【SUB】杜特蒂血讖成真？美軍群聊出大事【#新聞大白話】20250325#字幕版 #杜特蒂#美國#美軍

Summary

近期，美国陷入重大麻烦。国家安全顾问误将记者加入了一个包含机密军事计划的群聊，美国军事作战计划因此泄露。尽管特朗普本人对此毫不知情，事件已引发一连串问题，引发舆论热议。同时，特朗普面临与俄罗斯及乌克兰的漫长谈判、与中国紧张关系升级，以及多项国内外政策挑战。这一连串事件凸显了特朗普团队在处理国家安全和外交事务上的不确定性，带来了深远影响。

Highlights

• 国家安全顾问误将记者拉入机密群，导致美军计划泄露。😱
• 特朗普面临内外夹击，外交事务僵局加剧。🌍
• 美国对华、中美贸易战进一步升级的迹象明显。📈
• 特朗普政府的外交团队应对挑战能力遭质疑。🤔
• 事件后续影响可能扩大，引发更多政治混乱。🌀

Key Takeaways

• 杜特蒂惊人的预测成真，特朗普的麻烦不断。😮
• 美军机密计划居然因群聊闹乌龙曝光！📱
• 特朗普与俄罗斯、乌克兰的谈判似乎僵局，时间不明。⏰
• 美国国内外政策波动加剧了特朗普政府的不确定性。🔄
• 记者意外进入国家机密计划群，引爆舆论！📰

Overview

在一场戏剧性事件中，美国国家安全顾问误将记者加入了一个原本讨论机密军事计划的聊天群。这个无心之失导致了美国作战计划的泄露，将特朗普政府推入了一场混乱之中。😁

尽管特朗普可能对这一乌龙事件毫不知情，但他与俄罗斯和乌克兰之间漫长的谈判依然在持续，没有取得任何实质性进展。这让当前的地缘政治形势变得更加复杂。🇺🇸🇷🇺🇺🇦

美国国内围绕外交和安全事务的政策震荡不已，进一步削弱了政府的公信力。特朗普正面临一系列挑战，包括与中国的紧张关系，以及如菲律宾杜特蒂所预言的，国内政治的不确定性。⚖️

Chapters

• 00:00 - 30:00: Leak of U.S. Military Combat Plan The chapter discusses a significant security breach in the United States where a U.S. military combat plan was accidentally leaked. The leak occurred when the national security adviser inadvertently added a reporter to a communication group that had access to the sensitive information. The incident highlights the current troubles within the U.S. government and suggests potential political fallout for Trump, who was reportedly unaware of the leak.
• 30:00 - 45:00: Trump's Tariff Policies The chapter discusses an incident involving Goldberg, the Editor-in-Chief of The Atlantic Monthly, who is unexpectedly included in a conversation among high-ranking officials, including U.S. Secretary of Defense Hegseth, on an encrypted messaging app. They discuss potential airstrikes on Yemeni rebels. Goldberg is initially puzzled, suspecting a scam or error, but later realizes the conversation's legitimacy as events unfurl as discussed. The chapter highlights a connection to a youth movement and the timing of the planned events related to Trump's tariff policies.
• 45:00 - 79:31: Philippine Political Landscape and International Relations The chapter discusses the unexpected involvement of a figure, interpreted to be Trump, who inadvertently becomes part of a situation regarding military information leaks. Despite being ill-informed about the matter, his involvement raises significant concerns leading to four major questions. Additionally, the chapter references former political rival Hillary Clinton's reaction and insights from a reporter named Goldberg, who comments on the national security implications.

【SUB】杜特蒂血讖成真？美軍群聊出大事【#新聞大白話】20250325#字幕版 #杜特蒂#美國#美軍 Transcription

• 00:00 - 00:30 The United States has been really troubled recently, and now the national security adviser accidentally pulled a reporter into the group to read the secret that cannot be told? Well, what we show you is that everything may be going wrong for Trump now because the U.S. military’s combat plan was leaked because the reporter was added to the group, and Trump was completely unaware of it. According to a report by Reuters,
• 00:30 - 01:00 the American current affairs magazine The Atlantic Monthly Editor-in-Chief Goldberg was suddenly pulled into a conversation group on the 13th in an encrypted messaging software called Signal. At first, he wondered if this was a scam or if he had made the wrong call. Unexpectedly, there were U.S. Secretary of Defense Hegseth and many senior Trump officials discussing whether there would be an air strike on the Yemeni rebels on the 15th . Later, when he looked at the results of the youth movement , he found that it was incredible that the time was actually right , and it really happened. Only
• 01:00 - 01:30 then did he learn that this group was real , so it turned out that he was dragged in by others by mistake. However, Trump seemed to have no knowledge of this matter , and was surprised to interview reporters. What were they talking about? It was embarrassing. Now Trump, a layman, has leaked military information to senior officials. It caused four major questions. Former opponent Hillary also choked. Then reporter Goldberg said that he was dragged into this group by the national security
• 01:30 - 02:00 adviser . Hillary said on the Everyone is saying that he is finished now. The probability that he will be forced to resign , pack up and leave is very high. But now there are still a lot of disturbances in Trump's internal affairs. Musk listened to the alarm on the China strategy and called an emergency call. So Trump is now going to draw a military aircraft boundary. Wasn't it just mentioned last Friday? The Pentagon in the U.S. Congress and the Pentagon
• 02:00 - 02:30 will participate in the Department of Defense to arrange for him. Unexpectedly, the schedule of the briefing on the plan to fight against China was disclosed in advance by the New York Times. Trump was also surprised and quickly clarified on this platform to emphasize that there was no such thing. He also said that this was ridiculous. However, some people said that this was actually an emergency call to stop at the last minute. Everyone had already waited outside the conference room for a long time. Musk still refused in the end. He got in, but he still had a meeting with the Secretary of Defense for more than an hour before leaving, so the Secretary of Defense actually gave him enough face.
