European Defense Goods right so is going to make them buy American planes and American drones and American ships
• 24:00 - 24:30 and American ammunition which they already started to do during the Ukraine war so I think more of that money will flow to the US than to the Europe that would be my my thought on that so I'd be a care careful and cautious on Europe but maybe unbiased that's entirely possible um maybe Europe will buy Palante after the war ends yeah I mean we we know European countries like France and the UK and Germany are using Palante here but they're not willing to admit
• 24:30 - 25:00 it Ivan you want to see what what's that you you saying that and a price graph historical for options what do you mean you want to see historic PR options pricing what for each strike let me know what you have in mind there I love I love put like that let me know what what you're thinking and I'll
• 25:00 - 25:30 I'll I'll I'll take a screenshot um pan appreciate you um Scott you're thinking the same thing yeah I mean you know Trump is is a is is an America first president and I think he will do exactly that so we already saw you know Europe was making its Euro Fighter and all of that right the French and the Germans making something together which never blood works but they've been buying American planes already American helicopters already so I think there is a shift there in in in that and and the
• 25:30 - 26:00 big winner out of the Ukraine war quite frankly is the US yes they paid some money for it but um that was mostly American Weapons Systems so American weapons contractors made a lot of money and now they're going to get raw materials for it and um Europe's going to buy American weapon systems and put them into the Ukraine so who wins defense contractors so who starts these wars that's what you have what you have to ask yourself right um
• 26:00 - 26:30 love trade vision would love to see my entry point we looking at the graph um yeah that's something we have definitely planned my friend so at the moment you can see that in um in the stock tracker right so if you go into into the trades function here which is which is still a better version which is why it's labeled like that and you see um you know you can see your trades like that right so you see like when I bought this Dom H which I was posted about a
• 26:30 - 27:00 little while back you know you see my Buy in green and you see my Sals in red right so you see it on there but I know what you mean it' be nice to to toggle that on on the main chart right and that's definitely something we are going to do um to see that the historic price Ian okay the yeah we're going to we're going to bring in something
• 27:00 - 27:30 that'll help you with your option stops we working on something there but I'm still not quite sure how would we visualize that Ian kind of struggling a little bit how to imagine that Erica app appreciate you thank you very much Ry metal is booming says um yeah yeah a lot of the German um T C also is is is flying a lot of them are flying it's true um can you make trade Vision an app for phones Nicholas yes it's coming it's I've been saying it for a while it is in the final stages of birth um it's it's
• 27:30 - 28:00 it's coming it's been a been been a long and tough labor but it's it's coming both for iPhones and for Android at the same time um Draft Kings dropped Like a Rock didn't It Drop It Like It's Hot gfk and what's the ticker draft draft Kings here we go earnings sucked or something didn't it
• 28:00 - 28:30 it's up 15% here I know earnings were good why you saying it dropped you said it dropped mixing it up with something now so that was a pretty pretty sweet jump up I grant you that um that a breakout yeah something like that it's we take a little line here and you know if you know what I'm talking about master class wise
• 28:30 - 29:00 something like that I mean it's not the cleanest in the world but it it sort of is and then volume the day before is not always interesting that it always pops the day before and then it pops properly here always interesting so yeah that's that's a very very bullish sign there um now has it run too far look at history um well we we've been higher in the 60s and so on little little bit of resistance here from the bag holders um Tom any of your friends and DraftKings I think Tom's left the building I think he's annoyed with
• 29:00 - 29:30 me fix the iPad experience Scot well we'll fix that alongside because you'll be able to use the app now um browsers with very small screens can be a little bit challenging Anonymous you're working to my podcast that's that's kind of you thank you Ivan we are to put in um historic IV percent that you're going to be able to
• 29:30 - 30:00 see that which I think would be super useful for us options nerds jle they amazing I love that you guys are using trade vision and getting good value out of it and for any of you guys who want to join that trade Vision team there here we can go to fedix friend.org trision link is also down below you get um our insane breakout indicator which is super super cool and also a huge amount of other stuff and we
• 30:00 - 30:30 keep adding things and we keep adding it for free for all the people who've been around with us for a while so if you join us now you're going to get all those upgrades including the apps and everything thrown in there for you and yeah look how how nicely for example on this one we called we called the breakouts here and here and there and here and there on P pretty pretty good stuff right so definitely worth checking that out um what do you think about the CNN market sentiment indicator when everyone's fearful yeah you want to buy