• 02:30 - 03:00 The Department of Defense immediately announced that it would conduct polygraph tests on personnel to find out who gave the news to the New York Times. But now George Clooney, a movie star , has angered Trump with his words, and a second-rate actor and political loser. So George Clooney, he The government is now trying to silence journalists by threatening fines or using corporate power. For example, Trump has recently filed lawsuits against many mainstream media. This is a generational war . You can see it in the Los Angeles Times and you can also see it in the Washington Post.
• 03:00 - 03:30 So how does Trump fight back? He said: George Clooney , you have long supported the Democratic Party and you are even one of his donors. You would say this to me. It’s really surprising. There is love in the air now. Now Trump is involved in a sexy scandal again . But this time the protagonist is not him but the former golf star Tiger Woods who is passionately in love with Trump’s ex-wife. Although she is already the ex-wife , it seems that the news related to Trump has become gossipy news now
• 03:30 - 04:00 . Is Putin trying to win over Trump ? Should the United States and Russia join forces ? They have been talking for 28 hours , but the conflict between Russia and Ukraine has not been de-escalated. The talks between Russia and the US delegation in Saudi Arabia ended for more than 12 hours. The two talks lasted for more than 28 hours , but now it seems that there is no progress in moving forward. The United States held marathon talks with Russia and Ukraine . Trump held marathon talks with Russia and Ukraine . He said that the United States and Ukraine will soon sign a mining agreement. Trump is also dissatisfied
• 04:00 - 04:30 with his own portrait. Now he can see this photo. He said that after seeing it, he thought it was not bad because it is a new portrait given to Trump by Putin . Then Trump regarded the existing portrait as the worst. He posted on the Internet that Colorado was the state. He directly named this Colorado. He said that this Congress painted me really ugly and distorted me. Is this painter exhausted ? So he thinks that painting is the worst for him. But for Putin, establishing relations with Trump may be more important than the Ukraine issue
• 04:30 - 05:00 now, because Trump’s focus is to end the death march in Ukraine as soon as possible. But Moscow’s idea seems to be that establishing a relationship with Trump may bring some economic benefits, such as Boeing aircraft and other issues, as well as geopolitical interests. For Russia, the most important thing is that we first ask General Shuai, what do you think of Trump? It seems that many things have not gone well recently. It is not that he is going well or not because of his very radical approach. Duan
• 05:00 - 05:30 has pulled a lot of hands to manipulate such a big country, and Trump likes to make wild claims. We also know that those slogans may be fully fulfilled, but in terms of business, it is to scare the other party first . However, the news media is also very bad and spread rumors too much. Musk went to the Department of Defense to listen to the secret meeting on war with China. Isn’t that ridiculous? Because Ma Sk,
• 05:30 - 06:00 everyone knows him. The U.S. Department of Defense respects him. He wants to cut defense funding. He has strong opinions on defense arms procurement. For example, he is concerned about the development of 6th-generation aircraft. The production rate of the F35B is not good , and there are many wasteful things. He threatens to cut down and layoffs. He has already cut several generals. With the cooperation between Musk and Trump, if you are the Secretary of Defense, don’t panic.
• 06:00 - 06:30 I We used to be the convener of the National Defense Committee in the Legislative Yuan. When talking about certain budgets, the officials would come to you quickly to tell you their plans. Why is it necessary for Musk to listen to you? How will defense funds be allocated for future military build-up and war preparation? Secondly, I see from another sign that Boeing's private enterprise is about to collapse. Now let you use military aircraft. If you win the bid for the 6th-generation aircraft, you are also saving one of his
• 06:30 - 07:00 four major arms companies. I don't know if this is Musk's decision, but he knows very well what can be saved and what should not be saved , right? You are like NASA, and he won't give you a cent because he is an expert . I am doing SpaceX. I'm better than you. Your investment is a waste. So the problem is that I used to be a legislator in Congress and have a relationship with the Department of Defense. The Pentagon
• 07:00 - 07:30 of the United States will not tell you the war plan against China. You may not understand it. It is for the lower-level units to draw up. It is the same for the United States and Taiwan. We soldiers will write preparation plans. What is the situation? How will I implement the big strategy in the future? I may be economically blocked. To lock down the military, you need to support diplomacy and economic power. Strengthen the degree of your blockade. For example, do you need to send troops to the Panama Canal
• 07:30 - 08:00 ? If you send troops, they will curb the commerce between the Pacific and the Atlantic. This is military support, diplomacy , and political and economic oppression. This cannot be said to be a war plan against China, so the media's use of this term is very sensational. But do you think there is a chance for China and the United States to go to war in recent years ? Two nuclear powers. Will they really fight? It's impossible today, even on
• 08:00 - 08:30 the southeastern coast of mainland China, you don't have an advantage , right? You have to be capable. Even if you support Taiwan's independence, you can't have this kind of power. So when I talk about the secret plans of the United States and China, the identity is absolutely wrong, the level is wrong, the timing is wrong, and the content is wrong. So this is an operation in the media. I believe it is the Pentagon of the United States that wants to fight for its defense budget
• 08:30 - 09:00 because Musk Although he is not a political affairs officer , his power of advice is far more useful than those of generals. I think it should be of this nature . Let's ask Mr. Lai. What do you think ? Do you think Putin is wooing Trump recently? Basically, Trump is wooing Trump first. Puchin is also following the trend because he knows what Trump wants. The first Trump wants to improve relations with Russia
• 09:00 - 09:30 because Trump wants to free up his hands as soon as possible and do it wholeheartedly. To deal with mainland China , he wants the war between Russia and Ukraine in Europe to end as soon as possible , so he wants to end this war . Without Russia's consent, the war cannot end , and he will not be able to free up his hands to deal with China. And he himself also wants to use the relationship between Russia and China to provoke and separate the relationship between China and Russia. In this way, he thinks he
• 09:30 - 10:00 will be more able to attack China. This is Trump's first thought. Although he keeps saying that he is a good friend with Xi Jinping of mainland China every day , the problem is that everyone knows that for such a businessman and a good friend, it is good to listen because what you want to see is what his methods are. His methods have not stopped so far. In another part, Putin also knows that Trump wants rare earths , which represents the rare earths of China to the United States
• 10:00 - 10:30 . This prohibition and control measure has had a huge effect. That is to say, for the United States, it is becoming more and more anxious and panicked because its military industry, semiconductors , all need raw materials related to rare earths. Whether these raw materials are gallium, germanium, graphite , or even electric vehicles, we all know that graphite must be used. For example, the positive and negative electrodes are all controlled by mainland China, so he is very anxious for Trump.
• 10:30 - 11:00 What the worried eyes see is the rare earths in Ukraine. These two things are what Trump wants. Of course, Putin will make good use of them. But will it change the relationship between Russia and China because of this ? It seems that Russia does not have this intention. So on the one hand, Russia should say that Putin is playing with Trump. On the other hand, he has been telling mainland China that he will not change the relationship between China and Russia . I think this is a trick used by Putin
• 11:00 - 11:30 , but I still want to talk about this leak case. This leak case is really serious because it is a meeting of cabinet members on a combat plan that they are going to hold under Trump's order. Who is following Trump's order? It is obvious that the person who set up this group is the White House Security Advisor of the United States. That is to say, he is not the Secretary of Defense but the White House Security Advisor.
• 11:30 - 12:00 When he was about to set it up, he actually pulled the editor-in-chief of The Atlantic Monthly into this group. Although the Signal he used is indeed a relatively confidential communication group software in the United States , the problem is that hackers can still get in. This is the first and second one. After pulling these groups in, one of the people who did not filter the groups
• 12:00 - 12:30 is People with non- related positions have no relevance in their positions because all the people who participate in this group are at the ministerial level. There are the Vice President and more than ministers. There are also the Secretary of State, the Secretary of Defense , the Director of the Intelligence Bureau of the CIA , the Director of Intelligence , the Director of the Counter-Terrorism Center , and the Secretary of the Treasury. These people are all in this group.
• 12:30 - 13:00 What are they going to discuss about a military operation to attack Yemen? The division of labor and cooperation of each department is making assignments, so the White House Security Department will say, I have assigned my deputy assistant. The Secretary is the deputy White House security adviser. He formed a tiger team specifically to assist in intelligence attacks. Then the Secretary of Defense came to explain
• 13:00 - 13:30 the order of operations and combat missions of how his naval aviation was used in the central theater to bomb the Houthi organization . The means used in combat. Do you think this is an important decision-making meeting? And this decision-making meeting brought in the editor-in-chief of a news media. I admire Trump very much. Your team is really great. Let’s ask Teacher Yuan what you think of this oolong.