• 30:30 - 31:00 when everyone's panic when everyone's you know euphoric you you you want to you want to set tight stops and you want to uh you want to make sure that when it does go down which inevitably does you're you're prepared to take profits right that's really really important um today is President's Day I understand I don't really know what the history is of that some of our American friends undoubtedly can Enlighten us or somebody can ask grock uh but I don't know what it's about what's presid day all about my American friends um we don't get
• 31:00 - 31:30 taught that sort of thing you see uh bbai yeah was a nice breakout here it was a good call again wasn't it you could have bought it at below seven now it's trading at N9 so that's a pretty good setup and the volume here is pretty impressive but I mentioned this on the weekend you see the trend of volume and the trend of the stock not good when they're go opposite directions it indicates we might be peing so I'd watch the volume here very very
• 31:30 - 32:00 carefully Scott says what for Washington and Lincoln who were both born in the early part of the Year okay it was sort of a combined birthday celebration type thing birthday of Lincoln says Allison okay appreciate that thank you um okay it used to be for washingon they
• 32:00 - 32:30 sort of watered it down to please everybody else H um who's what Muhammad throwing money at first and 16th Presidents okay bit random but you know you that's up to you guys some of you guys still want to buy am basically it's very simple talk to
• 32:30 - 33:00 Tom if you buy stocks that keep falling what do you do you lose money and now you might argue well eventually eventually it's going to go back up right so you're thinking that this thing you think this is the the bottom right so you say it's going to do this for a while and then it's going to go up for a little while and it's going to bit of this and then it's going to do bit of that this m bit of that and say you started buying here right so that then in you know I don't know 2 years later you're back to zero right you
• 33:00 - 33:30 celebrate and you start telling your wife about this position that you opened two years prior what's the problem well over the last two years the stock market's done what stock market's up about 50% last two years the problem is the person who simply bought the index was the S&P 500 is up 50% he 50% richer than you yeah that sink in 50% richer than
• 33:30 - 34:00 you so you are not actually at zero you are actually at minus 50% that's a problem because if you had 50% more money you could still open the AMD position here where you are at zero right once it's recovered and you still have 50% more money you can put into something else so this this like hodle thing and Diamond hand thing
• 34:00 - 34:30 and something is really I mean really really really stupid um and it doesn't mean that you are stupid it's human psychology to buy something and not want to sell it like I've literally taught like 10,000 people or something and and and every every one of us has it I have it too and I I have to fight with it I have to fight with it and we therefore set up certain automations so we don't have to think about stuff like I get knocked out of Trades all the time I don't want to get knocked out of but I'm very happy that I get knocked out of it because I understand that the
• 34:30 - 35:00 opportunity cost is way greater hold on to this thing for a couple of years right um what about sip every month to average it out no better really you're just putting in smaller amounts of money into a falling knife it's still the same thing like why buy something that's falling like there is literally not a single professional Trader maybe if that convinces you who would do it so the only people who do it are usually people
• 35:00 - 35:30 who want you know headlines um it just now would you ever buy a dip like that if you had some inside information that they've just cured you know cancer and only you knew this then yes absolutely um but that's probably not the case so it just doesn't make sense doesn't make sense by something else falling what's cheap was it cheap at 200 or was it
• 35:30 - 36:00 cheap at 150 or was it cheap at 110 well zoom out a little bit and stock was trading at $55 it was trading at uh you know $37 stock could trade at $10 at $1 could trade to zero could go bankrupt it's all possible like with any stock so just don't think something as cheap and as therefore going to go back up like especially if it has a a long history of falling um we call it falling knives and people hate it you know I pulled up arc Arc just now right the arc stocks and
• 36:00 - 36:30 and you know people were throwing things at the um at the screen there were uh people screaming and going no no don't show me this why because it reminded them of the horrors of owning this thing at what was it $158 and it's now trading you know it was a 29 they remember that pain they don't want to touch this thing who's going to buy this on the way up it takes a really long time it took from 2022 to the end of 2024 so it basically took
• 36:30 - 37:00 like almost three years for this to start moving up again and it's still only trading at $67 it's trading up here at60 so um my rule is every 10% drop in a stock is the equivalent of one story in a building that you fall out of the window off 10% down first floor you're right second floor not so good eighth floor coma right 10th you know ninth floor so 80%