• 13:30 - 14:00 This is not an ordinary oolong. This is really not an ordinary mistake. Please remember that if you read all the details of this person named Goldberg in the Atlantic Monthly, you will be really shocked. You will be really shocked. You will find that the cabinet used by Trump includes Hegseth and Vance. They are all big thugs. Basically, I don’t know why they are in this position . I will tell you three things to condemn now . The other leak
• 14:00 - 14:30 is also more serious. The first thing is that their Heges. Seth talked about why we send troops to fight Yemen from beginning to end . The Houthis in Yemen are famous as the Slipper Army. Americans only dare to fight wars that they are sure to win. Hegseth talked about our two main forces. The first reason is to regain its majesty, and the second reason is to prevent Israel from taking action first. For what reason? On that day, during the attack on March 15, 53 people were killed
• 14:30 - 15:00 , and 53 people were killed. And the second point is that Goldberg’s words, he included the details from beginning to end. Tell them all because he completely saw that Vans said that we in the United States do not need to engage in the Red Sea and Yemen because our trade is only 35 through the Suez Canal to the Red Sea Hegseth . Then Woz emphasized that everyone was included . What you must use to fight is actually to pick on the weak and eat the weak. The entire battle plan is fully revealed in it . Now when I see
• 15:00 - 15:30 Hegseth, it seems that he used to be an anchor on Fox Radio. I feel that he is a little bit, but it doesn’t seem to be a big deal. Now the people with brains are making things even more serious. Then the third point is that Woz is the national security adviser and he actually brought him in without any review . Well, let’s not talk about the United States. You are talking about Woz being fired. I think all the people in the cabinet have problems because the importance of using troops is speed . Speed ​​must be unexpected. You, Goldberg, emphasized that I already knew 2 hours before you used troops. It’s incredible
• 15:30 - 16:00 that so many people were killed, 53 people. Now this war is going on. Now this war is going on. The United States is still preparing to send troops, so it doesn’t know what to do. Another thing to say is that the New York Times said that Plan O is funnier and funnier. Why is Plan O so funny? The content of Plan O is for the U.S. war plan against China, which is the most sensitive issue in the world. What a joke. Musk was asked to report it and asked him to go to the Department of Defense. Trump had no idea that Musk was already preparing to go. Then he suddenly discovered
• 16:00 - 16:30 that Hegseth came out and said it was cancelled. It’s not the most important thing in the world. It’s like child’s play . It's just child's play, right? What is the result of your words like this ? Everyone realizes that because of this matter, Trump bites me hard. Sometimes I can't bear to say that our Yue Qian, whose surname is Lai , sits next to me. If our other surname is Lai, he won't I can't figure it out that all your chips are bet on the United States. They have a plan a long time ago. Take a closer look at the theory of suspicion. I am telling you that I am suspicious of the United States. I am not trusting the United States. I am not telling you
• 16:30 - 17:00 , so he will not be imprisoned. Don't worry, I will not imprison him. I still have high hopes. When I am the President, I should at least be divided into the category of Minister of Defense. What do I do ? This is not the other. This is not the same. He is not Tangyuan. What I mean is that this matter is very, very serious. These are two world-class events, right? How can you be like this, one is leaking secrets, and the other is making something out of nothing, something out of nothing. This involves us living in Taiwan. What we are most worried about is that we also want to know what the content of Project O is, right?
• 17:00 - 17:30 Then how can Musk let Musk This car seller knows, why are you joking with his briefing? Let's take a short break from commercials and come back to continue the discussion. Has it changed again?
• 17:30 - 18:00 What we show you first is that technology stocks led the US stock market to rise. Trump hinted at reciprocal tariffs next week. Technology stocks that may provide relief to many countries on Monday led the U.S. stock market to surge. Huida and Tesla led the rise. The Dow Jones Industrial Average opened 194 points higher, and the increase once expanded to 653 points. The Nasdaq Index rose as high as 2.4 points during the session. The four major indexes closed higher in unison. Trump has hinted for the second time that he may implement reciprocal tariffs and relief to many countries
• 18:00 - 18:30 next week . Then the US media reported that Trump’s tariff measures in April were targeted, but the scope of auto chips was eager to exclude the tax. The scope may be narrowed to only target 15 countries with trade imbalances. He also announced that on April 2, there would be no tariffs for chips. There are specific automobile industries that have announced tariffs, so everyone expects that they will not be implemented on that day. But what we want to show you first is that there were oil sanctions in the past.
• 18:30 - 19:00 Trump has announced that he will take a tough move against Venezuela on April 2. Oil prices are rising now. So he said that any country that purchases oil or natural gas from Venezuela will have to pay 25 for US trade . This tariff measure will take effect on April 2. Who does Trump’s Venezuelan oil tariffs harm? In fact, China is the largest buyer, not only China itself. In fact, it also buys Venezuelan oil. The United States is a purchaser of Venezuelan oil. In January this year, the United States imported 8.6 million barrels of crude oil from here
• 19:00 - 19:30 . The United States is not only its importing country, but also an investment producer. Analysts from producing countries pointed out that such a move may have the biggest impact on China's purchase of Venezuelan oil. The biggest winner may be Russia. So is China's attitude towards the United States starting to become tougher now ? China is using this move to make American consumers suffer. What did CNN say ? CNN said that the Chinese government reacted strongly Said that American companies are caught in
• 19:30 - 20:00 the escalating trade war between China and the United States. So powerful companies like Walmart are struggling to control prices. That means much smaller companies will also be affected. CNN also does street interviews . So what do the people say? We will take you to listen.