• 37:00 - 37:30 down you know you're basically dead right 70% down seventh floor again probably coma for a couple of years and that's just what happens with stocks so I I just just don't follow this social media nonsense of buying something cheap what about rivan is not about the same chart and I think that's another thing that you know have to learn the hard way and you for me was you know I got quite
• 37:30 - 38:00 excited about Neo for example um and then obviously geopolitics and everything else got got in the way and and and you know you got to learn from those experiences like this is a stock that was trading at you know some sort of horrific number up here in the 170s now it's trading at 14 um and and and the next Tesla is Tesla right next Nvidia is probably Enid next Microsoft is probably Microsoft right the next Coca-Cola is Coca-Cola like it's it's just it's much much easier for those guys to do it than for anybody else to
• 38:00 - 38:30 do it so no I wouldn't buy it rivan I wouldn't buy it it's it's consolidating yeah doing this but it hasn't broken out of anything meaningfully and I'm telling you there's still a lot of people back holding this and they're going to sell when they go back to zero but this has been back going sideways since like three years now um I Ian the um the watch list button
• 38:30 - 39:00 there is coming as well we're working on that we just wanted to put the watch list out really quickly but yeah yeah we definitely going to have a little a little button there so you can add them and you can remove them that's all coming um cool is arguing that because AMD has
• 39:00 - 39:30 less shares less likely to drop I'd say the opposite true it's uh it moves more easily couple of people sell it moves more quickly it's a very large stock with very large institutional Holdings it's actually harder for it to drop that's what way I would look at it but you know might well be right um how do you find such such stocks says Neil well the first thing is well if you
• 39:30 - 40:00 wanted if you just want the tool um trade Vision as a link at the bottom of the screen we literally have a screener um send you an email every day as well that's that's where where kamada popped out I don't remember what the date was but it was popped up in this list um the second thing I would then draft on here for example as what um Roku the problem is that people always think that they need you always think that they need the they need the tool right
• 40:00 - 40:30 so there there's a bunch of things that that you need to be could Trader you need a tool to find them yeah sure that's one thing you need what what else do you need well you need a you need need a strategy right um and and then what else do you need well you need you need the right mindset and I would actually put them in that order so I would say you need you need the mindset first they need the strategy and then you need the tool for
• 40:30 - 41:00 some reason everybody wants to start here with the tool and they think that's the answer but they have the tool they haven't got the strategy so they haven't got the exits rules and they don't know what to you know which of these on the on the list is actually the one that maybe we should be buying um and then if they are in it and then say the stock starts dropping they will be like oh it's getting cheaper let's buy some more you know that sort of mad thinking or or you know they that goes up and they never ever take profits because they think taking profits is a terrible thing that's kind of where the mindset comes in so really what you want to get is to
• 41:00 - 41:30 you want to get the mindset then you want to get the strategy and then you want get the tool but by all means start out with a tool there there's a free trial to trade vision and at least it'll give you something to play with if you want to get the mindset and the strategy then then then come and join me on on Thursday morning uh New York time 10: a.m. and I'll teach you for free that's the whole intention of that sort of probably run for two hours and I'll walk you through that and and I'll Focus much much more on strategy but also on mindset because is the two go hands in hand so this is this is really where we need to be this is where we make the
• 41:30 - 42:00 money this is where you make the most money you don't make any money unless you have a strategy and then you need need a tool so you can you know what to do like I used to browse through 2,000 stocks a week I was tedious now I look at a list and it takes me like you know 50 minutes rather than two hours so yeah I hope that's helpful metonic 100% mindset yeah yeah absolutely and it's it's it's gets counterintuitive because you
• 42:00 - 42:30 have to do things you don't want to do all the time which is why I think it's important that we ultimate them because it's really really hard Fox gaming why did someone call me um did you try to book a call or something my my my friend in which case maybe one of my team might have reached out to you to try to help you shedule something that's entirely possible T says every time I lost real money I broke my rules and regreted it yeah and it's it's a hard not to break