• 20:00 - 20:30 You can see that people say that tariffs are never a zero-sum game. Tariffs are a tool, but ultimately it is up to consumers. To bear the burden
• 20:30 - 21:00 , and now Malaysia’s imported chips may flow to China, the United States is pressuring to tighten controls. According to a report by the Financial Times, the United States is pressuring Malaysia to prevent chips critical to the development of AI from flowing into China. Malaysia plans to tighten controls on semiconductors. Now, the Sino-US trade negotiations have set conditions for Daines to confront Li Qiang. Trump asked to block the flow of fentanyl precursors. Then you can see Daines. It said that the United States requires a decisive action
• 21:00 - 21:30 to block the flow of fentanyl precursors from China. However, the General Administration of Customs of China said that China Customs has always maintained a high-pressure posture of detecting fentanyl-like substances and will continue to improve. Regarding the police's ability to detect fentanyl-like substances, the two sides can be said to have no overlap at all. Alibaba's Tsai Chongxin warned that a data center construction bubble is taking shape, especially in the United States . You have to remember that the current construction speed may exceed the initial demand for AI services,
• 21:30 - 22:00 and now not only they, but also Canada, are anti-Trump. Carney said that he can talk to Trump , but Canada must be regarded as a sovereign country , not the 51st state. Now that the Canadian election is coming, candidates have raised some anti-Trump slogans in the hope of boosting their momentum. Then the US media said that Canada will face the impact of decoupling from the United States . There is only about one month left before the federal election is held on April 28. However,
• 22:00 - 22:30 candidates of both the Liberal Party and the Conservative Party have almost always stood up with some strength and raised their elbows as slogans to continue to criticize Trump. They believe that candidates from all parties in Canada can know how to deal with Trump. As the key issue of this election , the current Prime Minister Carney also used Trump to describe the impact on Canada. The danger exists and requires the Canadian people to provide strong and active support to deal with Trump's various subsequent remarks. Then the conservative candidate Poliyev, who
• 22:30 - 23:00 is now challenging his prime ministership, also put forward a similar point of view, emphasizing that Canada must have the ability to confront the United States. It is both defense and attack. Why do all Canadians have to raise their elbows? This is originally a saying in ice hockey. But in recent years , it has become a patriotic slogan for people on Canadian social media. Everyone raises their hands to show their pride in Canada and their determination to fight Trump. Let’s first ask Professor Yuan, what do you think of Trump’s tariff policy? Recently, there is a very important term
• 23:00 - 23:30 on the Internet called Trumpcession . Trump’s actions have made it very likely to enter an economic Great Depression. I must emphasize this Trump. When I saw him, I basically said that he was bad and stupid. Now I didn’t expect that he is not stupid, he is stupid . He talks about tariffs . Everyone needs to understand that the biggest depression in our economy so far was in 1929. How did the Great Depression of the U.S. stock market come about ? It was the result of trade wars with each other
• 23:30 - 24:00 and the random addition of tariffs to each other. Please pay attention to this in all modern societies. When Trump imposed tariffs, he only had two purposes. The first one was to make America great again. All tariffs that are unfair to us must be fair starting from April 2. This is incredible for everyone. He has used a group of people. We just talked about the group of people Trump used. They were all filming. Flattery includes that Bessent who is 100% flattery.
• 24:00 - 24:30 The most terrifying thing is that his spokesman Levitt basically thought it was too much to talk about him like an emperor. So if this flatterer surrounds this stupid person, they will think that everyone can justify themselves. Secondly , I want the U.S. manufacturing industry to come back. I have to be honest. The U.S. is a beneficiary of globalization , not a victim . The U.S. only needs to print two banknotes on paper, and the jeans made in Taiwan are high-quality jeans. Just give them two pairs, right?
• 24:30 - 25:00 It ’s not just buy one, get one free . Everyone knows that the U.S. itself is a beneficiary of globalization. The interests are interests. How can the U.S. manufacturing industry come back? How can the U.S. have the ability to produce what China has worked so hard to do? Without this ability, your introduction of tariffs only constitutes everyone’s opposition to the current situation. So far, I must emphasize that the mainland has been fully prepared in the past seven years from 2018 to now. Each move is more fierce than the last.
• 25:00 - 25:30 Let’s ask Mr. Lai what do you think? I personally think that Trump’s own tariff theory is not mature and logical, so you will Seeing that his decision-making is very confusing , his chaotic decision-making has not only brought some turmoil to countries around the world that sell American products, but also put his own country in a state of turmoil. So his stock market is constantly fluctuating up and down. What does this mean
• 25:30 - 26:00 for him? The decision-making is very confusing. The decision-making is very confusing, which means that his ideas are very immature and incomplete , so he keeps poaching the east wall to make up for the west wall. When he first picked up the tariff knife , he seemed to be very happy to chop it. It was electoral language , but when you actually operated it, he began to find that it was a little higher. What seems to be hurt is that I am a little lower , so what? You see, he is canceling and adding here and canceling and adding here, canceling and adding , making his own country a mess
• 26:00 - 26:30 , and abroad also making a mess. Every time such a change will only make people hate him more and more. Because what business people want most is stability and predictability , and they do not want this kind of instability and unpredictability. So I think Trump’s tariffs seem to be unstoppable and have reached the end of the road because they are getting more and more difficult. You can see that it is getting harder and harder to go. Well, then we asked you after the announcement on April 2nd
• 26:30 - 27:00 , will you continue to impose tariffs or will we no longer talk about tariffs from now on or will you continue to do so? Talking about tariffs? That means everyone doesn’t know what you are going to do. The other part is that for a large economy like mainland China, the impact that the United States can have on the U.S. economy and trade through tariffs is getting worse. So we see that today’s mainstream media in Taiwan talk about
• 27:00 - 27:30 U.S. tariffs on the mainland. They think they will be the same in three years. If it is no longer useful, it will become zero , so it is equivalent to having no effect. It seems that the mainland has decoupled from the United States. For the mainland, it does not care . What is more important is that we saw yesterday that the mainland announced that the anti-sanctions law has been formalized and it will take effect immediately .