• 42:30 - 43:00 your rules it is which is why we focus so much on rules and then reinforcing that printing it out and practicing it with with with zero risk and like simulated trading and so on and and also why I'm such a firm believer in in that you actually need a mentor because if you have to show your portfolio to somebody at least once a week or every day if you like um you got accountability and uh he's going to be like what's that position why have you still got that right why didn't you get out of that and and it forces you into
• 43:00 - 43:30 better hygiene essentially what I sort of call it um how often do you reassess your stop loss um weekly or if there is a big move so say you know I don't but if I was holding beam it was up 13% I would look at my stop and i' see if I want want to move it up similarly if it was you know massively down I I would look at the
• 43:30 - 44:00 same thing uh so I don't really care about the stocks unless they've moved like significantly so if this was like my portfol I wouldn't really care about any any of these that one minus 11% i' have a look at that one not wonder why it hasn't trickered my stop so it really takes very very little time very very little time like you can do it on a Sunday in 15 minutes or you could look every morning for five minutes um T you review it every weekend that's a very very healthy thing to do and
• 44:00 - 44:30 weekends are great for that as well um top five fundamental rules to find long-term picks I mean for me the chart rules still apply um I think if you want to go fundamental if you want to become a fundamentalist there's a bunch of things I would look at gross margins which basically tells you how hard is it to replace that product you generally want those to be over 60% now if you're manufacturing that doesn't
• 44:30 - 45:00 work so Tesla has like 18% or something but it's probably going to get there with software um I would look at um interest cover so can they pay their debt that tells you quite a lot I would look at um EPS like a long-term growth you know are they consistent so they have do they have like one good quar and the rest of them are all rubbish or or are they really consistent that tells you quite a lot about
• 45:00 - 45:30 management quality um what else will I look at um there's a bunch of stuff obviously but it's time just time to simplify it because I'm only have only allowed five here um cash flow cash flow margin I would definitely look at cash flow because you have a lot of great businesses that never actually produce any cash it's really extraordinary um say if you're a retailer right you sell more you need more money now to buy more Goods so it's a problem uh so I don't really like those kind of businesses so yeah probably start with those four we could
• 45:30 - 46:00 we could always add a few more to it but that's kind of what I would look at as a as an initial screen of that if you want to take a screenshot of that feel free to write it down Dave is asking how do you choose which breakout stocks to buy well come and join me on Thursday for the for the live master class and we have a lot more time to kind of go through that um in a nutshell though once you really understand the rules you so I look at double check the rules um and then I
• 46:00 - 46:30 look at I mean I would really let say it comes down to experience and I know it's an annoying answer but you can learn experience you can't learn experience in 15 minutes but you can learn experience in weeks doesn't have to take years if you have somebody who's got the experience and is willing to share it with you and that's why I'm such a big believer in in in mentoring like I would not be doing what I'm doing today without my mentors because well they've been doing it for 20 30 40 years and I haven't um and that's how I learn and
• 46:30 - 47:00 and that's why I give you guys if you if you want wish inside our mentorship programs access to those very same people because I think that's really important it's really important to have somebody to look over your shoulder um Church the Archer yeah I'm quite bullish on Archer um well I'm I'm nibbling on Archer that's what I've done so far we have a little position open on Archer and I say we I mean Winston and me and I think I bought 5,000 shares of
• 47:00 - 47:30 that for something and um it's a slightly early entry I would argue so see that purple line I drew there that was sort of my justification line that that's the that's the trend line which is I think it's it's it's fair enough volume has popped quite significantly compared to where we have been but it's not like super super classic entry we also have you know that resistance here from there to deal with but I think you just think through the whole drones thing if you
• 47:30 - 48:00 think through what edon's been saying if you think through what they're doing with the Department of Defense they're going to reallocate a lot of spending I just think that drones are going to get a lot of money and I think Archer should be very well placed to get mop up quite a lot of that pain is the greatest motivator say Scott yeah really is I think if you ever have something bad happen in your life it's sort of you always have to be grateful for it because it's actually what pushes you forward the most um you
• 48:00 - 48:30 know tough times create strong people right that's what Tony always says about the rug pool in Argentina yeah I don't really know the full story there I don't I don't really know I mean to me it's screams a little bit of um was he set up um I I don't know I I don't know the chat so I can't really comment but uh it seems a little odd it seems a little odd that's what I would say