• 27:30 - 28:00 What does this mean ? That is to seize, confiscate, confiscate, etc. all his company's products , including intellectual property rights. I personally think that this method in Europe and the United States is basically less and less effective on mainland China. Let's ask General Shuai, what do you think? I think Trump's tariffs, of course, he has his own calculations. He is a businessman, and his approach is to shout high and low. I think his tariffs must be flexible
• 28:00 - 28:30 to scare you first, and then I will slowly choose. If you choose me, I will lower the price for you. It seems that he took advantage of some goods and made money. You got the cash , but you have lost the trust of the whole world in you. In this shopping mall, the Chinese, no matter whether they are Huizhou merchants or merchants, have a reputation. Because Shanghainese speak and do business, I will not even write a check. This is
• 28:30 - 29:00 the sense of trust between merchants and buyers and sellers, which has established a business system for today. Why does the world still pay attention to contracts, right? Then your current tariffs are an act of destroying contracts. Everyone has a calculation of the gross profit or welfare of everyone's exchanges for so many years. You will benefit and I will benefit. If you destroy this , every country will doubt whether Trump's speech still has credibility. This is a big loss for the United States. So what he shouted in his slogan is
• 29:00 - 29:30 to make America great again. I think it is beautiful. The country is in decline and has begun to go downhill. Because you can't purely use military means to curb all commercial activities. So you see, each country now finds its own way. Don't you want me to resist China? Now there are more occasions for businessmen to go to China. Why did Li Qiang start this business that will make money and kill businessmen? Some people do
• 29:30 - 30:00 business that loses money and no one does it . Besides, the United States is a country of private capital, so this problem To put it bluntly, you can't even manage your own businessmen in the United States . You still want to stop any other country from following you, but Canada's anti-Americanism will not last long. It will be emotional for a while, because after all, you are 70 years old and rely on the United States. So I think the heat of anti-Americanism will decrease as soon as Trump's time passes.
• 30:00 - 30:30 Recently, it will not stop before his election. Just like Duterte, we must keep the temperature in this furnace rising. Political benefits can be achieved by raising the level . Trump, regardless of the opposition party or the ruling party , is criticizing the United States. So in this section, I want to take you to talk about the evolution of the international situation. So the guests joining us in this section
• 30:30 - 31:00 include retired Lieutenant General Shuai Huamin, Marshal General. Good afternoon, host, hello everyone, and our international politics expert, Mr. Lai Yueqian, Teacher Lai, good afternoon, host, hello everyone, and our Professor Yuan Ju Zhengyuan, Department of Philosophy, National Taiwan University. Hello, host, friends. Well, today we will continue to take you to care about former President Duterte of the Philippines. Are there four women supporting Duterte? That includes Sara. She said that her sister Veronica and mother Avanceni are expected to go to the Netherlands
• 31:00 - 31:30 on Duterte’s birthday. She also shouted to supporters not to hold any large gatherings to celebrate Duterte’s birthday to avoid having to apply for permission from the Dutch government. So what should the supporters do? She said it is better for everyone to come. Hosting a picnic on your own is another alternative form of support . There are rumors that Duterte is worried that he will suffer the same fate as Equino. Sarah said this is her personal concern, not the former president’s own statement. Duterte wants to go home and return to Davao.
• 31:30 - 32:00 Every time I go to visit, he will only ask me one question: When can I go home ? And now, didn’t we just talk about the four women who supported Duterte ? It is said that Duterte’s wife acted like a lioness. When Duterte was arrested, she took out her mobile phone and came out to K. The younger daughter played social media to play emotional cards , and Ime was strategizing in the political arena. The eldest daughter Sara took advantage of the situation and showed amazing political courage.
• 32:00 - 32:30 They were like four iron ropes trying to pull the political strongman back to a safe zone from the storm . Well, what we have seen is that there was no talk just now. Did you get there? His wife took her mobile phone like a lioness and came directly to the police. But now the policeman said that he would not come to file a lawsuit. You can see that China also immediately stated its position. They said that China believes that the judicial power of sovereign countries should be respected first. This position can be said to be
• 32:30 - 33:00 a big reassurance for Duterte’s camp. Well, we will take you to see that the Philippines is now fighting against China. India does not appreciate it. It is reported that Duterte once sought asylum from Beijing. But does being rejected really happen? The Ministry of Foreign Affairs of the Mainland said that this was something out of thin air because Duterte went to Hong Kong for a private vacation . Mainland China has never received an application for asylum from him and his family. For such thoughtful people, they make such revelations out of thin air. I hope everyone will not believe it
• 33:00 - 33:30 . Now in order to win the election, Marcos involved China and ended up shooting Duterte in the foot. Now his support has reversed. The Philippine House of Representatives held a hearing on March 21, ostensibly to investigate domestic affairs . Did the self-media receive training funded by China? But in fact, the purpose behind it was to directly accuse Duterte’s family. In the end, it turned into a farce. There was no way to prove the so-called political collusion between him and China. Instead, it exposed this little Marcos. His attempt to suppress the political manipulation of political opponents.
• 33:30 - 34:00 Current Philippine polls also show that the Filipino people generally have a negative view of domestic politics. Among them, 37.9 think it is a chaotic and disorderly state. They say that more than half of the voters feel that Philippine politics is now aggressive and corrupt. The defeat is only for money, so nearly 40% of the people feel that the current situation is really chaotic and without order. You can see that
• 34:00 - 34:30 the Philippines is now fighting against China. Unexpectedly, India does not appreciate it. What we want to show you is what the Philippine media said about China and the Philippines. Ships confronted each other near Scarborough Shoal. The Philippine fleet was surrounded by China. Several Philippine ships, including the Philippine Coast Guard, attempted to enter the eastern waters of Scarborough Shoal on the 24th to conduct routine patrols. Chinese Coast Guard ships subsequently effectively surrounded the Philippine fleet. So beautiful. The Philippine Shield joint military exercise debuted, with 5,000 army officers and soldiers
• 34:30 - 35:00 focusing on the defense of this territory. Well, they also said that the exercise focused on territorial defense and command training for large-scale troop deployment . Now you can see the news about whether China and China are common enemies. The Philippine Chief of Staff invited India and South Korea to join the Squad , but India responded like this. They said they wanted to invite India and South Korea to come in. Unexpectedly, India did not have much interest. On the one hand, because the situation in the South China Sea was already too tense, rash intervention would help India. Unexpected troubles and crises. On
• 35:00 - 35:30 the other hand , the relationship between China and India has now begun to get better and is deepening. Modi will not choose to stand on the opposite side of China just because of some promises or encouragement. Let’s first ask Mr. Lai, what do you think of Duterte? I think the mainland has made it very clear about the principles of the International Criminal Court . You are a supplementary principle and you cannot override the country. I have already made it very clear on sovereignty.