• 48:30 - 49:00 uh on on Archer there yeah I agree with you now if it were to drop significantly you know I have a stop loss open on this right I'm I'm definitely out there is sort of an obvious support line here um if you want to be a little bit more gung-ho there's a there's one sort of down there somewhere as well but yeah you know if it drops them out and then I'll get back into it when it picks up again and I think that's really the important thing that we don't get emotionally attached to our stocks
• 49:00 - 49:30 yeah I think the commercial commercial drone Aviation is going to take a while because of Regulation people feel weird about having stuff lying over their head but military use is just just so logical right like why the heck do we have pilots and fighter jets it's Insanity right so they should all be remote they've been building remote ones for like more than 10 years so really makes no sense and it's going it's a quantity game right
• 49:30 - 50:00 now Bernie saying you own all the flying taxi companies yeah I think that that's going to take a while I think let's get autonomous driving on the road first in 2025 and then I think that'll be the next step but it might take an extra five years or something like that um buying stocks not options I did I can't remember why maybe there wasn't a lot of options volume that's usually why I do that let me go out a little bit here have a look um yeah that's very
• 50:00 - 50:30 little so if you go like long long time out they're like 780 options which really is nothing I think that is just not enough volume um for for for that that's why I I did I did the stock yeah yeah Steve appreciate you thank you how my friends any any other questions my friends if you if you haven't um come and join me on Thursday
• 50:30 - 51:00 we're going to have a lot of fun at FedEx friend.org weinar we'll run through exactly just strategy and mindset and we run something real trades the market will be open when we're doing it so that that'll be really good fun and my intention is to give you about two hours of my time and and and really drill you through the the mindset and the strategy of how we when do we buy stocks when do we buy breakouts breakout here should we have bought it yes or no and then how do we exit and I
• 51:00 - 51:30 think I think if you learn that it's going to it's going to be tremendously helpful so come and join me sign up fix friend webinar it's completely free of charge by the way what's the out of your pictures called um it's just me painting really that's really all that is behind me there you mean those bit it's a bit dark at the moment but it's just sort of abstract oil really and the madness that goes on in my head it's really it's very very good fun it's very good fun they're all around
• 51:30 - 52:00 me Blake says chat is only for paid subscribers um questions from the plebs are not read sad what are you talking about my friend um the chat is restricted to subscribers because it reduces spam but we don't really have paid people hardly do because I don't really push it I don't think kind of some of you but it's like a couple of bucks or something um but no it's complete nonsense my friend um do I
• 52:00 - 52:30 answer every single question in the chat not really physically possible um I try to pick out the most interesting ones that I think are going to be most interesting to most people really a big hugs to Winston oil or acrylic oil my friends Scott I'm not acrylic is quite chemical I'm a bit of a bit of a keeping a natural freak so I I I use I use some natural pigment and then I pour my own oil on it and then I you know I do that bit old school and and that way I
• 52:30 - 53:00 know that there is nothing no nasty stuff in there whereas a lot of the paints you buy especially acrylics I think there's quite a lot of nasty stuff in there so um no it's why I make my my own my own paint um Mark welcome and Adrian say hi to Tom from me Scott purist yeah I'm I'm a bit like I'm a bit of a bit of I'm a bit of an odd ball if you hadn't noticed so yeah I used to also make my own stretch my own canvases and all of that but
• 53:00 - 53:30 that's a bit tedious I started to order them but yeah the paint part is definitely a fun thing um oil is sort of nasty too though not really like if you you can literally just get um walnut oil so I literally just get organic walnut oil like from a supermarket and um doesn't yellow very much and then just get I get these um mineral pigments from a plier somewhere in France it's all very easy to organize
• 53:30 - 54:00 and then I I pull them together and I mix them and then and then then you got got oil takes ages to dry takes months to dry but it's very satisfying so there we are I love you guys for tuning in and um keep learning join me on Thursday morning live straight after the the live session here fix friends.org webinar and we'll run through some real strategy we're going to have a ball we're going to have some fun um some of you guys also asked me to explain the vix trade which I will do it's the one trade I
• 54:00 - 54:30 pretty much always have open all year round which is a brilliantly simple it's not that simple it's a little bit Advanced but I want to share that with you better oil than gak juice it's both pretty good you bought Sony yet no I haven't maybe I should look at that um asks Chris Dino says let's make 2025 our best year ever or yet indeed so let me help you on that on Thursday