• 35:30 - 36:00 The second one is that you are not an agency of the United Nations. In other words, the legitimacy of its agency is not within the framework of the United Nations. It is formulated in accordance with the Rome Statute. In other words, only countries that have joined have this effect. Countries that have not joined have no effect at all. So if you yourself over-expand your powers, mainland China will sanction this agency. I think The attitude of the mainland of this institution has been very clear. Unless the current situation in the Philippines is that
• 36:00 - 36:30 the entire country collapses, its politics, justice , security, social order , and the whole collapse, you can file a lawsuit against the so-called Duterte. Moreover, Duterte has already withdrawn from the Rome Convention in 2019, so basically your legal effect is not as good as that of the Philippines. What you are doing against the Philippines now An examination
• 36:30 - 37:00 or prosecution is simply illegal. I think this attitude has been made very clear. Of course, for the International Criminal Court, it has become a tool in Marcos's political struggle. This has actually taken a big blow to the so-called International Criminal Court's international influence or its reputation . What's more, on the first day when Duterte appeared in court , it was not a procedural court . When he appeared in court, he put the United States He listed the crimes committed by
• 37:00 - 37:30 many countries in Afghanistan and Iraq and directly charged you with the International Criminal Court. Why didn't you prosecute President George W. Bush of the United States ? Why didn't you prosecute Netanyahu ? If your reason is that they are not a member of the Rome Convention, I am not a member of the Rome Convention. I can join, I can also withdraw. If you withdraw, you will be inferior to me. How can you? If this kind of thing is done to me,
• 37:30 - 38:00 I think the International Criminal Court will become an executioner, a criminal tool, and a tool of little Marcos. I think this is really a very bad behavior. Another part is little Marcos. He didn’t expect that it would really be a waste of money. His domestic support has been declining. If we follow this trend, he will win the election in the Senate . The possibility is not high. His dream of amending the constitution so that he can be re-elected
• 38:00 - 38:30 is about to collapse. It seems that his situation is getting worse and worse. What is his biggest risk now? What if the daughter of the next president Duterte is elected? In the Filipino way, if Marcos fails, the possibility of him going to jail is very high, so in the end he is very likely to go into exile overseas
• 38:30 - 39:00 and run away. Seeking asylum in the United States is not guaranteed by that time. If the United States considers the security interests of the Philippines and national security interests, will it freeze Marcos's assets in the United States ? I think it is very possible. In other words, the possibility that the United States will betray Marcos again is very high. Just like the property of Marcos Sr. was later frozen by the Americans, Marcos's final property was frozen. He was even asked by the Philippines
• 39:00 - 39:30 to send him back to the Philippines for trial. Otherwise, the relationship between the Philippines and the United States may not be good. Maybe the United States will really capture him and send him to the Philippines for trial. Who knows? Because the reality of this kind of politics , the cruelty and dramatic development are all within our imagination, so we may not have us in a few years. Marcos happened to be imprisoned when he made the comment. Now he is a high-ranking president. It is very likely that he was involved
• 39:30 - 40:00 in corruption cases or other illegal political persecution cases of former presidents who illegally suppressed domestic citizens. Of course, Chen Shui-bian did not do this , but Chen Shui-bian committed corruption. This is a fact . Yes, what I mean is that the other one is not this one. I wonder if the other one will persecute the rights of our citizens so much. I don’t know. I am full of worry in my heart.
• 40:00 - 40:30 I see that some of our friends cannot reunite with their families and are even forced to be deported. I feel panic in my heart. I was worried when I saw that the military tribunal was going to come back again, and then I saw that when martial law was imposed in South Korea, the party responded immediately in the Congress and then resumed the military trial. I felt anxious in my heart. Is there someone in Taiwan who wants to impose martial law
• 40:30 - 41:00 or something? I am really scared, very scared. This is a digression because of this. I’ve finished talking, because when I think of the man named Lai, I feel that it’s really scary. But I think the Philippines has no way to go back and deal with the South China Sea issue again . I think the South China Sea issue is becoming more and more serious in the Philippines, and its effect is getting less and less in the Philippines. What do you think, handsome general, especially now that the Philippines has been constantly mentioning it? In the case of China,
• 41:00 - 41:30 the only thing Marcos can do now is to continue to cause trouble in the South China Sea to make the Filipinos think that he is supporting the sovereignty of the Philippines. Therefore, there will be a lot of drama in the future on Huangyan Island. Will mainland China pay attention to you? Of course, I know the second Marcos. Another hope is to cooperate with Australia and Japan with the help of the Americans. South Korea
• 41:30 - 42:00 hopes to add India. Don't think about it. South Korea and Japan are now under the pressure of US tariffs and are looking for business in China. Will he join your QUAD in the Philippines? The second most powerful among these four countries is India. Is India willing to shoulder this burden at this time ? Think about it, mainland China is already very polite to India. Several countries around him are not friendly to India. Mainland China
• 42:00 - 42:30 can cause problems for you by picking any Pakistan . Ceylon, Sri Lanka, Bhutan, and other countries are not satisfied with India. Mainland China needs to learn the color revolution from the United States and do it for you. There is also a Shik problem in India. That is to say, mainland China does not want to do this now. Do this. India should not talk about war between China and India. Just these things will kill you. There is another big reason. One day I will announce that I will take back southern Tibet,
• 42:30 - 43:00 right ? This is an undecided land, so India must remain silent on this issue . There is probably only one Japan left. Japan can only give you a ship and give you some of this. He didn't, so the little Marcos incident came across Duterte's careful planning. Now he is sitting in the national court, trying to deal with the law and reason. I'm not your member state. Why do you care about me ? Second, what are you charging me with?
• 43:00 - 43:30 Shooting a policeman is two different things from exterminating human beings. So it doesn't make sense to the law or reason . Isn't his son talking about it ? Marcos came back for the state funeral because my dad helped you. You are doing this to my dad now. So you see, Duterte’s birthday on March 28th can create another wave of voting in the country on May 20th. If these two waves continue, Marcos Jr.’s weight as a political party in the political arena
• 43:30 - 44:00 may not be there . So when Marcos Jr. steps down, the consequences for you will be I can imagine that Duterte probably wants to study what South Korea did to the former president, right? Probably not in the Philippines , but this family may have died. I think mainland China is also very smart. When will I protect him ? I don’t. So you spread rumors and cause trouble. In the end,
• 44:00 - 44:30 the more you break Marcos, the more difficult the situation will be for Americans. When will we intervene? But the US's ability to intervene in the South China Sea is getting lower and lower. Apart from sending two ships to wander around, I don't see how you can help the Philippines. They claim to have 4 bases and 9 bases. That's where they put the missiles in the container . They evacuated them with just one plane. It's different from giving him Subic Bay
• 44:30 - 45:00 . The military value is completely different. So what do you think about it, Mr. Yuan? Let me tell you that I was born on March 28th. Wait a minute. I can take out my ID card and show it to Mr. Lai and General Shuai. Because I think I talked about Filipinos last time. In fact, we don’t know much about Filipinos . Filipino English is very good . If Filipinos like to have parties , their family cohesion is very strong. This thing happened here. I always think that Duterte himself
• 45:00 - 45:30 designed a counter-trap. Why do nearly 40% of the people in the Philippines think that the country is in chaos? There are three major chaos in the country. First of all, everyone finds it strange that the president and It has been chaotic enough for the vice presidents to issue death threats to each other. This has been going on for almost half a year. Then, what the previous president said is actually true. With this kind of political performance, I have to emphasize that more than 85 people in the Philippines agree with Duterte’s words. During the process of becoming president, drug dealers and other drug dealers in the Philippines were
• 45:30 - 46:00 eliminated. This is a security issue. Everyone knows that drug trafficking is not a good thing for the situation in the Philippines, so everyone is very happy that the former president was actually arrested. And the third thing is that I think what Duterte said, his children are very powerful. Then my daughter said this, first go to The Hague and run directly in front of hundreds of people. The Philippines is very international. Their maid is a world-famous Made in Philippines. It is available all over the world. When hundreds of people are gathered in The Hague, each person will take a sign and send him. Back,
• 46:00 - 46:30 it was very clear, and then she said it was to transfer sovereignty to an inexplicable unit called the ICC, the International Criminal Court . Then when Duterte answered the question, he said that you should not try the person you should try, Bush Jr., didn’t you punish the United States for violating war crimes and crimes against humanity? Then Natanyahu killed so many people in the Gaza corridor and did not dare. In fact, those who are trying the International Criminal Court also hope that Duterte will leave quickly,
• 46:30 - 47:00 because in this case he will not leave. He will talk inside What he said now came out with a piece of news. In 1986, I saw with my own eyes that Aquino got off the plane in Manila. They had photos and were beaten to death on the spot. I tell you that things in the Philippines are very, very emotional. So if these three reasons are added together, of course it will be very confusing. This thing is clear from the beginning to the end. It is very clear that Marcos listened to the advice of the Americans and thought that Duterte was arrested. Why? He just happened to want to avenge his personal revenge because it turns out that
• 47:00 - 47:30 Duterte’s daughter When Sara ran with him, in principle, she wanted to be the Minister of Defense , but later she became the Minister of Education. This was too far off. When Gu Lixiong became the Minister of Education, he could only control me and not others, right? So he would think that there was a big gap , so Sara was dissatisfied. If she was dissatisfied, the two would be to publicize the controversy between the president and the vice president. And then, I think the most moving thing is that although Filipinos are very, very emotional in their words and actions
• 47:30 - 48:00 , I think Duterte's son also happened to be the mayor of Davao City, so basically all his family members in Mindanao do what you just said. Three of the four women you just mentioned are Duterte's wives, the eldest daughter, and the younger daughter. The other one is the eldest sister of little Marcos. She said something about how my dad did to your dad's old Marcos, right? Then what do you do to my dad now? This sentence is very, very effective in the Philippines . Let's take a short break for commercials and come back with you to continue the discussion.